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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, Senator ON Progressive)
  NJ Obama swing
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Poll
Question: what caused NE NJ to swing sharply to Obama?
#1
unprecedented hispanic turnout
 
#2
white voters more sympathetic to Obama because of the storm
 
#3
latent weakness for Christie
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: NJ Obama swing  (Read 1671 times)
a83192
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« on: January 05, 2013, 02:23:46 pm »
« edited: January 05, 2013, 02:26:34 pm by a83192 »

Why did NE NJ swing to Obama sharply when public opinion polls there show Christie, a Republican mind you, surging.  

  What made people there swing sharply to Obama?  

 depressed Republican turnout due to the storm?
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #1 on: January 05, 2013, 02:26:24 pm »

GOP embrace of nativism.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #2 on: January 05, 2013, 02:36:30 pm »

Sandy hits Republican southern areas.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2013, 08:42:08 am »

Sandy hits Republican southern areas.

I don't see how you can make the case that Sandy hit Republican Southern NJ and Staten Island without hitting Democratic Northern NJ. I'm sure Sandy had an impact on turnout, but I really don't see how only Republicans had reduced turnout and not Democrats.
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Sbane
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2013, 11:38:56 am »

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hopper
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« Reply #5 on: January 07, 2013, 04:37:32 pm »

Sandy hits Republican southern areas.

I don't see how you can make the case that Sandy hit Republican Southern NJ and Staten Island without hitting Democratic Northern NJ. I'm sure Sandy had an impact on turnout, but I really don't see how only Republicans had reduced turnout and not Democrats.
Sandy did damage to the Southern Part of Jersey(The Shore Area) worse than the Northern Jersey area though. The Shore Area is a very Republican area with exception of Atlantic County. Still I think Romney did damage to himself in NJ with comments like self-deportation(26% of Jersey combined is Hispanic or Asian.) Sending abortion rights back to the states is a no-go in Jersey too.
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True Federalist
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« Reply #6 on: January 07, 2013, 08:20:27 pm »

Sending abortion rights back to the states is a no-go in Jersey too.

Why?  Are they worried New Jersey would ban abortion if it could?
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Sbane
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« Reply #7 on: January 08, 2013, 10:36:30 am »
« Edited: January 08, 2013, 02:47:32 pm by Sbane »

Sending abortion rights back to the states is a no-go in Jersey too.
Why?  Are they worried New Jersey would ban abortion if it could?

Or maybe they care about the unfortunate women living in states where abortion is likely to be banned?
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Antonio V
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« Reply #8 on: January 08, 2013, 12:29:24 pm »

Sending abortion rights back to the states is a no-go in Jersey too.

Why?  Are they worried New Jersey would ban abortion if it could?

Out of solidarity for women outside NJ, maybe?
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hopper
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« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2013, 01:14:19 pm »

Sending abortion rights back to the states is a no-go in Jersey too.

Why?  Are they worried New Jersey would ban abortion if it could?
Well New Jersey is center-left idealogically on social issues.
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