Newspaper Headline: Day after election 2016
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Author Topic: Newspaper Headline: Day after election 2016  (Read 15132 times)
Donerail
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« Reply #75 on: January 13, 2013, 06:16:31 PM »


He's MURICA's Governor, successfully primaries Rick Scott, Dem's nominate some uber liberal FDP hack who has a huge scandal happen two weeks away from the election.

A primary challenge is plausible, but I'm interested as to who this uber-liberal FDP hack with the huge scandal is. Alex Sink and Charlie Crist are both moderates, if not conservatives, and both of them have been through enough election cycles for any scandals to be old news by now. Iorio is pro-mass transit but has also been credited with a major drop in crimes (not exactly a liberal hallmark). Rich has made her main issue funding for programs for senior citizens and has been non-notable and bland in the Legislature. Buddy Dyer maybe, but he doesn't strike me as an uber-liberal. The only uber-liberal the FDP could run is Wasserman Schultz, which isn't that plausible, or maybe Anthony Shriver (but I'd vote West over Shriver). I really don't see anyone in that mold around here.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #76 on: January 13, 2013, 08:59:32 PM »


He's MURICA's Governor, successfully primaries Rick Scott, Dem's nominate some uber liberal FDP hack who has a huge scandal happen two weeks away from the election.

A primary challenge is plausible, but I'm interested as to who this uber-liberal FDP hack with the huge scandal is. Alex Sink and Charlie Crist are both moderates, if not conservatives, and both of them have been through enough election cycles for any scandals to be old news by now. Iorio is pro-mass transit but has also been credited with a major drop in crimes (not exactly a liberal hallmark). Rich has made her main issue funding for programs for senior citizens and has been non-notable and bland in the Legislature. Buddy Dyer maybe, but he doesn't strike me as an uber-liberal. The only uber-liberal the FDP could run is Wasserman Schultz, which isn't that plausible, or maybe Anthony Shriver (but I'd vote West over Shriver). I really don't see anyone in that mold around here.

It was Shriver!
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Sopranos Republican
Matt from VT
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« Reply #77 on: January 13, 2013, 09:58:05 PM »

Clinton's not going to lose in a landslide in Arkansas,  a Dem can't loose PA then win OH just doesn't work like that and lol just 'cause she's governor doesn't mean she'll win NM.
NM has been close in 2000 and 2004. Who says its impossible? The Republicans taking PA and loosing Ohio on the other hand, is way out there.
And it's unconstitutional for Clinton to pick Cuomo as her running-mate. Unless she changes her residence back to Arkansas, she needs a new VP.
Oh, I'm sorry, I totally forgot about that, I'll revise it. But I don't see what's wrong with the map. New Mexico is usually a battleground state and the fact that Martinez is governor could push her over the top. And Pennsylvania seems to be trending republican, while Ohio is always really close it seems that the big cities Cleveland and Cincinatti give the dems the edge.
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TNF
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« Reply #78 on: January 15, 2013, 10:20:47 AM »

404-134-0
Clinton/Brown ticket defeats Christie/Ayotte, Ventura ticket makes strong showing
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Sopranos Republican
Matt from VT
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« Reply #79 on: January 15, 2013, 08:54:20 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2013, 09:25:04 PM by Matt from VT »

Fixed it. I have Hillary winning Montana by a very slim margin, because of Schweitzer.

MARTINEZ ELECTED FIRST WOMAN PRESIDENT; DEFEATS DEMOCRAT HILLARY CLINTON
 
In a tightly contested race right to the very end, Republicans New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez and her running mate New Jersey Governor Chris Christie have defeated the Democratic nominees, former First Lady and New York Senator Hillary Clinton, and her running mate former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer.

Electoral Map
Susana Martinez (R-NM)/Chris Christie (R-NJ) 276 Electoral votes 49.3% Popular Vote
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-NY)/Brian Schweitzer (D-MT) 262 Electoral votes 48.6% Popular Vote
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wan
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« Reply #80 on: January 15, 2013, 09:07:05 PM »

Obama wins a 3rd third term as U.S President
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #81 on: January 15, 2013, 09:29:45 PM »

CLINTON SENDS CHRISTIE TO THE GYM

WINS BY 400+ ELECTORAL VOTES
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Maxwell
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« Reply #82 on: January 15, 2013, 10:39:49 PM »

Obama wins a 3rd third term as U.S President .

