Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 26, 2019, 01:56:33 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  2016 Primary Map Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 26 Print
Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 150237 times)
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #275 on: December 24, 2015, 12:35:16 pm »

New Gravis poll shows Cruz and Trump tied in Iowa.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Sorenroy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,248
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #276 on: December 24, 2015, 04:24:04 pm »
« Edited: December 24, 2015, 04:27:17 pm by Sorenroy »

Even though these are not credible, they are fun to make and it shows what the internet thinks. These are the same support maps according to isidewith.com with the past month setting:

Hillary Clinton:

Bernie Sanders:
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #277 on: December 25, 2015, 11:15:03 am »

New Missouri numbers, courtesy of Remington Research.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Dr. RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,248
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #278 on: December 25, 2015, 11:53:18 am »
« Edited: December 25, 2015, 11:55:25 am by realisticidealist »

Might as well just update weekly from here on



Trump now leads everywhere except DC, though Cruz is close in a lot of states.



Trump's maps look awfully like the pre-Reagan Democratic strength map.
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #279 on: December 26, 2015, 10:18:25 pm »

I am adding the AR overtime Poll only to get a poll that includes Warren out of the database. I don't expect it to be anywhere near the final result.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #280 on: December 27, 2015, 06:17:57 pm »

Clinton going down in TN!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #281 on: December 28, 2015, 12:49:12 pm »

New numbers for Arkansas and Tennessee, courtesy of Overtime Politics.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #282 on: December 29, 2015, 05:08:02 pm »

Gravis polls Nevada.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #283 on: December 29, 2015, 11:42:47 pm »

Sanders has 34 point lead in VT...why can't it be that way in every state?!? WHY?!?

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #284 on: December 30, 2015, 12:01:30 am »

Overtime Politics polls Vermont.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #285 on: December 31, 2015, 10:37:35 pm »

Oklahoma is not very impressed w/ Hillary Clinton, she leads by only 10 points in the state.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #286 on: December 31, 2015, 11:48:45 pm »

Close race in Oklahoma, as per Overtime Politics.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Dr. RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,248
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #287 on: January 02, 2016, 01:42:09 pm »

Trump now leads everywhere except DC, though Cruz is close in a lot of states.



Trump's maps look awfully like the pre-Reagan Democratic strength map.

Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #288 on: January 02, 2016, 07:54:35 pm »

Hillary almost losing in MO!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #289 on: January 03, 2016, 01:48:05 am »

New Missouri poll from Overtime Politics.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #290 on: January 04, 2016, 11:13:21 pm »

NBC Bay Area Field Poll shows Cruz ahead in California.


Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #291 on: January 05, 2016, 01:02:06 am »
« Edited: January 05, 2016, 02:51:18 am by Wulfric »

Didn't notice this Utah poll at the time - http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/7734 - From November but it's more recent than the one I had in the map (September) and doesn't include Biden. 54-34 Clinton.

Also, as I posted in the OP thread, I am not adding the Michigan overtime poll at this time.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #292 on: January 05, 2016, 12:16:51 pm »

With some reservations, I have decided to post the Overtime Politics Michigan poll, simply to get an outdated poll off of the map.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 9 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #293 on: January 06, 2016, 09:52:52 am »

New Alabama numbers, courtesy of News 5.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 9 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #294 on: January 06, 2016, 10:23:40 am »

Clinton remains vulnerable in CA.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
bigedlb
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 280
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #295 on: January 06, 2016, 12:59:15 pm »



Weighted averages by age of poll for polling in the last 30 days
Logged
bigedlb
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 280
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #296 on: January 06, 2016, 01:09:07 pm »



Map that goes with my chart above
Logged
Sorenroy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,248
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #297 on: January 06, 2016, 01:57:47 pm »

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v681/RWonLC/averages_160106_zpsqxlawm7h.png

(Turned the image into a link so it wouldn't take up so much room.)

Weighted averages by age of poll for polling in the last 30 days

What equation did you use? In states with only one poll, you still have it with decimals, did you weigh the national into them at all?
Logged
bigedlb
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 280
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #298 on: January 06, 2016, 02:25:16 pm »

As to decimals.  Like Overtime politics, they give actual number of respondents.  National is not included with states.
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #299 on: January 06, 2016, 03:58:30 pm »

Clinton takes the lead in NH Sad Sad

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 47-44 Clinton
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 26 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC