MT-PPP: Baucus potentially vulnerable, Schweitzer does better

[Miles]

Report.

In addition to Baucus, they also tested Schweizter and former NARAL President Nancy Keenan.

Matchups:

Baucus (D)- 44%
Daines (R)- 49%

Baucus (D)- 47%
Edmunds (R)- 37%

Baucus (D)- 46%
Fox (R)- 43%

Baucus (D)- 42%
Racicot (R)- 47%

Baucus (D)- 45%
Stapleton (R)- 38%

Keenan (D)- 39%
Daines (R)- 49%

Keenan (D)- 41%
Edmunds (R)- 36%

Keenan (D)- 40%
Fox (R)- 45%

Keenan (D)- 38%
Racicot (R)- 50%

Keenan (D)- 40%
Stapleton (R)- 40%

Schweitzer (D)- 48%
Daines (R)- 45%

Schweitzer (D)- 52%
Edmunds (R)- 37%

Schweitzer (D)- 49%
Fox (R)- 43%

Schweitzer (D)- 45%
Racicot (R)- 46%

Schweitzer (D)- 49%
Stapleton (R)- 39%

Schweitzer leads Baucus 54/35 in the primary.

Baucus's approval is 45/48.

[RogueBeaver]

Decoyable with a good candidate, but in the end I think Baucus wins fairly easily.

[King]

Montana Democrats always somehow find a way.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Primary! Primary!

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

How likely is Racicot to run?

[morgieb]

Ouch. Though I don't know if a good candidate runs against Baucus.

[SPC]

Baucus (D)- 44%
Daines (R)- 49%

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piVnArp9ZE0

[Maxwell]

Senator Schweitzer!

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Senator Schweitzer!

Would it seem like a power-grab if be ran for Senate, won, then ran for POTUS?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Montana Republicans always somehow find a way to screw it up.

Fixed.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Montana Republicans always somehow find a way to screw it up.

Fixed.

Fixed Again.

[Asian Nazi]

Dang I thought he had higher approvals than that.  Could be a cool race to watch unfold.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Montana Republicans always somehow find a way to screw it up.

Fixed.

You mean Robert Kelleher isn't Senator?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Come on Racicot, now is your chance. Just look at Tommy Thompson and what he did and then do the exact opposite.

[Brittain33]

How likely is Racicot to run?

He refused to run 12 years ago when he would have had a relatively easy shot.

I think he's also at risk of losing a primary because he compromised on some issues as governor and enacted non-discrimination orders for gays in state government. He's from a different time and that leaves him open to attack in today's primaries.

[Talleyrand]

So Baucus is performing worse than Begich and Landrieu in early polling? Pretty interesting, and it suggests he may be more vulnerable than initially speculated, although definitely far from a pushover.

Raciot's pretty old, but I think he'd run a much better campaign than Thompson were he to enter, but I don't see it happening. Attorney General Fox or Daines would be the strongest realistic candidates, but I could easily see Corey Stapleton closing in once he gets more name recognition.

[Obamanation]

Either Baucus saturates the airwaves with his cash or Schweitzer primaries him and cruises. Likely D, either way.

BTW, is Baucus on retirement watch lists?

[Talleyrand]

Either Baucus saturates the airwaves with his cash or Schweitzer primaries him and cruises. Likely D, either way.

BTW, is Baucus on retirement watch lists?

He's stated in the past he intends to run, but there has been some speculation he may take the easy way out. So he's on the watch lists, though not as high as someone like Tim Johnson, obviously.

[RogueBeaver]

Schweitzer reiterates he has no interest in running but that he'll have "big news" in the next few days.

http://www.kpax.com/mobile/story.cfm?n=76257

[HoosierPoliticalJunkie]

Baucus has a great attack machine.

He completely destroyed Mike Taylor in 2002 with the "hair care" ad.

This seat should be D hold regardless unless 2014 is as bad as 2010 for Dems.