Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 16, 2019, 05:46:45 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  2016 Primary Map Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 Print
Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 146986 times)
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #575 on: April 09, 2016, 07:06:59 pm »

Sanders wins Wyoming!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 82-18 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
HI - 70-30 Sanders (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 61-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 73-27 Sanders (actual result)
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
WY - 56-44 Sanders (actual result)

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #576 on: April 09, 2016, 09:35:47 pm »

Cruz sweeps Colorado.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 41-31 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 52-21 Trump-Cruz
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 35-28 Trump-Cruz
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #577 on: April 10, 2016, 12:33:47 am »

There is now an unbroken chain of anti-Trump states from Mexico to Canada. Just something to keep in mind when the inevitable civil war breaks out after this election and we're trying to anaconda the pro-Trump forces.
Logged
jimrtex
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,102
Marshall Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #578 on: April 10, 2016, 01:21:52 am »

There is now an unbroken chain of anti-Trump states from Mexico to Canada. Just something to keep in mind when the inevitable civil war breaks out after this election and we're trying to anaconda the pro-Trump forces.
We're going to build a law on the eastern boundary and make Trump pay for it.
Logged
Nathan Towne
Full Member
***
Posts: 239
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.03, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #579 on: April 10, 2016, 12:43:22 pm »
« Edited: April 10, 2016, 01:26:59 pm by Nathan Towne »

Nice. That is a lot easier on the eyes.

A few observations. Firstly, whether it be PPP from two years ago up through the Gravis Marketing poll conducted last Summer, Cruz seems to be leading in Montana. The Gravis Marketing poll is probably the most reliable as of now, although there is certainly no doubt that we need a new poll for Montana. Polls conducted during the Summer of 2015 have little value at this point. I am not sure whether or not it was conducted before the poll that had Trump leading. It is possible.

Also, the latest poll in Pennsylvania, conducted by Fox News between the 4th and the 7th of this month, has Trump leading in the state by a mush larger margin than the Morning Call poll conducted immediately before it (beginning on the 1st). They are recording a staggering margin; Trump-48/Kasich-22/Cruz-20.

Latest Democratic Party poll from California, conducted by Field, has Clinton up 47-41 over Sanders. Latest Maryland poll for the Democratic Party has Clinton up 55-40 on Sanders (Wash. Post./Univ. of Maryland). Latest Democratic Party poll out of Pennsylvania, conducted by Fox News, has Clinton up 49-38 over Sanders.

Thanks,
Nathan Towne
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #580 on: April 10, 2016, 06:16:58 pm »

A few observations. Firstly, whether it be PPP from two years ago up through the Gravis Marketing poll conducted last Summer, Cruz seems to be leading in Montana. The Gravis Marketing poll is probably the most reliable as of now, although there is certainly no doubt that we need a new poll for Montana. Polls conducted during the Summer of 2015 have little value at this point. I am not sure whether or not it was conducted before the poll that had Trump leading. It is possible.

The poll currently shown on the map was conducted by Montana State University in November. It is the most recent poll of that state listed in the Atlas database.

Quote
Also, the latest poll in Pennsylvania, conducted by Fox News between the 4th and the 7th of this month, has Trump leading in the state by a mush larger margin than the Morning Call poll conducted immediately before it (beginning on the 1st). They are recording a staggering margin; Trump-48/Kasich-22/Cruz-20.

Thank you. They polled New York as well.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 41-31 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 54-22 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 48-22 Trump-Kasich
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
jimrtex
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,102
Marshall Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #581 on: April 10, 2016, 11:34:33 pm »

A few observations. Firstly, whether it be PPP from two years ago up through the Gravis Marketing poll conducted last Summer, Cruz seems to be leading in Montana. The Gravis Marketing poll is probably the most reliable as of now, although there is certainly no doubt that we need a new poll for Montana. Polls conducted during the Summer of 2015 have little value at this point. I am not sure whether or not it was conducted before the poll that had Trump leading. It is possible.

