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  2014 Senatorial Predictions
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Latest 2014 Predictions (Highest Scores)
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slick67 (R-SC)
by slick67 on 2014-12-10 @ 08:29:37
Map 11-03 21 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2014-12-04 @ 13:19:50
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by KS21 on 2014-11-20 @ 08:45:47
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by MATTROSE94 on 2014-11-10 @ 10:44:28
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by dmurphy1984 on 2014-11-05 @ 05:41:19
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by nyancat on 2014-11-04 @ 01:58:43
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by IceSpear on 2014-11-04 @ 01:02:42
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by wingindy on 2014-11-04 @ 00:29:01
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by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 17:16:21
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by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 16:44:11
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Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2014 Senatorial Predictions  (Read 221112 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: March 16, 2013, 04:41:12 pm »

The 2014 Senatorial Predictions are now active.
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Governor Zeeland
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2013, 04:00:24 pm »
« Edited: April 21, 2013, 09:03:37 am by Governor Zeeland »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Mark Darr (R)
Colorado: Jane Norton (R)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Karen Handel (R)
Hawaii special: Charles Djou (R)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Chet Culver (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (R)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Justin Amash (R)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Tate Reeves if Cochran retire) (R)
Montana: Max Baucus (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Gary Johnson (R, maybe as indi or lib?)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (R)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi(or Cynthia Lummis if he retire) (R)
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2013, 09:56:06 pm »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Mark Darr (R)
Colorado: Jane Norton (R)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Karen Handel (R)
Hawaii special: Charles Djou (R)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Chet Culver (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Bill Cannidy (R)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Justin Amash (R)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Tate Reeves if Cochran retire) (R)
Montana: Max Baucus (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Gary Johnson (R, maybe as indi or lib?)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi(or Cynthia Lummis if he retire) (R)
LOL no on the bolds
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2013, 12:41:41 am »
« Edited: June 25, 2013, 11:52:39 pm by Rockefeller »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Mark Pryor (D)
Colorado: Mark Udall (D)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Karen Handel (R)
Hawaii special: Colleen Hanabusa (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Mark Keenum (R)
Montana: Marc Racicot (R)
Nebraska: Adrian Smith (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsay Graham (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Natalie Tennant (D)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)
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Governor Zeeland
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2013, 09:02:53 am »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Mark Darr (R)
Colorado: Jane Norton (R)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Karen Handel (R)
Hawaii special: Charles Djou (R)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Chet Culver (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Bill Cannidy (R)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Justin Amash (R)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Tate Reeves if Cochran retire) (R)
Montana: Max Baucus (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Gary Johnson (R, maybe as indi or lib?)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi(or Cynthia Lummis if he retire) (R)
LOL no on the bolds

Well, regarding the names in bold, it might be a little wishful thinking on my part xD
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2013, 11:03:44 am »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mead Treadwell (R)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado: Mark Udall (D)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Karen Handel (R)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (R)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) or Tate Reeves (R)
Montana: Max Baucus (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heinemann (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)
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Scott
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« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2013, 02:07:59 pm »

Provided that the Democrats are good at keeping their elections as local as possible.  Flips in bold.



Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado: Mark Udall (D)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: John Barrow (D)
Hawaii special:
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Tate Reeves if Cochran retire) (R)
Montana: Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #7 on: April 21, 2013, 03:43:44 pm »

Alabama- Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska- Mead Treadwell (R)
Arkansas- Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado- Mark Udall (D)
Delaware- Chris Coons (D)
Georgia- Paul Broun (R)
Hawaii- Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho- Jim Risch (R)
Illinois-Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa- Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas- Todd Tiahart (R)
Kentucky Alison Lundgren Grimes (D)
Louisana- Bill Cassidy (R)
Maine- Susan Collins- (R)
Massachusetts- Ed Markey (D)
Michigan- Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota- Al Franken (D)
Mississippi- Stacey Pickering (R)
Montana- Champ Edmunds (R)
Nebraska- Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire- Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey- Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico- Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina- Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma- Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon- Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island- Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina- Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina Special- Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota- Kristi Noem (R)
Tennessee- Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas- John Cornyn (R)
Virginia- Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia- Shelly Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming- Elizabeth Cheney (R)
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #8 on: April 22, 2013, 12:40:29 pm »
« Edited: August 28, 2013, 03:43:10 pm by OC »

