2016 Primary Map Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 195795 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #125 on: February 28, 2016, 01:39:18 AM »
Clinton wins 73-26 in SC, a crushing blow to Sanders.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 68-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 50-33 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #126 on: February 28, 2016, 05:59:35 PM »
Clinton with a large advantage in TX, VA, GA per YouGov. Up 14 in first ever NM Poll.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 63-35 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 61-37 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 59-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #127 on: February 29, 2016, 02:36:08 PM »
Clinton retakes the lead in MA, Sanders takes the lead in OK. New numbers in TX, AZ, AL, MI, FL, GA, TN.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  71-23 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 64-30 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 47-44 Clinton
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 48-43 Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 60-34 Clinton
TX - 59-38 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 59-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #128 on: March 01, 2016, 11:58:35 PM »
Clinton wins all but 4 states in a Great Super Tuesday Performance

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  79-18 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 68-28 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 58-41 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 51-48 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 59-41 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-33 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #129 on: March 02, 2016, 12:06:56 PM »
Updating last night's margins.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #130 on: March 02, 2016, 06:56:48 PM »
A Hillaryslide is coming up in Mississippi

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #131 on: March 02, 2016, 11:18:02 PM »
Clinton dominating in Michigan and Louisiana

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 61-14 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 61-33 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #132 on: March 06, 2016, 12:26:11 AM »
Sanders with a YUGE margin in KS, same for Clinton in LA.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 61-33 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #133 on: March 06, 2016, 01:32:47 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2016, 01:37:10 PM by Wulfric »
Sanders wins Nebraska by 14 points. Clinton up 17 in MI, but only 5 in KY!!!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 57-40 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #134 on: March 07, 2016, 11:48:09 AM »
NY: Clinton +21
ID: Sanders +2 (!)


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 57-40 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #135 on: March 07, 2016, 12:38:29 PM »
MI: Clinton +13

Sanders wins big in Maine! Will update margin when and if we get the final 9% of returns.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 55-42 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #136 on: March 07, 2016, 03:45:21 PM »
Ohio reluctant to feel the Bern.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 55-42 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #137 on: March 07, 2016, 05:13:46 PM »
CLINTON COLLAPSING IN MICHIGAN!!!!


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 52-47 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #138 on: March 07, 2016, 11:00:11 PM »
Just to satisfy IceSpear in his little fantasy world, I averaged the Monmouth and MSU polls. Only boosts Clinton to +9 however, and I will not be surprised if the race is much closer than that. A Sanders win is unlikely but not implausible.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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P P P
« Reply #139 on: March 07, 2016, 11:13:26 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 07, 2016, 11:07:31 PM
Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.



If you look into the document for the MSU poll, it offers a day by day graphic. You can clearly see a Sanders gain in the last few days of their polling. I expect Sanders to hold Clinton to a single digit win tomorrow.
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« Reply #140 on: March 08, 2016, 09:57:37 AM »
Clinton +31 in Florida


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #141 on: March 08, 2016, 12:09:31 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 08, 2016, 12:03:24 PM
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #142 on: March 08, 2016, 01:03:53 PM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on March 08, 2016, 12:58:09 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on March 08, 2016, 12:09:31 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on March 08, 2016, 12:03:24 PM
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?

I added Monmouth originally, and would still be including it if it wasn't for the MSU Poll.

In any case, it's the day of the primary. It's probably getting colored blue soon enough. Icespear, enjoy.
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Posts: 31,667
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #143 on: March 09, 2016, 12:10:05 PM »
MI/MS split!
Clinton +23 in NC, 30 in FL, 9 in OH


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  62-32 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 57-34 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #144 on: March 09, 2016, 05:26:00 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 09, 2016, 05:20:48 PM
Wulfric: Do you know when that Clinton +5 poll was taken in Missouri? I really feel like that's a state that should be polled here soonish.

January
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Political Matrix
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P P P
« Reply #145 on: March 10, 2016, 12:06:44 PM »
Clinton with large leads in PA and NC


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  62-32 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 57-28 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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Political Matrix
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P P P
« Reply #146 on: March 11, 2016, 01:42:40 PM »
Clinton up big in MD, FL, NC. Narrowly in Missouri.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  59-27 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-40 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 58-34 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #147 on: March 12, 2016, 11:26:11 AM »
20 point victory for Hillary in the Northern Mariana Islands.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  59-27 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 44-40 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 58-34 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
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Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,667
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #148 on: March 12, 2016, 11:55:26 AM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 12, 2016, 11:40:11 AM
TBH I would use this map:



Red 30% - Clinton leading by <10%
Red 50% - Clinton leading by >10%
Red 90% - Clinton wins

Green 30% - Sanders leading by <10%
Green 50% - Sanders leading by >10%
Green 90% - Sanders wins

I'm not. The color scheme I'm using allows you to see easily that her 11 point lead in CA is nothing like her 33 point lead in MD, and the key is very clear.
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Posts: 31,667
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #149 on: March 12, 2016, 12:03:25 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 12, 2016, 11:57:47 AM
11% and 33% are like the same thing this far out

Uh, you are aware that MD and CA are in completely different places on the calendar, right? A 33 point lead a month and a half out (MD), and an 11 point lead 3 months out (CA) are different.

I don't see any reason to change except "it's easier to create", and I'm not concerned about that. Thanks for the suggestion, but I'll be sticking with what I have.
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