Census population estimates 2011-2019
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 11:36:09 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  Census population estimates 2011-2019
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 20 21 22 23 24 [25] 26 27 28 29 30 ... 36
Author Topic: Census population estimates 2011-2019  (Read 180252 times)
Thatkat04
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 462
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #600 on: April 19, 2019, 02:15:06 PM »
« edited: April 19, 2019, 02:32:48 PM by Thatkat04 »

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

New Jersey grew last year.

It's lower than the original 2017 estimate. Please do not correct me.

NJ's population got revised down, but it has yet to suffer negative population growth. So @Nyvin is right to correct you.

Edit:

The official numbers for NJ in the last 3 years are:

2016: 8,874,516
2017: 8,888,543
2018: 8,908,520

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-national-total.html#par_textimage_2011805803
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,623
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #601 on: April 19, 2019, 04:55:14 PM »

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

New Jersey grew last year.

It's lower than the original 2017 estimate. Please do not correct me.

I'll correct you if you're wrong.
Logged
Cokeland Saxton
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,601
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -6.26

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #602 on: April 20, 2019, 05:23:59 AM »

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

I hate being corrected. I don't care if he's right.

New Jersey grew last year.

It's lower than the original 2017 estimate. Please do not correct me.

NJ's population got revised down, but it has yet to suffer negative population growth. So @Nyvin is right to correct you.

Edit:

The official numbers for NJ in the last 3 years are:

2016: 8,874,516
2017: 8,888,543
2018: 8,908,520

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-national-total.html#par_textimage_2011805803

Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,623
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #603 on: April 20, 2019, 08:03:09 AM »

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

I hate being corrected. I don't care if he's right.

New Jersey grew last year.

It's lower than the original 2017 estimate. Please do not correct me.

NJ's population got revised down, but it has yet to suffer negative population growth. So @Nyvin is right to correct you.

Edit:

The official numbers for NJ in the last 3 years are:

2016: 8,874,516
2017: 8,888,543
2018: 8,908,520

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-national-total.html#par_textimage_2011805803


Wow, you've got to be kidding me.   Rather immature I'd say.

I don't care if you don't like it,  you don't get a free pass to spew nonsense to other people because your feelings get hurt.   If you state something wrong I'm going to correct you so that other people see the truth.   

Welcome to the real world.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #604 on: April 20, 2019, 08:13:04 AM »

Brooklyn, Queens, and Bronx all peaked in 2016 after many years of growth and have had small but significant declines since then. Immigration crackdown? I'm really surprised to see Brooklyn losing population.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #605 on: April 20, 2019, 08:19:34 PM »

Brooklyn, Queens, and Bronx all peaked in 2016 after many years of growth and have had small but significant declines since then. Immigration crackdown? I'm really surprised to see Brooklyn losing population.

It is due to less reported foreign immigration. Whether that is due to a different way of asking the foreign migration question in the ACS (instead of in what year did you last live outside of Brooklyn, did you live in Brooklyn last year, or something like that), illegal immigrants being less likely to fill out the ACS in the age of Trump, or an actual halt in immigration is unclear. That probably won't be answered until after the 2020 Census.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,623
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #606 on: April 21, 2019, 05:48:46 PM »

So barring some sudden slowdown/decline, Oklahoma county will have enough people for it's own congressional district in 2020.    Any chance it gets one or will it get the Salt Lake county treatment?
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,724


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #607 on: April 21, 2019, 05:53:13 PM »

So barring some sudden slowdown/decline, Oklahoma county will have enough people for it's own congressional district in 2020.    Any chance it gets one or will it get the Salt Lake county treatment?

The only reason the Oklahoma districts look nice right now is because the GOP in 2010 had nothing to fear from the dems - they were winning zero counties after all. Now, its guaranteed Oklahoma City is going to get tricut between her blood red neghbors.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #608 on: April 21, 2019, 06:10:24 PM »

So barring some sudden slowdown/decline, Oklahoma county will have enough people for it's own congressional district in 2020.    Any chance it gets one or will it get the Salt Lake county treatment?

