Akno21
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,066
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« on: February 10, 2005, 05:23:55 PM » |
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It really depends on who runs. There are a few candidates who need a great New Hampshire performance to stand a chance, such as Romney, Guliani, or Pataki. Any Northeasterner or Moderate must win or come close here.
If Mark Sanford gets 10%, he is by no means done, because he can win South Carolina, and most other southern states.
Chuck Hagel might do well in Iowa, but he has to do well in one of the first 2 primaries, or else his tires will be flat.
Jeb Bush will do reasonably well everywhere, but can't afford to tank here.
A Conservative Senator like Santorum, Frist, or Allen would all have enough other states in the bag, depending on who runs, that they wouldn't need a win here.
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