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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 142524 times)
solarstorm
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« Reply #100 on: April 17, 2015, 06:27:16 am »


Please note: I have added Marco Rubio to the legend and allocated the color orange to him, as he is an oompa loompa. In return, I gave the crazy doctor the color maroon.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #101 on: April 21, 2015, 02:16:08 pm »

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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #102 on: April 28, 2015, 03:09:24 pm »

Shouldn't Iowa be Walker now?
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solarstorm
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« Reply #103 on: April 28, 2015, 06:11:46 pm »

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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #104 on: June 02, 2015, 12:40:55 pm »



Jeb Bush: 10 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #105 on: June 07, 2015, 10:25:16 am »



Jeb Bush: 11 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #106 on: June 10, 2015, 12:26:01 am »

Someone should put together a game of Risk using the above map as the starting positions.
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My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

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« Reply #107 on: June 14, 2015, 12:35:11 pm »



Jeb Bush: 12 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Rand Paul: 5 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Chris Christie: 3 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
George Pataki: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State
« Last Edit: June 14, 2015, 01:28:24 pm by Sannikov »Logged

solarstorm
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« Reply #108 on: June 15, 2015, 06:50:51 pm »

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« Reply #109 on: June 15, 2015, 07:43:22 pm »

Stop assuming that Ben Carson will win Maryland just because he's from there.

Kasich and Ohio, too. It's not that Kasich can't win OH, it's just that he'll drop out before the primary.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #110 on: June 15, 2015, 07:46:14 pm »

This is based on actual polls, Dan.

I find it amazing Rubio is not winning a single state yet I still deem him the most likely winner.
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« Reply #111 on: June 16, 2015, 03:15:11 pm »


I think that the legend for "tied" and "no polls" needs to be flipped.
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mds32
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« Reply #112 on: June 16, 2015, 05:39:54 pm »

At this rate if Sanders ends of leading in a state or two another map will have to be created.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #113 on: June 17, 2015, 01:04:55 pm »

Solarstorm, where did you find numbers for Idaho?
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #114 on: July 28, 2015, 04:04:01 am »



« Last Edit: July 28, 2015, 04:36:28 am by Senator Cris »Logged

Mr. Morden
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« Reply #115 on: July 28, 2015, 04:12:43 am »

Isn't this the most recent SC poll?:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215011.0

It has Bush ahead there.
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My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

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Senator Cris
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« Reply #116 on: July 28, 2015, 04:14:12 am »

Isn't this the most recent SC poll?:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215011.0

It has Bush ahead there.


Yes, you are right. Smiley
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #117 on: August 06, 2015, 03:20:06 am »



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MisSkeptic
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« Reply #118 on: August 06, 2015, 03:27:21 am »

Very interesting and confusing map. The only problem I have is that I picture Nevada going to Rand Paul, and I need to study with Republican candidate is popular in which state. Yes, times change and so do people, however I expect multiple caucuses and primaries to become bitter battle grounds.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #119 on: August 06, 2015, 12:27:20 pm »



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Tender Branson
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« Reply #120 on: August 06, 2015, 12:30:13 pm »

Considering the huge Trump lead nationally right now, there are probably only a few home-state states left in which other candidates are leading ...

The map is pretty outdated though, using mostly old polls that do not take into account the recent Trump-surge.
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RI
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« Reply #121 on: August 06, 2015, 02:09:45 pm »

Some candidate strength maps from post-recent Trump surge polling (7/30ish-now)

FIRST TIER (in 5% increments)

Trump:


SECOND TIER (in 3% increments)

Bush:


Walker:


Carson:


Cruz:


Huckabee:


THIRD TIER (In 2% increments)

Rubio:


Christie:


Kasich:


FOURTH TIER (In 1% increments)

Paul:


Fiorina:


Jindal:


Perry:


Graham:


Santorum:


Pataki:
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RI
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« Reply #122 on: August 06, 2015, 02:10:11 pm »

WINNER (Normal scale, Trump blue, Walker green, Cruz yellow):
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YPestis25
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« Reply #123 on: August 12, 2015, 01:02:48 am »

I guess we finally need a DEM map.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #124 on: August 12, 2015, 01:04:48 am »

I guess we finally need a DEM map.

I'm pretty sure Sanders already leads in 4+ states (VT, NH, WA, OR) and maybe already in MN/WI and some others like MT.
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