The only reason the Oklahoma districts look nice right now is because the GOP in 2010 had nothing to fear from the dems - they were winning zero counties after all. Now, its guaranteed Oklahoma City is going to get tricut between her blood red neghbors.

There is a citizens initiation trying to gain signatures in the state that would prevent gerrymandering.
Logged
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #609 on: April 22, 2019, 02:04:17 AM »

Brooklyn, Queens, and Bronx all peaked in 2016 after many years of growth and have had small but significant declines since then. Immigration crackdown? I'm really surprised to see Brooklyn losing population.
It is due to less reported foreign immigration. Whether that is due to a different way of asking the foreign migration question in the ACS (instead of in what year did you last live outside of Brooklyn, did you live in Brooklyn last year, or something like that), illegal immigrants being less likely to fill out the ACS in the age of Trump, or an actual halt in immigration is unclear. That probably won't be answered until after the 2020 Census.
This is true, but it's also probably because of shrinking household sizes amongst immigrant families. Communities of ~2 million people dropping from 4 to 3 people per household can't be offset by 100k new 2 person apartments. This almost certainly explains what's happening in LA county, as the peripheral immigrant communities have fewer children per household even as the urban core explodes.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #610 on: April 22, 2019, 11:40:32 AM »

Boston really sticks out here as following a different trend than other old Northern cities. 

Boston has a legup against its competition, even against some of the Southern Metros. Its already a bustling hub for 21st century industries, and its proximity to some of the most sought after colleges in the world mean more professionals and businesses(and therefore jobs) move to the bay state. Its also still rather open, unlike NYC. Neither the city nor the suburbs are that crowded, so people arent forced out by a lack of housing or jobs, for example.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #611 on: April 22, 2019, 01:02:52 PM »

IL, NY, it is sad.

Illinois won't be trending Republican because a lot of Republican voters are moving to AZ, FL, NC, NM.
Logged
The Free North
CTRattlesnake
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,567
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #612 on: April 22, 2019, 05:01:26 PM »

IL, NY, it is sad.

Illinois won't be trending Republican because a lot of Republican voters are moving to AZ, FL, NC, NM.

You can't have high taxes and bad weather and keep people around in 21st century America.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #613 on: April 22, 2019, 09:24:02 PM »

Boston really sticks out here as following a different trend than other old Northern cities.  

Boston has a legup against its competition, even against some of the Southern Metros. Its already a bustling hub for 21st century industries, and its proximity to some of the most sought after colleges in the world mean more professionals and businesses(and therefore jobs) move to the bay state. Its also still rather open, unlike NYC. Neither the city nor the suburbs are that crowded, so people arent forced out by a lack of housing or jobs, for example.

While Boston and suburbs aren't as dense as NYC, there's certainly a housing crunch here which is driving people away with high housing costs. The suburbs aren't dense, but they are built out with their current sfh-on-large-lot zoning, so they may as well be. The city and neighboring cities (Cambridge, Somerville, Medford, Quincy) are throwing up tons of multi-family housing on brownfield lots which is helping population rise but it's not enough to keep up with demand. Boston is like San Francisco in that population is growing but it could grow even more if there was much more housing.
Logged
Annatar
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 976
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #614 on: April 22, 2019, 09:25:18 PM »

What's really slowing down growth in the metro areas and nationally is the rapidly falling fertility rate, that is why natural growth has gone from 0.6% to 0.3% from 2007 to 2017. Fertility in 2017 was 1.77, based off the first 9 months of birth data in 2018 it looks like it will fall to 1.72, a record low and in the states which have released birth data for the first few months of 2019 fertility has continued to fall. I would't be surprised if fertility went below 1.7 this year. The fall is driven in my opinion by cultural factors, there is a real shift among younger Americans towards 1 child families or not having children at all.  
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #615 on: April 22, 2019, 09:25:19 PM »

