Bush's Late Strategy

[Derek]

That turned out not to be a good idea for him. Look prior to 1992 New Jersey and California were both important battleground states and Bill Clinton didn't win CA by any ridiculous amounts. He barely won New Jersey in 1992. Rove and Bush may have been thinking on those terms. I pointed out on another forum for this site that 1992 looks to have been a realignment with certain states.

Vermont
Maine
New Jersey
Connecticut
Delaware
California
Alabama
Mississippi
Georgia
Montana
Colorado

All of these states changed that year and haven't been the same since.

[Derek]

The polls showed him winning comfortably as they did in 2004 for 3 weeks following the GOP convention. Those would've been the next states in line. That's the same as Obama spending his last few days in Texas, Georgia, Arizona, the Dakotas, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Polls will change strategies whether they should or not.

[Derek]

FL was safer and it was worth more electoral votes. It's also more conservative than PA at the national level.