Alabama- Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska- Begich (D)
Arkansas- Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado- Mark Udall (D)
Delaware- Chris Coons (D)
Georgia- Handle
Hawaii- Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho- Jim Risch (R)
Illinois-Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa- Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas- Todd Tiahart (R)
Kentucky Mitch (R)
Louisana-Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine- Susan Collins- (R)
Massachusetts- Ed Markey (D)
Michigan- Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota- Al Franken (D)
Mississippi- Stacey Pickering (R)
Montana- Daines (R)
Nebraska- Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire- Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey- Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico- Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina- Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma- Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon- Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island- Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina- Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina Special- Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota- Rounds (R)
Tennessee- Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas- John Cornyn (R)
Virginia- Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia- Shelly Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming- Enzi (R)
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gay gay gay bathhouses
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« Reply #9 on: April 25, 2013, 01:42:07 am »

Provided that the Democrats are good at keeping their elections as local as possible.  Flips in bold.



Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado: Mark Udall (D)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: John Barrow (D)
Hawaii special: Colleen Hanabusa (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Tate Reeves if Cochran retire) (R)
Montana: Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)

Pretty much these exactly.
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AmosNC
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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2013, 12:56:22 pm »

I don't think Graham will keep his seat.  People in SC (especially in Low Country) cannot stand him.
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Governor Zeeland
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« Reply #11 on: May 20, 2013, 04:36:20 pm »

I don't think Graham will keep his seat.  People in SC (especially in Low Country) cannot stand him.

Those Low Country people are smart
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« Reply #12 on: May 23, 2013, 08:22:41 pm »

I don't see Graham losing yet unfortunately. Unless I am mistaken, his home base is up in the northwest, and his hawkishness should appeal to the people by the coast.
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« Reply #13 on: June 12, 2013, 08:13:24 pm »

In some states, we can't exactly predict if we don't know the candidates, so I'm going to offer my predictions based on different scenarios. Seems like the only feasible way to do it.

Alabama
Sessions                        Safe R Hold

Alaska
Begich v. Treadwell         Lean D Hold
Begich v. Miller               Likely D Hold
Begich v. Palin                Safe D Hold
Overall: Likely D Hold

Arkansas
Pryor v. Cotton              Lean R Pickup
Pryor v. Darr                 Likely D Hold
Pryor v. Womack           Toss-Up
Overall: Toss-Up

Colorado
Udall                             Safe D Hold

Delaware
Coons                           Safe D

Georgia
Cleland v. Broun            Likely D Pickup
Cleland v. Gingrey         Likely D Pickup
Cleland v. Kingston        Likely D Pickup
Cleland v. Handel           Likely D Pickup
Nunn v. Broun              Lean D Pickup
Nunn v. Gingrey           Lean D Pickup
Nunn v. Kingston         Toss-Up
Nunn v. Handel            Lean R Hold
Carter v. Broun             Toss-Up
Carter v. Gingrey          Toss-Up
Carter v. Kingston        Lean R Hold
Carter v. Handel           Lean R Hold
Overall: Lean D Pickup (only because the GOP field is unusually weak and the Dem field is unusually strong)

Hawaii
Hanabusa                    Safe D Hold
Schatz v. Lingle           Safe D Hold
Schatz v. Djou             Lean D Hold
Overall: Likely D Hold

Idaho
Risch                           Safe R Hold

Illinois
Durbin                         Safe D Hold

Iowa
Braley                          Likely D Hold

Kansas
Roberts                        Safe R Hold

Kentucky
McConnell v. Grimes     Lean D Pickup
McConnell v. Other       Likely R Hold
Overall:                        Toss-Up

Louisiana
Landrieu                      Likely D Hold

Maine
Collins                         Safe R Hold

Massachusetts
Markey                        Safe D Hold

Michigan
Peters v. Rogers           Likely D Hold
Peters v. Land              Likely D Hold
Overall: Likely D Hold

