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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  KS-PPP: Rubio 47% Clinton 42%; Ryan 50% Clinton 43%
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Author Topic: KS-PPP: Rubio 47% Clinton 42%; Ryan 50% Clinton 43%  (Read 1355 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: February 27, 2013, 05:28:36 pm »

PPP 2016 poll of Kansas:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/02/kansas-miscellany.html

Rubio 47%
Clinton 42%

Ryan 50%
Clinton 43%

Clinton favorability / unfavorability:
45% / 46%
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Beat-‘Em-All Beto
Clinton1996
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« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2013, 05:31:00 pm »

The fact that she's within 10 points speaks a ton to her competitiveness on GOP-turf.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2013, 05:31:53 pm »

Kansas is more of a Team Republican state than conservative state, so its not shocking she would trail here.

It does remind me of when Giuliani was within 6 of Connecticut, but still.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2013, 05:33:55 pm »

As is common in these general election matchups with Clinton, massive gender gap in both matchups, and very flat age gap, with the 30-45 age group (narrowly) being the GOP's best age range.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2013, 05:36:49 pm »

Come on, If she doesn't run with her coming within in 5 in Kansas, she is the stupidest politican I have ever known
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #5 on: February 28, 2013, 12:20:16 am »

Come on, If she doesn't run with her coming within in 5 in Kansas, she is the stupidest politican I have ever known

Maybe she doesn't want a politician any more.

At least that's my hope.
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #6 on: February 28, 2013, 10:55:46 am »

The fact that she's within 10 points speaks a ton to her competitiveness on GOP-turf.

Not really.  It speaks mainly of her name recognition.  Most of those undecideds and a few of her supporters in this poll are that way because they don't know enough about the other guy to say they'd vote for him.  If an election were held there with a quickie one month campaign to let the electorate be somewhat informed, I'd expect based on this poll that the result would be something like:

R - 54 %
Clinton - 44%
Other  2%

While that would be the best Democratic performance in Kansas since 1976 when Carter got 45%, I doubt she would do that well with a longer campaign that included a chance for her negatives to go up
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Obamanation
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« Reply #7 on: February 28, 2013, 11:20:25 am »

The fact that she's within 10 points speaks a ton to her competitiveness on GOP-turf.

Not really.  It speaks mainly of her name recognition.  Most of those undecideds and a few of her supporters in this poll are that way because they don't know enough about the other guy to say they'd vote for him.  If an election were held there with a quickie one month campaign to let the electorate be somewhat informed, I'd expect based on this poll that the result would be something like:

R - 54 %
Clinton - 44%
Other  2%

While that would be the best Democratic performance in Kansas since 1976 when Carter got 45%, I doubt she would do that well with a longer campaign that included a chance for her negatives to go up


Still would do better than Obama '08...
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #8 on: February 28, 2013, 12:13:37 pm »

Still would do better than Obama '08...

Better than Obama '12 for certain, but more like about the same as Obama '08 after the effects of an actual campaign took its inevitable toll on her negatives.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2013, 01:23:15 pm »

Ryan probably does better than Rubio because of racism.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: March 20, 2013, 02:24:19 pm »

Ryan probably does better than Rubio because of racism.

Or the name recognition differential.
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