2016 Official Polling Map Thread

[Person Man]

What's interesting is that though Bush seems to be able to compete with Hillary, he seems to negate all of Hillary's weaknesses.

[Person Man]

It looks like mainstream Republicans do worse against Hillary, not better.

[Person Man]

Well, by mainstream, I mean "balanced", establishment conservatives and neoconservatives, not paleos like Paul or fundies like Huckabee.

[Person Man]

That's mostly because you have teabaggers who say they're undecided in Clinton v. mainstream Republican matchups, I would guess. They'll come home by election day.

Did we see a similar effect with Romney in 2012?

Actually, Romney did as well as Bush amongst the base and the base was united behind as soon as it was clear that he was to be nominated. Romney's performance light red territory was Reagan, or at least 1988-like.