This is about 2016, not 2040.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #83 on: January 15, 2013, 11:53:03 PM »

Loving these titles!!!

If it's Christie v. Clinton I'd be so happy with either
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badgate
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« Reply #84 on: January 16, 2013, 03:23:05 AM »

^NOOO!
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #85 on: January 16, 2013, 06:34:53 AM »

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Ty440
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« Reply #86 on: January 16, 2013, 06:13:45 PM »

Obama wins a 3rd third term as U.S President


Or how about Michelle O as a figure head for a 3rd term?
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NHI
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« Reply #87 on: January 16, 2013, 07:12:46 PM »


November 9, 2016, 3:19pm
Electoral changes cost Clinton election.

Just four years ago with Obama's defeat of Mitt Romney it appeared as if the GOP was at an electoral disadvantage.  Even if Mitt Romney had won the popular vote by around two points, he could have still lost the electoral college.  Now thanks to changes by state legislators in key battleground states just a few years ago, the electoral/popular vote split is a reality.  However the roles are reversed, with the Democrats winning by five points in the popular vote yet still narrowly losing the electoral college.



The above map for 2016 looks drastically different than the one from 2012, just one election prior.  And it's not just due to which states voted for who.  A whopping five states adopted the method of assigning electoral votes based on congressional district.  These changes place Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Virginia all in the same category as Maine and Nebraska.  The difference is that all of these additional states have many more congressional districts and they aren't as uniform as those in Maine or Nebraska.  The changes in the allocation of votes in these five states changes what would have been a 294-234 victory for the Democratic ticket of Hillary Clinton and Maria Cantwell into a 272-266 win for Republican ticket Chris Christie and Susana Martinez.

The selection of Maria Cantwell which seemed to be a strong coalition at the time, proved to cost Clinton a possible victory as well.  In the Vice Presidential debate allowed Susana Martinez to paint Maria Cantwell as out of touch with some of the non-coastal Western states.  Had Clinton been able to hold onto Nevada or Colorado, she would have won the election.  Chris Christie's massive play for Iowa proved vital to his victory as well; with Clinton's plays for Kentucky and Tennessee falling short.  The number of close states this election doesn't tell the whole story of just how polarized the country has become.  While there were more states closer this election, there were also many states with over 60% of the vote going to one candidate.  In addition, the Urban/Rural divide continues to grow. The impact of third-party candidate Gary Johnson proved to be stronger than the previous 2012 election thanks to a stronger grassroots campaign and proved to help Christie's dominance in some vital Western states.  Below is a chart of how close states were.

   State      % GOP   
   Idaho      63.12%   
   Oklahoma      62.97%   
   Alabama      62.45%   
   South Dakota      62.14%   
   Utah      61.12%   
   Wyoming      60.77%   
   Arizona      60.08%   
   Nebraska      59.73%   
   North Dakota      58.63%   
   South Carolina      58.49%   
   Georgia      58.28%   
   Kansas      58.11%   
   Louisiana      57.24%   
   Mississippi      56.22%   
   Texas      56.13%   
   Alaska      55.72%   
   West Virginia      55.53%   
   Montana      55.19%   
   Florida      52.37%   
   Tennessee      50.89%   
   New Mexico      50.69%   
   Kentucky      49.78%   
   North Carolina      49.40%   
   Nevada      49.33%   
   Iowa      49.22%   
   Arkansas      48.91%   
   Colorado      48.37%   
   Virginia      48.00%   
   Wisconsin      47.74%   
   New Hampshire      47.66%   
   Pennsylvania      47.54%   
   Indiana      47.32%   
   Missouri      47.18%   
   Ohio      46.91%   
   Michigan      46.82%   
   New Jersey      46.19%   
   Maine      44.43%   
   Connecticut      43.18%   
   Oregon      41.87%   
   Minnesota      40.01%   
   California      38.78%   
   Rhode Island      38.58%   
   Washington      37.99%   
   Illinois      37.71%   
   New York      37.38%   
   Maryland      37.29%   
   Massachusetts      36.87%   
   Delaware      36.08%   
   Vermont      35.91%   
   Hawaii      32.97%   
   District Of Columbia      11.26%   
               