Minnesota
Franken                      Safe D Hold

Mississippi
Cochran                      Safe R Hold

Montana
Schweitzer                  Safe D Hold

Nebraska
No idea what candidates will run since Johanns is retiring, but regardless, it's a Safe R Hold

New Hampshire
Shaheen                     Safe D Hold

New Jersey
Booker                        Safe D Hold

New Mexico
Udall                           Safe D Hold

North Carolina
Hagan                         Lean D Hold

Oklahoma
Inhofe                         Safe R Hold

Oregon
Merkley                       Safe D Hold

Rhode Island
Reed                           Safe D Hold

South Carolina
Graham                      Safe R Hold
Graham Primaried Out          Lean R Hold

South Carolina Special
Scott                          Safe R Hold

South Dakota
Rounds                       Safe R Pickup

Tennessee
Alexander                    Safe R Hold

Texas
Cornyn                       Likely R Hold

Virginia
Warner                       Safe D Hold


West Virginia
Moore Capito              Likely R Pickup

Wyoming
Enzi                          Safe R Hold

Lightning Round
Alabama: Sessions
Alaska: Begich
Arkansas: Cotton
Colorado: Udall
Delaware: Coons
Georgia: TOO DIFFICULT
Hawaii: Hanabusa
Idaho: Risch
Illinois: Durbin
Iowa: Braley
Kansas: Roberts
Kentucky: Grimes
Louisiana: Landrieu
Maine: Collins
Massachusetts: Markey
Michigan: Peters
Minnesota: Franken
Mississippi: Cochran
Montana: Schweitzer
Nebraska: Osborn
New Hampshire: Shaheen
New Jersey: Booker
New Mexico: Udall
North Carolina: Hagan
Oklahoma: Inhofe
Oregon: Merkley
Rhode Island: Reed
South Carolina: Graham
South Carolina Special: Scott
South Dakota: Rounds
Tennessee: Alexander
Texas: Cornyn
Virginia: Warner
West Virginia: Moore Capito
Wyoming: Enzi

Georgia certainly looks to be the most competitive/exciting race of the year.
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GAworth
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« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2013, 12:14:11 pm »

For Georgia, GOP Candidates will most likely be Gingrey and Democratic will be Nunn, I believe Nunn will pull it off, but it will be crazy close.
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GAworth
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« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2013, 09:06:06 pm »

Alabama: Sessions
Alaska: Begich
Arkansas: Cotton
Colorado: Udall
Delaware: Coons
Georgia: Nunn
Hawaii: Hanabusa
Idaho: Risch
Illinois: Durbin
Iowa: Braley
Kansas: Roberts
Kentucky: Grimes
Louisiana: Landrieu
Maine: Collins
Massachusetts: Markey
Michigan: Peters
Minnesota: Franken
Mississippi: Cochran
Montana: Schweitzer
Nebraska: Heineman
New Hampshire: Shaheen
New Jersey: Booker
New Mexico: Udall
North Carolina: Hagan
Oklahoma: Inhofe
Oregon: Merkley
Rhode Island: Reed
South Carolina: Graham
South Carolina Special: Scott
South Dakota: Rounds
Tennessee: Alexander
Texas: Cornyn
Virginia: Warner
West Virginia: Moore Capito
Wyoming: Cheney
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2013, 11:44:47 am »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (Republican)
Alaska: Mead Treadwell (Republican)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (Republican)
Colorado: Mark Udall (Democrat)
Delaware: Chris Coons (Democrat)
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (Democrat)
Hawaii: Brian Schatz (Democrat)
Idaho: Jim Risch (Republican)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (Democrat)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (Democrat)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (Republican)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (Republican)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (Republican)
Maine: Susan Collins: (Republican)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (Democrat)
Michigan: Gary Peters (Democrat)
Minnesota: Al Franken (Democrat)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Republican)
Montana: Champ Edmunds (Republican)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (Republican)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (Democrat)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (Democrat)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (Democrat)
North Carolina: Thom Tillis (Republican)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (Republican)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (Democrat)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (Democrat)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (Republican)
South Carolina Special: Tim Scott (Republican)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (Republican)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (Republican)
Texas: John Cornyn (Republican)
Virginia: Mark Warner (Democrat)
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito (Republican)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (Republican)
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #17 on: October 16, 2013, 06:31:02 pm »

