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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 147444 times)
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #350 on: January 25, 2016, 03:02:33 pm »

Trump leading by 7 in Iowa, as per ARG.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-26 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-16 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #351 on: January 26, 2016, 07:10:11 pm »

ARG polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-26 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #352 on: January 27, 2016, 09:35:02 am »
« Edited: January 27, 2016, 09:37:10 am by Sorenroy »

I really would change the map to show a Alaska lead for Sanders. Even the site has it as a Sanders lead 48-34: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=2

Weirdly, the website shows that -2% of people would vote for "Other" (This makes the number add up to 100%, but you can't have an anti vote to bring it down from 102%.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #353 on: January 27, 2016, 11:20:05 am »

IA: Sanders +4
NH: Sanders +7
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-45 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 49-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 63-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #354 on: January 27, 2016, 01:06:41 pm »

New Iowa numbers, courtesy of Monmouth.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 30-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #355 on: January 27, 2016, 05:08:41 pm »

I really would change the map to show a Alaska lead for Sanders. Even the site has it as a Sanders lead 48-34: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=2

I agree. Alaska may technically have a closed caucus, but when you can change parties and register on the same day, it's not really that closed.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #356 on: January 27, 2016, 06:24:12 pm »

I really would change the map to show a Alaska lead for Sanders. Even the site has it as a Sanders lead 48-34: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=2

I agree. Alaska may technically have a closed caucus, but when you can change parties and register on the same day, it's not really that closed.

Is there evidence to show that independents change their registration and then just change it right back afterwards though? This huge change to the results when you add in Indy's just seems hard to believe
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #357 on: January 27, 2016, 07:09:38 pm »

Clinton lead heading down in North Carolina!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-45 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 49-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #358 on: January 28, 2016, 09:41:04 am »

I'm taking this again because I've got the time, so why not? All credit for the format goes to resident wizard Wulfric.

Clinton lead up in South Carolina (NBC/WSJ), down in Pennsylvania (per Franklin & Marshall), still close in Iowa (NBC/WSJ). Sanders winning in New Hampshire (NBC/WSJ). (Bolding relevant states, it helps me see what has changed.)
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #359 on: January 28, 2016, 12:36:03 pm »
« Edited: January 28, 2016, 12:43:11 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

Marist polls Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina; Franklin & Marshall polls Pennsylvania.


Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 32-25 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #360 on: January 28, 2016, 01:36:21 pm »

Clinton only up 2 in Wisconsin!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #361 on: January 28, 2016, 01:56:46 pm »
« Edited: January 28, 2016, 02:11:36 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

Marquette polls Wisconsin; PPP polls Iowa.


Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #362 on: January 28, 2016, 06:00:06 pm »

Clinton up 34 in Texas.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #363 on: January 28, 2016, 06:15:25 pm »

Cruz only leading by 5 in Texas, as per Dixie Strategies.


Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Wulfric
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« Reply #364 on: January 28, 2016, 11:14:10 pm »

Clinton up 27 in Michigan
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #365 on: January 28, 2016, 11:34:14 pm »

New Mitchell poll shows TRUMP dominating in Michigan.


Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #366 on: January 29, 2016, 10:34:54 am »

Hi,

Thanks for providing the maps. Dave Leip's Atlas is a very valuable site.

You may be interested that ISideWith.com provides an online for Nebraska voters (presumably via url address) on their preferred candidate in the GOP primary. The poll is updated daily and is showing Trump as having a clear lead (11 points) in the state.

I cannot provide a link as apparently there is a minimum of twenty posts on this site before you can do so but it should be fairly easy to find by simply searching for something along the lines of "ISideWith Republican Party Primary Poll Nebraska," via the google search engine.

I am not sure if they are currently tracking any other races.
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Dr. RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #367 on: January 29, 2016, 10:37:17 am »

Hi,

Thanks for providing the maps. Dave Leip's Atlas is a very valuable site.

You may be interested that ISideWith.com provides an online for Nebraska voters (presumably via url address) on their preferred candidate in the GOP primary. The poll is updated daily and is showing Trump as having a clear lead (11 points) in the state.

I cannot provide a link as apparently there is a minimum of twenty posts on this site before you can do so but it should be fairly easy to find by simply searching for something along the lines of "ISideWith Republican Party Primary Poll Nebraska," via the google search engine.

I am not sure if they are currently tracking any other races.

I track the iSideWith results (Trump currently leading everywhere), but it's been decided that they won't be included here as they aren't scientific polls.
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #368 on: January 29, 2016, 10:44:45 am »

Alright. I am brand new to the site as far as my profile is concerned. How do I link a campaign endorsement to my profile?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #369 on: January 29, 2016, 10:48:55 am »

Alright. I am brand new to the site as far as my profile is concerned. How do I link a campaign endorsement to my profile?

Go here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/MOCK/index.php

and click on the Republican or Democratic primary based off of which one you want. Then you can cast your vote. If you want to put a campaign sign below your avatar, go here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=profile;u=12725;sa=forumProfile

and check where it says "Show mock election vote in posts"

Smiley
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #370 on: January 29, 2016, 11:37:35 am »

I very much appreciate the assistance Darth.

Nathan Towne
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #371 on: January 29, 2016, 04:10:08 pm »
« Edited: January 30, 2016, 01:05:51 pm by Nathan Towne »

I can see that two other users on this thread (Realist and Wulfric) seem to both be endorsing the Kasich campaign which is quite nice to see. As you are probably aware the campaign is really struggling, which is quite disappointing. Being that we are still polling around twelve percent in New Hampshire, I think that we are virtually on life support at this point. I don't see any viable way to be competitive in the state right now and if Kasich loses New Hampshire by fifteen to twenty points, then as far as reality is concerned, we are done.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #372 on: January 29, 2016, 04:30:48 pm »
« Edited: January 29, 2016, 04:32:20 pm by Sorenroy »

I can see that two other users on this thread (Realist and Wulfric) seem to both be endorsing the Kasich campaign which is quite nice to see. As you are probably aware the campaign is really struggling, which is really disappointing. Being that we are still polling around twelve percent in New Hampshire, I think that we are virtually on life support at this point. I don't see any viable way to be competitive in the state right now and if Kasich loses New Hampshire by fifteen to twenty points then, as far as reality is concerned, we are done.

I know you are new to the site, but I would suggest finding a different place to post this (you might want to make a new thread on the "2016 U.S. Presidential Election" board), rather than the thread about maps. It's kind of nice to have each discussion in its own place, rather than having to search through unrelated posts to find what your looking for.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #373 on: January 29, 2016, 08:25:38 pm »

Overtime finds Clinton cratering in Ohio!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #374 on: January 30, 2016, 10:38:32 am »


"I know you are new to the site, but I would suggest finding a different place to post this (you might want to make a new thread on the "2016 U.S. Presidential Election" board), rather than the thread about maps. It's kind of nice to have each discussion in its own place, rather than having to search through unrelated posts to find what your looking for."

Response: I am not trying to disrupt the thread, I was just curious on their take.

Nathan Towne
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