Census population estimates 2011-2019 (user search)
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  Census population estimates 2011-2019 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Census population estimates 2011-2019  (Read 181505 times)
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
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Posts: 2,375
United States


« on: December 21, 2017, 12:47:55 PM »

Montana gaining a second seat really could be a good outcome for democrats,  western Montana has some pretty liberal areas and is actually trending Democratic is cases.   If the state is split in two that seat just might become competitive. 

Drawing a hook from Missoula along the Canadian border and connecting it with East Montana would result in 2 roughly R+11 districts. It'd be interesting to see what they would do
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Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2018, 12:05:16 PM »



I threw 2017 estimates into an apportionment calculator and displayed the changes. Note that the total seats calculated was 436, one more than the total.

Alternatively, if we were to decide to have an increase in the House size such that no state would lose a seat, the House would have 447 seats, and this would be the changes:



How would Rhode Island keep its seat? Doesn’t Montana have more people than RI now?
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Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2018, 08:33:01 AM »

How is MA losing population? I see new obnoxiously tacky looking condos go up every time I drive through Boston
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Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2019, 01:26:21 PM »

Naive question: which states (outside at-large) wouldn't redistrict if their house seat total was unaffected in 2020 ?

If any it’d be one of the smaller ones like NH, ME, or HI
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