There are many things that stand out with these results.  For instance, Clinton carried Arkansas whilst Christie carried Colorado despite Christie getting a larger percentage of the vote in Arkansas.  This comes from the strength third-party Candidate had in Colorado while not in Arkansas.  Also of note are that each candidate won five states with under 50% of the vote.  For Christie: Kentucky, North Carolina, Nevada, Iowa, and North Carolina.  For Clinton: Ohio, Missouri, Indiana, Pennsylvania, and Arkansas.  Gary Johnson campaigned extensively in around half of these states, helping to push some of them below the threshold.  Overall the popular vote percentage seems to be heading in the direction of 50% for Clinton, 45% for Christie, and 5% for Gary Johnson.  Christie only got over 50% of the vote in 21 states; Clinton only got over 50% of the vote in 19 states and the District of Columbia.  This makes 26 states for Christie and 24 states for Clinton along with the District of Columbia.  Yet in five of the 24 states Clinton carried, Christie received electoral votes.

In Virginia and Wisconsin, where Clinton carried over 50% of the vote, she won 7/13 and 6/10 electoral votes respectively.  However in Michigan where she also carried over 50% of the vote she carried a mere 7/16 electoral votes.  In Ohio and Pennsylvania where she won with less than 50% of the vote she won 10/18 and 9/20 electoral votes respectively.  What happened with Michigan and Pennsylvania?  The effects of gerrymandered done by Republican legislators in those states proved successful as the layout of congressional districts favoured the Republican ticket.  These districts did take quite a while to account for with many proving very close, although none were won without 50% of the vote.  Still, with the election as close as it was, Clinton did not concede until around 9am this morning when some close districts in Pennsylvania were finally called.

Congressional districts weren't only important for the Presidential election of course.  Republicans have maintained the House thanks to gerrymandering by state legislators remaining strong.  This election looks to be yet a third cycle in a row of Democrats winning the popular vote for the House and still remaining unable to regain control of the chamber.  Meanwhile there was a transfer of power in the other chamber of Congress.  Republicans managed to make some vital pick-ups placing them at 50 seats in the chamber.  This will allow Vice President-elect Susana Martinez to be the deciding vote for any split decisions.  Republicans also remain in control of a majority of Governorships and vital state legislatures as well.  Stay tuned for future articles on what all of this means for the Democratic Party.

Wow! How did you create the map?
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NHI
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« Reply #88 on: January 17, 2013, 09:59:23 AM »

Got it. Thanks.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #89 on: January 17, 2013, 11:24:50 AM »

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traininthedistance
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« Reply #90 on: January 17, 2013, 01:58:06 PM »


November 9, 2016, 3:19pm
Electoral changes cost Clinton election.

The nightmare scenario.

If this happens, it will make Bush v. Gore look like a sunshine n' rainbows walk in the park.  Or at least it effing better.
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Devils30
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« Reply #91 on: January 23, 2013, 11:43:23 PM »

I'm not sure any part of Philly, Richmond, Detroit, Milwaukee would be left standing following the riots but that was a very creative headline!
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jfern
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« Reply #92 on: January 24, 2013, 05:04:24 AM »

No one saw the winning ticket coming very far in advance.

Governor Jerry Brown elected President at age 78. He and his running mate Tammy Duckworth beat a Christie / Jeb Bush ticket.
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seanNJ9
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« Reply #93 on: January 25, 2013, 04:08:26 AM »

MRS. PRESIDENT
Clinton's Historic Victory


(Pretty much what the NY Post had in 2008 after Obama won, but minus an S and name change)
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #94 on: January 25, 2013, 09:18:41 AM »

MRS. PRESIDENT
Clinton's Historic Victory


(Pretty much what the NY Post had in 2008 after Obama won, but minus an S and name change)


I've always thought it would be Madam President.
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