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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  2016 Official Polling Map Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 Official Polling Map Thread  (Read 110293 times)
Flake
JacobTiver
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« on: July 06, 2013, 05:44:54 am »

I think Cory Booker is a qualified nominee for the democrats, the only problem is that he has such a low name recognition outside of the northeast that he couldn't win the primaries.
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Flake
JacobTiver
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« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2014, 12:59:26 am »

Are you guys taking into account that PPP does have a left-leaning bias?

Actually it was the most accurate pollster in 2012, so I don't think there's much bias.
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2014, 01:55:22 pm »

I really wish the color coding would be consistent.
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2014, 01:09:39 am »

I really wish the color coding would be consistent.

Eric and I are measuring different things.

1. He has maps for swings, which I do not have.

2. He is averaging polls; I do not average polls unless the polls are within a week from each other. I normally replace polls with new ones.

3. I reject polls that seem grossly out of line (unless someone corroborates them) and any in which someone  leads with less than 40% of the vote. Thus I have no poll from New Hampshire, the poll that Eric accepted being something like a 38-37 poll.

4. Check the legends on any maps that either of us make.

I'm talking about Eric's maps because in some parts of the post he uses red to represent Clinton, and in some parts he uses blue to represent Clinton and he should stick with one color for one candidate (not to be mean, but it just makes more sense).


Average all 32 states: Hillary vs Best Republican: D +0.5%

+2.2% D improvement (from Obama 2012) [projecting a 6.0% victory for Hillary]

Giving us this map:

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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2015, 02:15:41 pm »

Will you make Clinton vs. Rubio maps, too?

Whom do you suggest that I drop? I'm thinking of dropping Christie.

I am tempted to do so if Marco Rubio abandons all efforts  to hold his Senate seat.

Yes, drop Christie.
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