The poll currently shown on the map was conducted by Montana State University in November. It is the most recent poll of that state listed in the Atlas database.
Maybe switch to gray if the poll is stale (say, 3 months old?)
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #582 on: April 11, 2016, 12:00:39 am »

I'll go ahead and update the polling since it was specifically brought up, although it's pretty much pointless given Hillary's delegate lead. Adding in the following:

NY - 53-37 Clinton (FOX)
PA - 49-38 Clinton (FOX)
MD - 55-40 Clinton (UMD/WaPo)
WV - 44-31 Clinton (39th Street Strategies)
OR - 37-36 Clinton (SUSA)
CA - 47-41 Clinton (Field)




Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 82-18 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 47-41 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
HI - 70-30 Sanders (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 55-40 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 53-37 Clinton
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 37-36 Clinton
PA - 49-38 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 73-27 Sanders (actual result)
WV - 44-31 Clinton
WI - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
WY - 56-44 Sanders (actual result)

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
Logged
Nathan Towne
Full Member
***
Posts: 239
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.03, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #583 on: April 11, 2016, 11:09:34 am »

Wulfric,

It seems as though you think that Sanders has essentially no chance at this point of winning the nomination. Is that accurate?
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #584 on: April 11, 2016, 11:45:59 am »

Wulfric,

It seems as though you think that Sanders has essentially no chance at this point of winning the nomination. Is that accurate?

Yeah. While I've worked out the math for him to catch up in pledged delegates, it requires pulling off a 53-47 win in New York, a 60-40 win in Pennsylvania, a 70-30 win in Oregon, and a 58.5-41.5 win in California (among other things). It's not impossible, but it's really hard to see all of that happening. And even then, you have to account for the possibility that the supers declare it a virtual tie (perhaps pointing to the small NPV lead Hillary would likely still have) and stick with Hillary anyways.
Logged
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #585 on: April 11, 2016, 12:34:06 pm »

Interesting, the West/East divide!

Has that appeared before in US politics?
Logged
Nathan Towne
Full Member
***
Posts: 239
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.03, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #586 on: April 11, 2016, 05:06:31 pm »

Wulfric,

It seems as though you think that Sanders has essentially no chance at this point of winning the nomination. Is that accurate?

Yeah. While I've worked out the math for him to catch up in pledged delegates, it requires pulling off a 53-47 win in New York, a 60-40 win in Pennsylvania, a 70-30 win in Oregon, and a 58.5-41.5 win in California (among other things). It's not impossible, but it's really hard to see all of that happening. And even then, you have to account for the possibility that the supers declare it a virtual tie (perhaps pointing to the small NPV lead Hillary would likely still have) and stick with Hillary anyways.


Yes. Indiana is still to come though as well and he has lead in West Virginia in several previous polls. If Hillary Clinton takes both Kentucky and New Mexico though, based on where he seems to be in New York and California, it is all but over.
Logged
jimrtex
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,102
Marshall Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #587 on: April 12, 2016, 02:01:14 am »

Interesting, the West/East divide!

Has that appeared before in US politics?
1848 and 1976 maybe.
Logged
Nathan Towne
Full Member
***
Posts: 239
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.03, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #588 on: April 12, 2016, 01:51:21 pm »

New poll out of Connecticut, conducted by Emerson, has Trump leading by a margin of twenty-four points over Kasich; 50%-Trump/26%-Kasich/17%-Cruz.

Quinnipiac now has Trump leading 55-Trump/20-Kasich/19-Cruz in New York.

I can't say that I am liking these polling results.
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #589 on: April 12, 2016, 09:10:14 pm »

New poll out of Connecticut, conducted by Emerson, has Trump leading by a margin of twenty-four points over Kasich; 50%-Trump/26%-Kasich/17%-Cruz.

Quinnipiac now has Trump leading 55-Trump/20-Kasich/19-Cruz in New York.

I can't say that I am liking these polling results.

Thanks.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 50-26 Trump-Kasich
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 41-31 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 55-20 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 48-22 Trump-Kasich
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,065


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #590 on: April 13, 2016, 03:12:56 pm »

Now Carson is leading in as many upcoming states as Cruz!
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #591 on: April 18, 2016, 10:03:59 pm »

Monmouth polls Maryland; Rutgers polls New Jersey; 0ptimus polls New York.


Donald Trump: 34 (20) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 50-26 Trump-Kasich
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 47-27 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 52-24 Trump-Kasich
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 49-24 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 48-22 Trump-Kasich
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #592 on: April 20, 2016, 03:49:32 am »
« Edited: April 20, 2016, 04:21:02 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

With 98% of precincts reporting, as per the NYT, TRUMP has won New York with more than 60% of the vote.