Ark Pryor
GA  Nunn
IA.  Braley
KY  McConnell
LA   Landrieu
MI   Peters
MT.  Walsh
NC.  Hagen
SD.  Rounds
WV.  SMC
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2013, 11:01:26 am »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (Republican)
Alaska: Mead Treadwell (Republican)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (Republican)
Colorado: Mark Udall (Democrat)
Delaware: Chris Coons (Democrat)
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (Democrat)
Hawaii: Brian Schatz (Democrat)
Idaho: Jim Risch (Republican)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (Democrat)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (Democrat)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (Republican)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (Republican)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (Republican)
Maine: Susan Collins: (Republican)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (Democrat)
Michigan: Gary Peters (Democrat)
Minnesota: Al Franken (Democrat)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (Republican)
Montana: Champ Edmunds (Republican)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (Republican)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (Democrat)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (Democrat)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (Democrat)
North Carolina: Thom Tillis (Republican)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (Republican)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (Democrat)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (Democrat)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (Republican)
South Carolina Special: Tim Scott (Republican)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (Republican)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (Republican)
Texas: John Cornyn (Republican)
Virginia: Mark Warner (Democrat)
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito (Republican)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (Republican)


Just a question - don't necessarily mean to challenge your predictions, but you think Hagan goes down in NC? And the GOP ends up taking both AK and LA too? I think they happen in this order if at all: AK then LA then NC. I think Landrieu is significantly stronger as a candidate than Hagan, but the state is a harder win for her (even though she has a history of pulling out close elections). I think Hagan is a weaker candidate, but the thin GOP bench + negative press from the GOP Legislature/McCrory favors her.

Also...Champ Edmunds? What? The only Republican candidate who could possibly beat John Walsh is Steve Daines, and he's probably running.
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2013, 11:15:07 am »

I'm updating my predictions from June. Some of them were very misinformed, and some of them just have changed a lot.

Alabama: Jeff Sessions
Alaska: Mark Begich
Arkansas: Tom Cotton**
Colorado: Mark Udall
Delaware: Chris Coons
Georgia: Michelle Nunn
Hawaii: Colleen Hanabusa**
Idaho: Jim Risch
Illinois: Dick Durbin
Iowa: Bruce Braley
Kansas: Pat Roberts
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes**
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu
Maine: Susan Collins
Massachusetts: Ed Markey
Michigan: Gary Peters
Minnesota: Al Franken
Mississippi: Thad Cochran
Montana: John Walsh**
Nebraska: Shane Osborn
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen
New Jersey: Cory Booker
New Mexico: Tom Udall
North Carolina: Kay Hagan
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe
Oregon: Jeff Merkley
Rhode Island: Jack Reed
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham
South Carolina Special: Tim Scott
South Dakota: Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander
Texas: John Cornyn
Virginia: Mark Warner
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito**
Wyoming: Mike Enzi

**Least Confident (McConnell, Pryor, Tennant, Daines, and Schatz could all easily win as well)
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CnstutnlCnsrvatv
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« Reply #20 on: October 20, 2013, 02:57:10 pm »