Brooklyn, Queens, and Bronx all peaked in 2016 after many years of growth and have had small but significant declines since then. Immigration crackdown? I'm really surprised to see Brooklyn losing population.
It is due to less reported foreign immigration. Whether that is due to a different way of asking the foreign migration question in the ACS (instead of in what year did you last live outside of Brooklyn, did you live in Brooklyn last year, or something like that), illegal immigrants being less likely to fill out the ACS in the age of Trump, or an actual halt in immigration is unclear. That probably won't be answered until after the 2020 Census.
This is true, but it's also probably because of shrinking household sizes amongst immigrant families. Communities of ~2 million people dropping from 4 to 3 people per household can't be offset by 100k new 2 person apartments. This almost certainly explains what's happening in LA county, as the peripheral immigrant communities have fewer children per household even as the urban core explodes.

Oh, that's interesting. I hadn't connected it to dropping birth rates but I can see how that's a new factor.
Logged
Cokeland Saxton
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,601
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -6.26

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #616 on: April 24, 2019, 01:01:45 AM »

The slow growth in the Houston metro, and the Gulf coast of TX could also be connected to Harvey, such as with Aransas County having pretty much all its 2010 - 2017 growth undone.

The growth rebounding in the Permian Basin, such as Ector and Midland, are likely connected with a recovery in oil prices there.
Logged
crazy jimmie
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,513


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #617 on: April 24, 2019, 03:51:04 AM »

You can't have high taxes and bad weather and keep people around in 21st century America.

On the other hand you can argue that Chicago has picture perfect from May - October. The reverse of Phoenix essentially.  Also there are no natural disasters that could destroy Chicago unlike many of these sun belt cities.

But the extremely harsh winters is literally the reason I never made the jump to move to Chicago.

IL, NY, it is sad.

Illinois won't be trending Republican because a lot of Republican voters are moving to AZ, FL, NC, NM.

Somewhat mitigated by a loss of black population but overall the state is shrinking and becoming more Democratic at the same time.
Logged
Kevinstat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,823


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #618 on: May 04, 2019, 09:48:51 AM »

Any press release yet on what date this month the 2018 city and town (or "county subdivision") estimates will be released (with likely two days of embargoed media access - they'll list both dates in the press release)?
Logged
Cokeland Saxton
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,601
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -6.26

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #619 on: May 04, 2019, 11:24:45 AM »

Probably in a few weeks
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #620 on: May 07, 2019, 01:13:22 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2019, 01:34:48 PM by cinyc »

Any press release yet on what date this month the 2018 city and town (or "county subdivision") estimates will be released (with likely two days of embargoed media access - they'll list both dates in the press release)?

They usually come out the Thursday before Memorial Day.

Edited to add: Census’ most recent tip sheet confirms this. They are scheduled for release on Thursday, May 23 with the media getting them on May 21.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #621 on: May 18, 2019, 09:26:14 PM »

What does it say about Louisiana?

Why is Louisiana suffering?
Logged
Cokeland Saxton
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,601
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -6.26

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #622 on: May 20, 2019, 06:43:08 PM »

What does it say about Louisiana?

Why is Louisiana suffering?

Poverty, poor quality of life, New Orleans being prone to bad weather, a sluggish economy, and a homicide rate ranking in the top 10 of the 50 states
Logged
danny
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,768
Israel


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #623 on: May 23, 2019, 04:50:39 AM »

The city and town estimates for 2018 are starting to come out: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2019/subcounty-population-estimates.html
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #624 on: May 23, 2019, 08:42:56 AM »

Fort Worth passed Columbus and San Francisco to move to the 13th largest city. Charlotte passed Indianapolis for the 16th largest city. Portland, Oregon passed Memphis to go to 25.  Colorado Springs and Miami moved into the top 40. Tampa jumped into the top 50, passing New Orleans and Wichita. Henderson, NV topped 300,000 and Reno cracked 250,000.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 20 21 22 23 24 [25] 26 27 28 29 30 ... 36  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 12 queries.