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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 148323 times)
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #375 on: January 30, 2016, 07:18:07 pm »

DMR polls Iowa; Suffolk polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-12 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #376 on: January 30, 2016, 07:41:38 pm »

Clinton up 3 in IA via DMR.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 45-42 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #377 on: January 31, 2016, 12:57:02 am »

TRUMP-mania sweeping the nation!



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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #378 on: January 31, 2016, 01:52:53 am »

TRUMP-mania sweeping the nation!





Ouch. Even DC supports TRUMP now.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #379 on: January 31, 2016, 04:57:21 pm »

Boston Herald polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #380 on: January 31, 2016, 05:48:21 pm »

I think you missed the Minnesota poll from the Star-Tribune that had Rubio up.  (I can't link it because I don't have enough posts yet.)
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #381 on: January 31, 2016, 06:02:38 pm »

IA: Sanders +1 (Overtime)
NH: Sanders +20 (Boston Herald)
PA: Clinton +27 (Harper)
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-47 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-37 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #382 on: January 31, 2016, 06:04:48 pm »

PaperKooper is correct. The poll was conducted by the Star Tribune/Mason Dixon between the 18th and 20th of January. It is the most recent poll for the state of Minnesota. It can be found at RealClearPolitics.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #383 on: January 31, 2016, 06:23:35 pm »
« Edited: January 31, 2016, 06:32:14 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

PaperKooper is correct. The poll was conducted by the Star Tribune/Mason Dixon between the 18th and 20th of January. It is the most recent poll for the state of Minnesota. It can be found at RealClearPolitics.

Thanks for the information.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #384 on: January 31, 2016, 06:54:57 pm »

No problem. I wish that we could get newer polls in Kentucky, Louisiana, Nebraska and Colorado though.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #385 on: February 01, 2016, 08:00:24 am »

Sorry, but Clinton will win Iowa.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #386 on: February 01, 2016, 12:42:28 pm »

UMass Lowell polls New Hampshire; results very similar to those in the Boston Herald poll. I know that new Iowa polls have been released by Emerson, Opinion Savvy, and Quinnipiac, but I have decided not to use any of them, given that the DMR poll is regarded as the "gold standard" of Iowa polling, and given that we are going to know the actual results tonight, anyway.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #387 on: February 01, 2016, 04:02:45 pm »

Trump led by a slight margin in all three of the most recent polls of Iowa anyways. The margins are very tight though. I don't think that it is out of the realm of possibility that Cruz wins in Iowa tonight.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #388 on: February 01, 2016, 10:43:27 pm »
« Edited: February 01, 2016, 10:51:55 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

Well, all of the polls were wrong; Ted Cruz has won the Iowa caucus. To signify a state which a candidate has won, I will be using the 90% shade on my map.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #389 on: February 01, 2016, 11:28:59 pm »

I'll edit this again if the lead switches, but at this point I am calling the race in IA for Clinton. Extremely narrow, but she has done it. I have added blue to my key to signify an actual win for Clinton.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-37 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #390 on: February 02, 2016, 11:11:54 am »

UMass Lowell's daily tracking poll still shows Trump comfortably ahead in New Hampshire; however, this poll was conducted pre-Iowa, so we have to wait and see what effect, if any, Cruz's victory and Rubio's strong third will have on voters in the Granite State.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-14 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #391 on: February 03, 2016, 12:44:46 pm »

Harper Polling polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-14 Trump-Bush
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #392 on: February 04, 2016, 07:38:43 am »

UMass Lowell shows Trump holding steady, while Rubio surpasses Cruz.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 36-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #393 on: February 04, 2016, 10:48:43 pm »

Sanders up 31 in NH per CNN
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 61-30 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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« Reply #394 on: February 05, 2016, 11:59:14 am »

UMass Lowell polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #395 on: February 05, 2016, 01:43:24 pm »

Sanders only up 9 in NH per Suffolk.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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« Reply #396 on: February 05, 2016, 09:55:48 pm »

Landmark Communications polls Georgia.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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« Reply #397 on: February 06, 2016, 02:04:02 pm »

IMP polls Michigan; ARG polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-21-21 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #398 on: February 06, 2016, 02:10:33 pm »

Clinton up big in GA and MI
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #399 on: February 07, 2016, 12:31:59 am »

Sanders up 15 in Maine!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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