Alabama: Jeff Sessionsha s a 100% chance of winning
Alaska: joe miller will be the nominee and the senator
Arkansas:  to mcotton will win because he loves the constitution and mark pryor wants to force arkansans into gay abortions
Colorado: could go either way but i think the pubs have the slight edge depending on who they nominate
Delaware: coons will probably win but o'donnell could make it very competitive, especially if biden son is the nominee after he primaries coons becauset he biden name in adelwre is bad now because they are embarrassed
Georgia: Gingrey
Hawaii: if hanabuka and sh**ts cause enough rival they can probably make a rino like lingee win, it should be someone beter but hey its a pick up chance
Idaho: Risch
Illinois: Durbin because the frauds from scihago if that were stoppdd a true conservative like keyes could win he has run in illinois before and wouldnt tolerate the fraud biker gangs and abortion lovers
Iowa: Whoever the repbulcians nominate will defeat braley easily, this one is gone
Kansas: Roberts
Kentucky: Mat bevin will almost certainly be the nomienee and winner when people find out grimes will probably import brown ones from chicago to swing the results, mcconnell would still beat grimey but he is a rino
Louisiana: Senator Cassidy will be great
Maine: A tea party freedom fighter will beat collins and win the seat, maine isnt that liberal and collin's hijinks in the seante cannot work
Massachusetts: markey could keep the seat, but if the right rino runs than mass will evict the commie
Michigan: land will win easily against the chubber, this race is gone thanks to the unions
Minnesota: big contest here, dems could maybe defend it, idk
Mississippi: whoever beats cochran
Montana: daines
Nebraska: osborn
New Hampshire:  hte republican nominee, this one is basically gone shaheen has a 15ish% chance of holdin gon because of all the atheist commies in new hmp
New Jersey: if the accusations of cory bookers homosexuality becomes true it could swing idk hopefully lonegan runs again
New Mexico: slight edge to udall but the dems will have to work hard to defend this one
North Carolina: hagan dont have a chace
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe, on eof my favorites!
Oregon: merkley will not be reelected
Rhode Island: Jack Reed cause of the frauds lots of hippies and motorcycle gangs make the dems win here
South Carolina: Cash!
South Carolina Special: Scott!
South Dakota: rino rounds will fail in the primary against true conservative larry rhoden he gets the seat easily in the general
Tennessee: javaris lamar or whatever his name is will lose in the primary
Texas:hopefully gohmert runs but cornyn is fine and can win easy
Virginia: mark warner has an edge but we'll see idk va is weird it voted obama but its not libral
West Virginia: McGeehan easily
Wyoming: two great candidates! id be hapy with enzi or cheney, enzi prolly gets it
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emcee0
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2013, 11:48:50 am »
« Edited: October 24, 2013, 01:10:21 pm by emcee0 »

Alabama: Jeff Sessionsha s a 100% chance of winning
Alaska: joe miller will be the nominee and the senator
Arkansas:  to mcotton will win because he loves the constitution and mark pryor wants to force arkansans into gay abortions
Colorado: could go either way but i think the pubs have the slight edge depending on who they nominate
Delaware: coons will probably win but o'donnell could make it very competitive, especially if biden son is the nominee after he primaries coons becauset he biden name in adelwre is bad now because they are embarrassed
Georgia: Gingrey
Hawaii: if hanabuka and sh**ts cause enough rival they can probably make a rino like lingee win, it should be someone beter but hey its a pick up chance
Idaho: Risch
Illinois: Durbin because the frauds from scihago if that were stoppdd a true conservative like keyes could win he has run in illinois before and wouldnt tolerate the fraud biker gangs and abortion lovers
Iowa: Whoever the repbulcians nominate will defeat braley easily, this one is gone
Kansas: Roberts
Kentucky: Mat bevin will almost certainly be the nomienee and winner when people find out grimes will probably import brown ones from chicago to swing the results, mcconnell would still beat grimey but he is a rino
Louisiana: Senator Cassidy will be great
Maine: A tea party freedom fighter will beat collins and win the seat, maine isnt that liberal and collin's hijinks in the seante cannot work
Massachusetts: markey could keep the seat, but if the right rino runs than mass will evict the commie
Michigan: land will win easily against the chubber, this race is gone thanks to the unions
Minnesota: big contest here, dems could maybe defend it, idk
Mississippi: whoever beats cochran
Montana: daines
Nebraska: osborn
New Hampshire:  hte republican nominee, this one is basically gone shaheen has a 15ish% chance of holdin gon because of all the atheist commies in new hmp
New Jersey: if the accusations of cory bookers homosexuality becomes true it could swing idk hopefully lonegan runs again
New Mexico: slight edge to udall but the dems will have to work hard to defend this one
North Carolina: hagan dont have a chace
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe, on eof my favorites!
Oregon: merkley will not be reelected
Rhode Island: Jack Reed cause of the frauds lots of hippies and motorcycle gangs make the dems win here
South Carolina: Cash!
South Carolina Special: Scott!
South Dakota: rino rounds will fail in the primary against true conservative larry rhoden he gets the seat easily in the general
Tennessee: javaris lamar or whatever his name is will lose in the primary
Texas:hopefully gohmert runs but cornyn is fine and can win easy
Virginia: mark warner has an edge but we'll see idk va is weird it voted obama but its not libral
West Virginia: McGeehan easily
Wyoming: two great candidates! id be hapy with enzi or cheney, enzi prolly gets it
dude are you fcking high?
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2013, 02:18:14 pm »
« Edited: October 24, 2013, 04:35:32 pm by OC »

