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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 148623 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
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« Reply #50 on: February 08, 2014, 03:06:31 pm »



Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie
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Scott
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« Reply #51 on: February 12, 2014, 02:22:37 pm »

NC-PPP: Huckabee leads with 20%



Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie
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excelsus
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« Reply #52 on: February 17, 2014, 10:14:28 am »



Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #53 on: February 17, 2014, 01:05:38 pm »

7 different leaders in 25 different states - I like it. Tongue

Yet looking at 4 of the first states to vote - Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida - it's looking like becoming a rat race between Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush, which would be fairly interesting.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #54 on: February 17, 2014, 04:33:04 pm »

7 different leaders in 25 different states - I like it. Tongue

Yet looking at 4 of the first states to vote - Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida - it's looking like becoming a rat race between Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush, which would be fairly interesting.

Florida isn't one of the first states to vote anymore.  The order is most likely IA, NH, NV, SC.
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excelsus
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« Reply #55 on: February 18, 2014, 02:31:27 pm »



Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie
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Scott
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« Reply #56 on: February 24, 2014, 03:03:50 pm »



Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie
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Representative Carpetbagger
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« Reply #57 on: March 05, 2014, 04:48:34 pm »

Is Rand Paul beating Huckabee in Arkansas! I hope he is!!!
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Scott
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« Reply #58 on: March 06, 2014, 09:12:12 am »

For reference, it should be noted that two polls conducted in New Hampshire have shown Mitt Romney leading the field in that state.  However, for obvious reasons, those polls should be excluded from these maps.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #59 on: March 06, 2014, 10:05:57 am »

For reference, it should be noted that two polls conducted in New Hampshire have shown Mitt Romney leading the field in that state.  However, for obvious reasons, those polls should be excluded from these maps.

"No, no, no, no, no, no, no and no" doesn't mean the same as "I'd rather shoot myself". So I'd say he's still up for convincing. Tongue

Though I agree it's more likely that Jeb Bush will run. Even his mother is less certain of herself now. She said he's by far the best qualified to run for president. Tongue
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excelsus
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« Reply #60 on: March 06, 2014, 02:59:05 pm »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


P.S.: I've changed Bush's color to red (important color), as Rubio is (currently) politically dead. Once he manages to resurrect his poll numbers, he can get the yellow label.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #61 on: March 06, 2014, 09:10:39 pm »

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Bush is Green, Paul is Yellow, Huckabee is Orange, Ties are in White:



Wisconsin is a Ryan lead but I don't have a color left for him.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+
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excelsus
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« Reply #62 on: March 07, 2014, 04:10:50 pm »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie
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excelsus
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« Reply #63 on: March 15, 2014, 06:52:51 pm »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie
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Aeneas Juilus
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« Reply #64 on: March 27, 2014, 10:45:59 am »

I thought it might be fun to add the delegates for each state and apply them to the potential candidate that is leading.  *I know many aren't all or nothing and many candidates won't run.

Jeb Bush (146) Florida - 98 South Carolina - 48

Chris Christie (429) Mississippi - 38 Illinois - 68 Michigan - 58 Pennsylvania - 71 Virginia - 49 New York - 95 New Jersey - 50

Rand Paul (143) Nebraska - 34 Arkansas - 38 Kentucky - 44 Wyoming - 27

Mike Huckabee (182) Kansas - 38 Iowa - 28 Louisiana - 45 North Carolina - 71

Ted Cruz (311) Arizona - 56 Colorado - 35 Montana - 26 Oklahoma - 41 Texas - 153

Paul Ryan (41) Wisconsin - 41

Ben Carson (37) Maryland - 37
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #65 on: April 09, 2014, 02:07:00 pm »

Please change Mississippi from blue to red. Tongue
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excelsus
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« Reply #66 on: April 10, 2014, 03:15:40 am »

Please change Mississippi from blue to red. Tongue

Okay...




Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie
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excelsus
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« Reply #67 on: April 22, 2014, 06:52:16 am »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie
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excelsus
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« Reply #68 on: April 29, 2014, 03:26:15 pm »
« Edited: April 29, 2014, 06:16:46 pm by excelsus »

Magellan Strategies (R) polls for 10 states



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #69 on: April 29, 2014, 06:08:51 pm »

Magellan Strategies (R) polls for 10 states



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

The Magellan poll of Iowa was taken April 14-15, and the Daily Caller poll (with Huckabee ahead) was taken April 22-24, so the latter is more recent:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191652.0
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excelsus
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« Reply #70 on: April 29, 2014, 06:19:00 pm »


The Magellan poll of Iowa was taken April 14-15, and the Daily Caller poll (with Huckabee ahead) was taken April 22-24, so the latter is more recent:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191652.0


Okay. Changed it.
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excelsus
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« Reply #71 on: May 14, 2014, 07:00:50 pm »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided
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excelsus
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« Reply #72 on: June 08, 2014, 04:00:13 am »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided
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Senator Cris
Cris
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« Reply #73 on: July 11, 2014, 08:15:33 am »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided
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excelsus
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« Reply #74 on: July 22, 2014, 11:27:10 am »



Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided
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