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  PA-PPP: To Hillary, Santorum would lose as badly as in 2006
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Author Topic: PA-PPP: To Hillary, Santorum would lose as badly as in 2006  (Read 1201 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: March 13, 2013, 03:31:04 pm »

Looking towards 2016 Hillary Clinton would be an overwhelming favorite in the state- she leads Paul Ryan (52/40), Marco Rubio (52/37), and Rick Santorum (55/38) all by double digit margins.

Santorum is not popular in his home state, with 42% of voters rating him favorably to 46% with a negative opinion. That compares pretty unfavorably to Clinton's 55/35 in the state.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/03/pennsylvania-miscellany.html#more
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2013, 03:33:29 pm »

I presume she'd about the same as Obama in Philly and better everywhere else, especially the West. She obviously wins Fayette/Greene/Beaver/Cambria/Mercer, probably Washington and Lawrence. Westmoreland, Indiana, Somerset, and Armstrong are sadly gone, and Butler was never really Democratic.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2013, 03:37:02 pm »

Ouch. Again, the election is a long time away, but still.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2013, 08:50:02 pm »

In non-paragraph form:

Clinton 52%
Rubio 37%

Clinton 52%
Ryan 40%

Clinton 55%
Santorum 38%

This is the Clinton/Rubio margin in the Midwestern and/or Rustbelt states that PPP has polled since the first of the year:

MI: Clinton +14
MN: Clinton +13
PA: Clinton +15
WI: Clinton +14
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2013, 06:24:48 am »

I must say I'm quite disappointed that Christie isn't polled. Him vs. Hillary in Pennsylvania would be interesting.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2013, 07:58:17 am »

No surprise. The Favorite Son effect works to the political benefit only of a politician who has a positive image in his state. He will still be known as an in-house (technically Senate) enforcer for a bad President. His Hard Right ideology can win in Pennsylvania only in a wave election for Republicans (see also Senator Pat Toomey, whose approvals  just went underwater).

The Favorite Son effect works to a large extent because people know the politician in question -- if the association is positive. It does nothing to help a politician known and despised.   
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #6 on: March 20, 2013, 09:02:50 pm »

Absolutely no surprise. I know people in PA that absolutely despise Santorum. They see him as an embarrassment to their state.
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Korwinist
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2013, 04:10:16 pm »

Least favourite son
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