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  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, Senator ON Progressive)
  Hispanics and their influence
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jman123
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« on: December 10, 2012, 09:04:18 pm »

I was particularly interested in why the other town where cubans went Union City NJ swung so hard for Obama. It went 81 percent for Obama compared to 74 percent in 2008.  Mind you it is 85 percent hispanic and not just cubans but dominicans as well.  Why did they swing so hard for Obama? This town is in Hudson County NJ. 

  Why such a hard Obama swing? compared to 2008.
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nclib
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« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2012, 09:25:55 pm »

Cubans in South Fla also had a pro-Obama swing. Probably due to the declining influence of Castro.
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Benj
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« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2012, 10:00:51 pm »
« Edited: December 11, 2012, 08:16:53 pm by Benj »

I would rely more on South Florida for this information; the Cuban population in Union City (once known as Havana-on-the-Hudson) has dropped to only about 10% in the past few decades, replaced almost entirely by Puerto Ricans, then Dominicans, now increasingly Mexicans and Central Americans.

But there does seem to have been a big swing to Obama among Cubans for somewhat mysterious reasons. Declining significance of Castro can't be the main cause--that would suggest a smooth, constant trend rather than a sharp swing, but there wasn't much movement to Obama among Cubans in 2008 (some, but not more than the country), or for that matter to the Democrats in earlier elections.
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Sbane
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« Reply #3 on: December 10, 2012, 10:11:34 pm »

There was also a pretty big swing among the Vietnamese towards Obama, another immigrant group that leans Republican. I think the Republican party messed up by embracing the AZ immigration law and "self deportation". It hurt them amongst all immigrants, regardless of class, background or even partisan affiliation.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: December 10, 2012, 10:40:54 pm »

I wouldn't be surprised if all minority groups (minus blacks) swung towards Obama. That's what happens when you spend four years calling the guy un-American and using other racial attacks against him.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2012, 11:15:01 pm »

It's obvious the anti-immigration rhetoric is what made Hispanics swing more to Obama. Plus many of them are concerned with education cuts and healthcare which made an additional boost for Hispanics.
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