We definitely will have some losses but it may be balanced out will net gains, like Walsh can definitely win while Treadwill upstages Begich.

I can see a scenario which Grimes and Nunn replaces Landrieu and Hagan also.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2013, 06:20:57 pm »

Alabama: Jeff Sessionsha s a 100% chance of winning
Alaska: joe miller will be the nominee and the senator
Arkansas:  to mcotton will win because he loves the constitution and mark pryor wants to force arkansans into gay abortions
Colorado: could go either way but i think the pubs have the slight edge depending on who they nominate
Delaware: coons will probably win but o'donnell could make it very competitive, especially if biden son is the nominee after he primaries coons becauset he biden name in adelwre is bad now because they are embarrassed
Georgia: Gingrey
Hawaii: if hanabuka and sh**ts cause enough rival they can probably make a rino like lingee win, it should be someone beter but hey its a pick up chance
Idaho: Risch
Illinois: Durbin because the frauds from scihago if that were stoppdd a true conservative like keyes could win he has run in illinois before and wouldnt tolerate the fraud biker gangs and abortion lovers
Iowa: Whoever the repbulcians nominate will defeat braley easily, this one is gone
Kansas: Roberts
Kentucky: Mat bevin will almost certainly be the nomienee and winner when people find out grimes will probably import brown ones from chicago to swing the results, mcconnell would still beat grimey but he is a rino
Louisiana: Senator Cassidy will be great
Maine: A tea party freedom fighter will beat collins and win the seat, maine isnt that liberal and collin's hijinks in the seante cannot work
Massachusetts: markey could keep the seat, but if the right rino runs than mass will evict the commie
Michigan: land will win easily against the chubber, this race is gone thanks to the unions
Minnesota: big contest here, dems could maybe defend it, idk
Mississippi: whoever beats cochran
Montana: daines
Nebraska: osborn
New Hampshire:  hte republican nominee, this one is basically gone shaheen has a 15ish% chance of holdin gon because of all the atheist commies in new hmp
New Jersey: if the accusations of cory bookers homosexuality becomes true it could swing idk hopefully lonegan runs again
New Mexico: slight edge to udall but the dems will have to work hard to defend this one
North Carolina: hagan dont have a chace
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe, on eof my favorites!
Oregon: merkley will not be reelected
Rhode Island: Jack Reed cause of the frauds lots of hippies and motorcycle gangs make the dems win here
South Carolina: Cash!
South Carolina Special: Scott!
South Dakota: rino rounds will fail in the primary against true conservative larry rhoden he gets the seat easily in the general
Tennessee: javaris lamar or whatever his name is will lose in the primary
Texas:hopefully gohmert runs but cornyn is fine and can win easy
Virginia: mark warner has an edge but we'll see idk va is weird it voted obama but its not libral
West Virginia: McGeehan easily
Wyoming: two great candidates! id be hapy with enzi or cheney, enzi prolly gets it
dude are you fcking high?

No, just a troll.
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
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« Reply #24 on: November 28, 2013, 12:30:57 am »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado: Mark Udall (D)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes (D)
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R)
Montana: Steve Daines (R)
Nebraska: Dave Heinemann (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)
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