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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  2016 Primary Map Thread
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 149839 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #550 on: March 17, 2016, 03:35:17 pm »

I can't wait for Ben Carson to win Nebraska.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #551 on: March 18, 2016, 01:03:07 am »

I can't wait for Ben Carson to win Nebraska.

I can't wait for Rubio to win Utah next week either.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #552 on: March 18, 2016, 05:32:52 pm »

Emerson polls New York.


Donald Trump: 36 (18) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 9 (8) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + DC + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: GU + VI

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 37-23 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-22 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-29 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 36-19 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 100-0 Uncommitted
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #553 on: March 19, 2016, 11:39:21 pm »

With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump leads narrowly in Missouri, as per NYT. Additionally, we have a new Utah poll, courtesy of Y2 Analytics.


Donald Trump: 36 (19) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 10 (8) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: GU + VI

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 37-23 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-22 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 36-19 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 53-29 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 100-0 Uncommitted
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #554 on: March 21, 2016, 11:09:30 am »

Sanders with a landslide in the Democrats Abroad primary

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #555 on: March 21, 2016, 02:00:00 pm »

Opinion Savvy polls Arizona.


Donald Trump: 36 (19) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 10 (8) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: GU + VI

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 46-33 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-22 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 36-19 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 53-29 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 100-0 Uncommitted
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #556 on: March 22, 2016, 02:10:50 pm »

Apparently, the Virgin Islands delegates have been disqualified and replaced with alternates. Rubio is now tied with uncommitted, which I will count as a belated Rubio win.


Donald Trump: 36 (19) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 10 (8) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 46-33 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-22 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 36-19 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 53-29 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #557 on: March 23, 2016, 01:41:53 am »

Sanders with a landslide in the Idaho Caucus

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #558 on: March 23, 2016, 01:25:11 pm »

With 99% of precincts reporting, TRUMP has won the Arizona Republican Primary by 22 points, as per NYT. American Samoa's delegates will be uncommitted, as per the Green Papers.


Donald Trump: 36 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 10 (8) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-22 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 36-19 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 53-29 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #559 on: March 23, 2016, 07:03:00 pm »

Cruz leading narrowly in Wisconsin, as per Emerson.


Donald Trump: 35 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 11 (8) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-22 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 36-19 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 53-29 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 36-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #560 on: March 24, 2016, 11:09:40 am »

Okay, it appears that the outstanding precincts in Arizona and Utah won't be reporting. Updating map with the results we have.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  58-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #561 on: March 24, 2016, 11:52:44 am »
« Edited: March 24, 2016, 12:01:37 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

With 89% of precincts reporting, Cruz has won Utah with nearly 70% of the vote. PPIC polls California; Franklin and Marshall College polls Pennsylvania.


Donald Trump: 35 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 11 (9) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 38-27 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 64-12 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 33-30 Trump-Kasich
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 36-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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« Reply #562 on: March 25, 2016, 05:27:35 pm »

AZ SOS has final returns - Hillary now rounds to 57% instead of 58%.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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« Reply #563 on: March 26, 2016, 08:00:10 pm »

Alaska has completed its count - 81% Sanders!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 81-19 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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« Reply #564 on: March 27, 2016, 08:50:16 am »

With 100% of precincts reporting, as per NYT, Sanders wins all three of yesterday's caucuses.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 82-18 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
HI - 70-30 Sanders (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 73-27 Sanders (actual result)
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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« Reply #565 on: April 03, 2016, 11:01:39 am »

The LA Times polls California; YouGov polls New York, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.


Donald Trump: 35 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 11 (9) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 36-35 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 52-21 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 47-29 Trump-Cruz
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 43-37 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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« Reply #566 on: April 03, 2016, 09:04:40 pm »

Shouldn't the Democratic map be updated to reflect the changes in Nevada?
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« Reply #567 on: April 03, 2016, 09:05:10 pm »

Shouldn't the Democratic map be updated to reflect the changes in Nevada?

No.
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« Reply #568 on: April 04, 2016, 11:05:40 am »
« Edited: April 09, 2016, 12:33:17 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

The Green Papers currently shows 8 North Dakota delegates for Cruz and 1 for Trump, with the other 19 still uncommitted. Politico, on the other hand, asserts that 18 of the state's delegates are at least leaning towards Cruz. Technically, ALL of the delegates are free to vote as they wish on the first ballot, regardless of currently stated preferences, but for now, I guess I'll just record this as a Cruz victory. Emerson has polled Wisconsin.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 12 (10) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 36-35 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 52-21 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 29-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 47-29 Trump-Cruz
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 40-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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« Reply #569 on: April 06, 2016, 09:02:15 am »

With 100% of precincts reporting, as per NYT, Cruz has won Wisconsin.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 12 (11) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 36-35 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 34-25 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 52-21 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 29-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 47-29 Trump-Cruz
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #570 on: April 06, 2016, 11:04:52 am »

Sanders wins Wisconsin!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 82-18 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
HI - 70-30 Sanders (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 73-27 Sanders (actual result)
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
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« Reply #571 on: April 06, 2016, 06:10:03 pm »
« Edited: April 06, 2016, 06:12:45 pm by Nathan Towne »

Jonathan, why not use blue for Trump (as you are) and yellow for Cruz as it is the color that he seems to have been assigned by many sites across the internet, including the NYT and Wikipedia? Yellow seems like a good color for the Cruz campaign to me as well for some reason.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #572 on: April 09, 2016, 11:59:01 am »

Jonathan, why not use blue for Trump (as you are) and yellow for Cruz as it is the color that he seems to have been assigned by many sites across the internet, including the NYT and Wikipedia? Yellow seems like a good color for the Cruz campaign to me as well for some reason.

Sure; why not? In that case, I'll also make Rubio red and Kasich green, as Wikipedia does.

New Field Poll out of California; Washington Post polls Maryland; Cruz now at 10 delegates in North Dakota, as per the Green Papers; Muhlenberg College polls Pennsylvania.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 12 (11) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 41-31 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 52-21 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 35-28 Trump-Cruz
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
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« Reply #573 on: April 09, 2016, 12:46:53 pm »

Cruz has already won a majority of delegates for Colorado.
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« Reply #574 on: April 09, 2016, 01:25:56 pm »

Cruz has already won a majority of delegates for Colorado.

I'm fully aware of that; I will update the map when the remaining (at-large) delegates are chosen. Thank you for your input.
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