2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

[NewYorkExpress]

Alaska- Sean Parnell 57% Scott McAdams 43%
Hawaii- Colleen Hanabusa- 63% Duke Aiona 30%
Oregon- John Kitzhaber 66% Bruce Hanna 31 %
California- Jerry Brown 52% Abel Maldonado 39%
Idaho (Primary) Raul Labrador 51% Butch Otter 47%
Nevada- Brian Sandoval 54% Steve Sisolak 42%
Arizona- Ken Bennett 49% Greg Stanton 47%
Wyoming (primary) Matt Mead 53% Cindy Hill 45%
Colorado- Cory Gardner 51% John Hickenlooper 49%
New Mexico- Susana Martinez 53%  Gary King 44%
South Dakota- Dennis Dauggard (Unopposed)
Nebraska- Pete Ricketts 59% Chris Buetler 38%
Kansas- Sam Brownback 72% Joe Reardon 19%
Oklahoma- Mary Fallin (unopposed)
Texas- Greg Abbott 59% Mike Villarreal 39%
Arkansas- Asa Hutchinson 65% Bill Halter 33%
Iowa- Chet Culver 50% Terry Branstad 49%
Minnesota- Mark Dayton 55% Julie Rosen 43%
Wisconsin- Scott Walker 51% Russ Feingold 48%
Illinois- Lisa Madigan 62% Aaron Schock 33%
Michigan- Rick Snyder 52% Gary Peters 47%
Ohio- EdFitzGerald 49% John Kasich 47%
Tennessee- Bill Haslam- 58% Craig Fitzhugh 41%
Alabama- Robert Bentley- 75% John Rogers 22%
Georgia- Nathan Deal 54% Kasim Reed 44%
South Carolina- Nikki Haley 58% Vincent Sheheen 40%
Florida- Charlie Crist 50% Rick Scott 49%
Maryland- Anthony Brown 68% Micheal Steele 28%
Pennsylvania- Allyson Schwartz 53% Tom Corbett 44%
New York- Andrew Cuomo 64% Marcus Molinario 31%
Connecticut- Chris Shays 52% Dan Malloy 48%
Rhode Island- Gina Raimondo 39% Lincon Chafee 35% Brendan Dohtery 26%
Massachusetts- Setti Warren  54% Richard Tsei 39%
New Hampshire- Maggie Hassan 52% Frank Giunta 47%
Vermont- Peter Shumlin (unopposed)
Maine- Eliot Cutler 35% Paul Lepage 33% Chellie Pingree 32%

[NewYorkExpress]

Updated predictions (without numbers this time)

Alabama- Robert Bentley (R)
Alaska- Sean Parnell (R)
Arizona- Al Melvin (R)
Arkansas- Asa Hutchinson (R)
California- Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado- John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut- Chris Shays (R)
Florida- Charlie Crist/Nan Rich (D)
Georgia- Nathan Deal (R)
Hawaii- David Ige (D)
Idaho- Russell Fulcher (R)
Illinois- Bruce Rauner (R)
Iowa- Terry Branstad (R)
Kansas- Sam Brownback (R)
Maine- Mike Michaud (D)
Maryland- Heather Mizuer (D)
Massachusetts- Steven Grossman (D)
Michigan- Rick Snyder (R)
Minnesota- Mark Dayton (D)
Nebraska- Pete Ricketts (R)
Nevada- Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire- Maggie Hassan (D)
New Mexico- Susana Martinez (R)
New York- Andrew Cuomo (D)
Ohio- Ed FitzGerald (D)
Oklahoma- Mary Fallin (R)
Oregon- John Kitzhaber (D)
Pennsylvania- Allyson Schwartz (D)
Rhode Island Clay Pell (D)
South Carolina- Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota- Dennis Dauggard (R)
Tennesee- Bill Haslam (R)
Texas- Greg Abbott (R)
Vermont- Peter Shumlin (D)
Wisconsin- Scott Walker (R)
Wyoming- Cyndi Hill (R)

Net result is D+1

[NewYorkExpress]

It's time to update...

Alabama- Robert Bentley (I wouldn't be too shocked if Stacey George or Bob Starkey pulled off an upset in the primary, but they too would easily win the general election)
Alaska-Sean Parnell
Arizona-Al Melvin (Wouldn't be stunned if Ducey, Bennett, or Smith won the primary... As for the General, Republicans are favored here, because of the political climate, more than anything else)
Arkansas Debra Hobbs (Asa Hutchinson has a glass jaw, he'll lose the primary... but that won't matter for the General, Arkansas is shifting that quickly)
California Jerry Brown
Colorado Scott Gessler (Hickenlooper's more likely to feel the backlash from Colorado's gun laws than, Udall)
Connecticut Chris Shays (Shays is probably the only Republican who can beat Malloy)
Florida Nan Rich/Charlie Crist (The Winner of the Democratic Primary will beat Rick Scott)
Georgia Nathan Deal (Jason Carter is a very strong candidate, but Democrats have a better chance in the Senate race)
Hawaii Neil Abercrombie
Idaho Russell Fulcher (This is a Governor's race the Tea Party can focus on)
Illinois Dan Rutherford (Picking the GOP primary is going to be a crapshoot, but I think we can agree Quinn is a heavy underdog)
Iowa Terry Branstad
Kansas Paul Davis (You try winning re-election with a 35% approval rating)
Mike Michaud (I actually think Cutler will barely squeak past Lepage for second)
MarylandHeather Mizeur (Am I the only person underestimating Mizeur in the Democratic primary?)
Massachusetts Martha Coakley
Michigan Mark Schauer
Minnesota Mark Dayton
NebraskaPete Ricketts
Nevada Brian Sandoval
New HampshireMaggie Hassan
New Mexico Gary King (Upset Special)
New York Andrew Cuomo (Whenever he announces, although if he wants to run in 2016, I think he'd be better off retiring)
Ohio John Kasich
Oklahoma Mary Fallin
Oregon John Kitzhaber
PennsylvaniaAllyson Schwartz (Corbett is deep trouble)
Rhode IslandAngel Tavares
South Carolina Nikki Haley
South Dakota Dennis Dauggard
Tennessee Bill Haslam
Texas Greg Abbott
Vermont Peter Shumlin
Wisconsin Scott Walker
Wyoming Cindy Hill