2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

[Flake]

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R Hold)
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R Hold)
Arizona: Greg Stanton (D Gain)
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R Gain)
California: Jerry Brown (D Hold)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D Hold)
Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D Hold)
Florida: Alex Sink (D Gain)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R Hold)
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D Hold)
Idaho: Butch Otter (R Hold)
Illinois: Pat Quinn (D hold)
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R Hold)
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R Hold)
Maine: Elliot Cutler (I Gain)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D Hold)
Massachusetts: Mike Cupuano (D Hold)
Michigan: Mark Schauer (D Gain)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D Hold)
Nebraska: Don Stenberg (R Hold)
Nevada: Barbara Buckley (D Gain) [I think it will be close in the polls, and she pulls off an upset.]
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D Hold)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R Hold)
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D Hold)
Ohio: Ted Strickland (D Gain)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R Hold)
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D Hold)
Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz (D Gain)
Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo (D Gain)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R Hold)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R Hold)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R Hold)
Texas: Wendy Davis (D Gain)
Vermont: Peter Shumlin (D Hold)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R Hold)
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R Hold)



(If you haven't noticed, I think Democrats are going to have a splendid midterm)

[Flake]

Update

[Flake]

Pennsylvania: Tom Wolf - 57%, Tom Corbett - 41%. Likely D
Texas: Greg Abbott - 56%, Wendy Davis - 42%. Safe R

Is the rating difference because of elasticity in Pennsylvania?

[Flake]

Update

[Flake]

Update

Election night 2014 we may be well be sitting back & watching both Kansas governor & senate go Democrat. That means watch Iowa Senate & cross our fingers for a close VirginiPrereading a textbook chapter is an active learning strategy that can improve the “communication” between the textbook author and the student. Through prereading, the student develops a mental outline for the entire chapter. This outline is the framework whereby concepts new to the student can be readily learned during more thorough chapter reading or classroom lecture. Prereading allows the student to develop a realistic study plan by providing insight into the length and level of difficulty of the chapter.a election for Senate & see North Carolina senate become like New York governor '94. It is possible both Kansas Senate & Governor go Democrat & Republicans control the Senate.

Interesting thoughts. I definitely agree with the textbook part.

[Flake]

[Flake]

[Flake]

FWIW, my most hackish map:



This was in October 2013

[Flake]

Final Prediction: 24 Democrats, 25 Republicans, 1 Independent

[Flake]

Before the results of the gubernatorial elections prediction contest are announced, I want to note that the three final entries were submitted after the deadline (by Atheist2006, Juin, and jgsf1987), and that these predictors had access to some election results when they posted their predictions. They should either be disqualified, or simply have the penultimate predictions entered rather than the final ones (or earlier ones, if penultimate predictions were also made with access to election results). No Senate predictions were made with access to election results.

EDIT: If you remove predictions made with access to results, just one person predicted Larry Hogan's victory in Maryland -- slick67! Some congratulations are definitely in order, even if some of the other interesting parts of that prediction didn't take place.

Bacon King also predicted Hogan would win