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  2016 Primary Map Thread
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 148378 times)
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jfern
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« Reply #325 on: January 20, 2016, 05:33:50 am »

You may need to start putting in shading for levels of Sanders leads Wink

Maine and Iowa are slight leads. NH is now around 10 points. And Vermont is probably 30-40 points.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #326 on: January 20, 2016, 11:04:51 am »
« Edited: January 20, 2016, 11:07:04 am by عبدالله الحظرد »

Trump leading Cruz three-to-one in Florida, as per FAU.


Donald Trump: 39 States
Ben Carson: 7 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson-Trump
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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« Reply #327 on: January 20, 2016, 12:48:42 pm »

Clinton going down in MN!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 60-33 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #328 on: January 20, 2016, 03:40:45 pm »

PPP polls North Carolina.


Donald Trump: 39 States
Ben Carson: 7 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson-Trump
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Wulfric
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« Reply #329 on: January 21, 2016, 12:25:10 am »

Clinton going down in Idaho!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 60-33 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #330 on: January 21, 2016, 12:41:38 am »

Dan Jones finds Trump leading in Idaho.


Donald Trump: 40 States
Ben Carson: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #331 on: January 21, 2016, 10:44:30 am »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 10:57:29 am by Sorenroy »

All credit goes to عبدالله الحظرد for the format, but I'm inpatient and bored with nothing to do.

Michael Noble’s MBQF Consulting finds Trump ahead in Arizona.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 5 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #332 on: January 21, 2016, 05:23:31 pm »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 05:48:47 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

Trump now ahead by double digits in Iowa, as per Emerson College.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 5 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Wulfric
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« Reply #333 on: January 22, 2016, 02:52:15 pm »

Hillary going down in NV as Sanders continues to lead in IA/NH!


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 51-43 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #334 on: January 23, 2016, 02:00:52 am »

New numbers from Oklahoma, courtesy of SoonerPoll.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 5 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Wulfric
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« Reply #335 on: January 24, 2016, 02:10:36 am »

First poll of Alaska shows Clinton up a very pathetic 3 points

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 51-43 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #336 on: January 24, 2016, 02:25:06 am »

ADN poll shows Trump leading in Alaska.


Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #337 on: January 24, 2016, 03:28:19 am »

First poll of Alaska shows Clinton up a very pathetic 3 points

Only if you use the registered Democrat's only. I assume it is the better estimate though, as it is a closed caucus state.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #338 on: January 24, 2016, 03:40:00 am »

First poll of Alaska shows Clinton up a very pathetic 3 points

Only if you use the registered Democrat's only. I assume it is the better estimate though, as it is a closed caucus state.

"Alaska has closed caucuses.
Alaskans must register as democrat to vote for Bernie! However, you can register and/or change your affiliation the day of the caucus."

From http://voteforbernie.org

So, it's actually pretty open. I would include indies, myself.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #339 on: January 24, 2016, 11:23:01 am »

Several new polls, all courtesy of CBS/Yougov.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 39-34 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-16 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #340 on: January 24, 2016, 11:32:13 am »

YouGov polls IA/NH/SC
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 47-46 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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bigedlb
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« Reply #341 on: January 24, 2016, 01:46:17 pm »

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mds32
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« Reply #342 on: January 24, 2016, 02:14:04 pm »

Don't forget the Minnesota poll.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #343 on: January 24, 2016, 02:16:10 pm »

YouGov polls IA/NH/SC
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls



Alaska?
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #344 on: January 24, 2016, 02:18:11 pm »

Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.
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cxs018
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« Reply #345 on: January 24, 2016, 02:18:48 pm »

Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.

But Alaska has same-day registration.
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mds32
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« Reply #346 on: January 24, 2016, 02:33:46 pm »

Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.

But Alaska has same-day registration.

Yes it does. And I think that is pretty bias that if you are going to put Gravis and Overtime politics in yet leave Mason Dixon out.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #347 on: January 24, 2016, 02:36:33 pm »

Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.

But Alaska has same-day registration.

Yes it does. And I think that is pretty bias that if you are going to put Gravis and Overtime politics in yet leave Mason Dixon out.

Which poll in the current map is from Gravis?
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bigedlb
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« Reply #348 on: January 24, 2016, 08:09:58 pm »

Don't forget the Minnesota poll.



These are the MN polls in my database.  for the map I used the average of Overtime Politics and Mason-Dixon
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #349 on: January 25, 2016, 02:57:19 pm »

IA: Sanders +3
NC: Clinton +35
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 63-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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