2004 Democratic Primary

[© tweed]

Is there any way we can make maps?

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

The best way to make maps like that is using GIS data... the problem is that all the GIS data I can find for Canada is locked at Universities rather than freely available like it is in America.  I'm still looking though...

Elections Canada has an excellent mapping system.. but it would be difficult to make an independent map from it.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

An update... I found a GIS map of the old (301) districts... but still no luck on the 308.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

There'll be a map after the election (Atlas of Canada usually does and CBC might as well)... but that's a bit late

An alternative would be to get outline maps of the different provinces, and draw the ridings on, based on the Elections Canada maps.
But that takes a long time.

[Siege40]

Even if you could find a map it would be hard to do anything with it, Canda has such a huge amount of land and such dense areas of population. Toronto seats number the same amount likely in most provinces and they are only a couple blocks. So any riding map would be difficult to fill in.

Siege

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

You could do insets for Toronto, Vancouver, etc... which is not hard to do with GIS.

There *are* GIS maps available... I just need someone who goes to a Canadian University to do some hunting for us!

[© tweed]

There *are* GIS maps available... I just need someone who goes to a Canadian University to do some hunting for us!

I think Canadian Observer does

[Filuwaúrdjan]

UPDATED: John Crosbie will not be running in Avalon

[Siege40]

The other day I heard about the possiblilty of a Conservative Minority Governement on a radio talk show. With every passing week that seems more and more likely. I'll be frank, the idea of the Conservative-Alliance Party in power in Canada scares me to the bone. I believe that Canada is on the crux of an important era, this is the time before the Baby Boomers retire and place a huge drain on medical resources, if the crisis occurs under the Conservatives then I expect the one response that I've grown to expect from them, "PRIVITIZE NOW!" They'll drop all ties to public healthcare and set up the private care they've always wanted. Healthcare needs reform and investment right now, not cuts and neglect. Vote NDP or Liberal, for the love of god, for the good of the country!

Siege

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

I suppose "investment" is a code word for "tax increase" in Canada too?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

A CPC minority government wouldn't last long and would be a disaster for their future electoral prospects.

[Siege40]

I suppose "investment" is a code word for "tax increase" in Canada too?

In my opinion htmldon taxes are worth public healthcare, so ya tax increases, for those what are richest and can best afford it. I pretty much agree with the NDP on their platform for taxation www.ndp.ca .

Siege

[Filuwaúrdjan]

More poll yawning:

Ipsos (all-but-a-tracking-poll) Lib 34, Con 30, NDP 16, BQ 11, Green 6, Other 2

SES (tracking) Lib 36, Con 26, NDP 20, BQ 13, Green 5

[Siege40]

For the love of God I hope that SES is more accurate. I point out however that the Conservatives winning a Minority Government would likely have to call an election by 2007 so that they could A) thicken up their minority or B) gain the majority. I say this because a minority Conservative government would find it difficult to pass legislation without pandering to the NDP, Bloc or Greens (if there are Greens). Their new grand vision for Canada would be a little difficult to instrument to say the least. After last week's bilingual statements and their Alliance past the Bloc won't be anxious to help them, so I wouldn't bet on Bloc support like many pundits are.

Siege

[MODU]

Sorry folks.  Didn't know which thread to put this one under:

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20040601/us_nm/economy_dc_3

"Factories, Construction Are Booming"

"NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. factories cranked up output at a cracking pace in May and construction spending surged to a third straight record high in April, according to reports on Tuesday that showed the economy gathering speed."

You can read the rest of the article at the address provided above.

[muon2]

Sorry folks.  Didn't know which thread to put this one under:

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20040601/us_nm/economy_dc_3

"Factories, Construction Are Booming"

"NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. factories cranked up output at a cracking pace in May and construction spending surged to a third straight record high in April, according to reports on Tuesday that showed the economy gathering speed."

You can read the rest of the article at the address provided above.

As good as any place.

We forget that the economic growth occurring now demands energy. That's a significant part of the reason for the $2 a gallon gas price. Though fears of attacks in the mideast are part of the high cost of gas, it's not the only reason.

Unfortunately I agree with jmfcst that it's hard for consumers to look past the price of gas when judging the economy.

[TeePee4Prez]

(see first post of this thread for more charts)

Job growth strong
 
Strong April report shows unemployment rate down to 5.6%; March jobs total revised up.
 
April added 288,000 jobs
March number was revised up to 337,000 jobs from the 308,000

http://money.cnn.com/2004/05/07/news/economy/jobless/index.htm

Avg. salary of jobs lost under Bush Administration: $41,000
"                             "gained"                                ":$26,000

McJobs people.  These are artificial numbers.  The good paying jobs in and around Philadelphia have tanked.  A lot of the new, good paying jobs are in government.  

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Avg. salary of jobs lost under Bush Administration: $41,000
"                             "gained"                                ":$26,000

McJobs people.  

No, it's just that when the tech bubble brust, it took with it a lot of 6 figure jobs.

[opebo]

Avg. salary of jobs lost under Bush Administration: $41,000
"                             "gained"                                ":$26,000

McJobs people.  These are artificial numbers.  The good paying jobs in and around Philadelphia have tanked.  A lot of the new, good paying jobs are in government.  

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Lets face it, most jobs do not pay well.

[classical liberal]

...which is why working for a living is a sh**tty way to go.

[MODU]

...which is why working for a living is a sh**tty way to go.

hahaha . . . if we all won the Powerball lottery, and therefore all retired to enjoy our new riches, the government will just find new ways to tax us.  

But I can handle that.  

[opebo]

...which is why working for a living is a sh**tty way to go.

Agreed.  I'm certainly opting out of it.

[© tweed]

I can only find links to sites stating Reagan trailed Mondale by 9 points in 1983.  Im not sure where I heard the 30% figure (maybe I was thinking of Clinton trailing Dole in 95, or maybe Im thinking Reagan in late 82).  

But, even trailing by 9% in 83 and winning by 18% in 84, shows that the undercurrrents during 83 were tilted heavily toward Reagan.

I think you are think how Reagan trailed Carter by 31% in 1/80.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

New SES/CPAC tracking poll:
Lib 36, Con 25, NDP 22

[Siege40]

New SES/CPAC tracking poll:
Lib 36, Con 25, NDP 22

What about the Bloc and Green? 15% Block 2% Green? Do you guys think that the Greens will win any seats at all this election, if so will they get the required seats for party status (3 I think) in your opinion?

Siege