VA: Quinnipiac University: Terry McAuliffe (D) leads Ken Cuccinelli (R) by 4

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Virginia Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2012-11-28

Summary: D: 41%, R: 37%, U: 21%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

Dave, whenever you enter a poll the "VA" or "NJ" is missing somehow.

Can you fix this ? (Of course I can edit it manually after entering the poll, but it would be better if you can fix it).

Thx.

[ElectionAtlas]

Hi,
Yeah, I saw this, but have not thus far identified why its missing.  Will look into.
Thanks,
Dave

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Huh.

[Maxwell]

More proof Ken Cuccinelli is way too right-wing.

How is someone like McAuliffe with a lead right now?

[morgieb]

But I got told this was Safe R!1!!1!

[Niemeyerite]

Junk poll. On on off year election, the turnout will not be 28% R, 35% D and 32% I. The 2009 wave that swept Bob McDonnell into power was 37% R, 33% D and 30% I, and McAuliffe is not getting more turnout than Deeds.

Cool story, bro.

[Mehmentum]

Junk poll. On on off year election, the turnout will not be 28% R, 35% D and 32% I. The 2009 wave that swept Bob McDonnell into power was 37% R, 33% D and 30% I, and McAuliffe is not getting more turnout than Deeds.

This poll also has 9% less whites than occured in 2009.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/11/04/us/politics/1104-va-exit-poll.html

Remeber before the 2012 election?  There was a significant portion of the blue avatars saying exactly the same thing that you ware saying right now.  No way will Democrats have the party ID advantage in this kind of environment.  The polls are wrong. 

Well guess what, the polls weren't wrong, they didn't secretly weigh all of their samples according to party ID, and Obama really did win.  Yet here we are with posters saying the exact things that were proven wrong 3 months ago.

2009 was a strong year for Republicans, a prelude to 2010.  2013 does not have to be identical to 2009.

[Mehmentum]

A) 35% isn't that different than 33%.  An electorate thats 2% more democratic than previous similar election shouldn't be surprising to people. 

B) You can reason it away however you want.  It may even make some sense.  But if the polls consistantly show a certain result, then that result will most likely occur.  Experience has shown this to be true.