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  2016 Primary Map Thread
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 155191 times)
solarstorm
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« Reply #100 on: April 21, 2015, 02:16:08 pm »

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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #101 on: April 28, 2015, 03:09:24 pm »

Shouldn't Iowa be Walker now?
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solarstorm
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« Reply #102 on: April 28, 2015, 06:11:46 pm »

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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #103 on: June 02, 2015, 12:40:55 pm »



Jeb Bush: 10 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #104 on: June 07, 2015, 10:25:16 am »



Jeb Bush: 11 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #105 on: June 10, 2015, 12:26:01 am »

Someone should put together a game of Risk using the above map as the starting positions.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #106 on: June 14, 2015, 12:35:11 pm »
« Edited: June 14, 2015, 01:28:24 pm by Sannikov »



Jeb Bush: 12 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Rand Paul: 5 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Chris Christie: 3 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
George Pataki: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State
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solarstorm
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« Reply #107 on: June 15, 2015, 06:50:51 pm »

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darthebearnc
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« Reply #108 on: June 15, 2015, 07:43:22 pm »

Stop assuming that Ben Carson will win Maryland just because he's from there.

Kasich and Ohio, too. It's not that Kasich can't win OH, it's just that he'll drop out before the primary.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #109 on: June 15, 2015, 07:46:14 pm »

This is based on actual polls, Dan.

I find it amazing Rubio is not winning a single state yet I still deem him the most likely winner.
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Deranged California Suburbanite
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« Reply #110 on: June 16, 2015, 03:15:11 pm »


I think that the legend for "tied" and "no polls" needs to be flipped.
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mds32
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« Reply #111 on: June 16, 2015, 05:39:54 pm »

At this rate if Sanders ends of leading in a state or two another map will have to be created.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #112 on: June 17, 2015, 01:04:55 pm »

Solarstorm, where did you find numbers for Idaho?
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #113 on: July 28, 2015, 04:04:01 am »
« Edited: July 28, 2015, 04:36:28 am by Senator Cris »

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #114 on: July 28, 2015, 04:12:43 am »

Isn't this the most recent SC poll?:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215011.0

It has Bush ahead there.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #115 on: July 28, 2015, 04:14:12 am »


Yes, you are right. Smiley
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #116 on: August 06, 2015, 03:20:06 am »

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MisSkeptic
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« Reply #117 on: August 06, 2015, 03:27:21 am »

Very interesting and confusing map. The only problem I have is that I picture Nevada going to Rand Paul, and I need to study with Republican candidate is popular in which state. Yes, times change and so do people, however I expect multiple caucuses and primaries to become bitter battle grounds.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #118 on: August 06, 2015, 12:27:20 pm »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #119 on: August 06, 2015, 12:30:13 pm »

Considering the huge Trump lead nationally right now, there are probably only a few home-state states left in which other candidates are leading ...

The map is pretty outdated though, using mostly old polls that do not take into account the recent Trump-surge.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #120 on: August 06, 2015, 02:09:45 pm »

Some candidate strength maps from post-recent Trump surge polling (7/30ish-now)

FIRST TIER (in 5% increments)

Trump:


SECOND TIER (in 3% increments)

Bush:


Walker:


Carson:


Cruz:


Huckabee:


THIRD TIER (In 2% increments)

Rubio:


Christie:


Kasich:


FOURTH TIER (In 1% increments)

Paul:


Fiorina:


Jindal:


Perry:


Graham:


Santorum:


Pataki:
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #121 on: August 06, 2015, 02:10:11 pm »

WINNER (Normal scale, Trump blue, Walker green, Cruz yellow):
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YPestis25
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« Reply #122 on: August 12, 2015, 01:02:48 am »

I guess we finally need a DEM map.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #123 on: August 12, 2015, 01:04:48 am »


I'm pretty sure Sanders already leads in 4+ states (VT, NH, WA, OR) and maybe already in MN/WI and some others like MT.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #124 on: August 12, 2015, 05:32:44 am »



Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

OR is already a statistical tie.
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