Donald Trump: 34 (21) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 50-26 Trump-Kasich
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 47-27 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 52-24 Trump-Kasich
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 60-25 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 48-22 Trump-Kasich
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #593 on: April 20, 2016, 11:27:00 am »

NY for Clinton


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 82-18 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 47-41 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
HI - 70-30 Sanders (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 55-40 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 58-42 Clinton (actual result)
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 37-36 Clinton
PA - 49-38 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 73-27 Sanders (actual result)
WV - 44-31 Clinton
WI - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
WY - 56-44 Sanders (actual result)

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #594 on: April 21, 2016, 04:30:09 am »

Quinnipiac polls Connecticut; Gravis polls Delaware; PPP polls Maryland.


Donald Trump: 34 (21) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 48-28 Trump-Kasich
DE 55-18 Trump-Kasich
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 43-29 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 52-24 Trump-Kasich
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 60-25 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 48-22 Trump-Kasich
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #595 on: April 22, 2016, 02:36:45 pm »

WTHR polls Indiana; Franklin and Marshall polls Pennsylvania.


Donald Trump: 34 (21) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 48-28 Trump-Kasich
DE 55-18 Trump-Kasich
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 37-31 Trump-Cruz
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 43-29 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 52-24 Trump-Kasich
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 60-25 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 40-26 Trump-Cruz
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #596 on: April 26, 2016, 09:50:40 pm »
« Edited: April 26, 2016, 10:16:59 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

With 100% of precincts reporting, as per the NYT, Donald J. TRUMP has won Delaware and Rhode Island by 41 points and 40 points, respectively.


Donald Trump: 34 (23) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 48-28 Trump-Kasich
DE 61-20 Trump-Kasich
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 37-31 Trump-Cruz
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 43-29 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 52-24 Trump-Kasich
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 60-25 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 40-26 Trump-Cruz
RI 64-24 Trump-Kasich
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #597 on: April 27, 2016, 12:29:58 am »

4/5 for Clinton on 4/26


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 82-18 Sanders (actual result)
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  57-40 Clinton (actual result)
CA - 47-41 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 52-47 Clinton (actual result)
DE - 60-39 Clinton (actual result)
FL -  65-33 Clinton (actual result)
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
HI - 70-30 Sanders (actual result)
ID - 78-21 Sanders (actual result)
IL -  50-49 Clinton (actual result)
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 63-33 Clinton (actual result)
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 58-42 Clinton (actual result)
NC - 55-41 Clinton (actual result)
OH - 57-43 Clinton (actual result)
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 37-36 Clinton
PA - 56-44 Clinton  (actual result)
RI - 55-43 Sanders (actual result)
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 79-20 Sanders (actual result)
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 73-27 Sanders (actual result)
WV - 44-31 Clinton
WI - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
WY - 56-44 Sanders (actual result)

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Northern Mariana Islands - 54-34 Clinton (actual result)
Democrats Abroad - 69-31 Sanders (actual result)
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #598 on: April 27, 2016, 07:11:02 am »


Donald Trump: 34 (26) States + MP
Ted Cruz: 13 (12) States
Marco Rubio: 1 State + DC + PR + VI
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Uncommitted: AS + GU

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 47-25 Trump-Cruz
CA 39-32 Trump-Cruz
CO 100-0 Cruz
CT 58-29 Trump-Kasich
DE 61-20 Trump-Kasich
DC 37-36 Rubio-Kasich
FL 46-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 39-30 Trump-Cruz
IN 37-31 Trump-Cruz
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 54-23 Trump-Kasich
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 41-41 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 52-24 Trump-Kasich
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 60-25 Trump-Kasich
NC 40-37 Trump-Cruz
ND 36-4 Cruz-Trump
OH 47-36 Kasich-Trump
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 57-22 Trump-Cruz
RI 64-24 Trump-Kasich
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 69-17 Cruz-Kasich
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 48-35 Cruz-Trump
WY 66-20 Cruz-Rubio

-----

Territories:

AS 100-0 Uncommitted
GU 56-11 Uncommited-Cruz
MP 73-24 Trump-Cruz
PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
VI 33-33 Rubio-Uncommitted
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #599 on: April 27, 2016, 11:28:55 am »

Wulfric, don't forget to include the CBS and Fox polls of Indiana.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC