Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 19, 2019, 01:11:40 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  2016 Primary Map Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 Print
Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 155143 times)
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #500 on: March 07, 2016, 02:54:18 pm »

Monmouth polls Florida.


Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 38-30 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #501 on: March 07, 2016, 03:45:21 pm »

Ohio reluctant to feel the Bern.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 55-42 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #502 on: March 07, 2016, 04:12:40 pm »

PPP polls Ohio.


Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 38-30 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 38-35 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #503 on: March 07, 2016, 05:13:46 pm »

CLINTON COLLAPSING IN MICHIGAN!!!!


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 52-47 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Sorenroy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,365
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #504 on: March 07, 2016, 05:25:38 pm »

CLINTON COLLAPSING IN MICHIGAN!!!!

I would revert it back to the other map. That poll was conducted over 1-31 to 3-3. Even if we only look at the end date, the other polls are newer.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #505 on: March 07, 2016, 10:31:43 pm »

Are you literally using a poll that started in January over ones that were conducted in the last 3 days? ayy lmao
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #506 on: March 07, 2016, 11:00:11 pm »

Just to satisfy IceSpear in his little fantasy world, I averaged the Monmouth and MSU polls. Only boosts Clinton to +9 however, and I will not be surprised if the race is much closer than that. A Sanders win is unlikely but not implausible.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #507 on: March 07, 2016, 11:07:31 pm »

Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

Image Link
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #508 on: March 07, 2016, 11:13:26 pm »

Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

Image Link

If you look into the document for the MSU poll, it offers a day by day graphic. You can clearly see a Sanders gain in the last few days of their polling. I expect Sanders to hold Clinton to a single digit win tomorrow.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,239
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #509 on: March 08, 2016, 12:03:39 am »

Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

Image Link

If you look into the document for the MSU poll, it offers a day by day graphic. You can clearly see a Sanders gain in the last few days of their polling. I expect Sanders to hold Clinton to a single digit win tomorrow.
Just admit your a hack and move on.  Then more people wont hate you.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #510 on: March 08, 2016, 09:57:37 am »

Clinton +31 in Florida


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #511 on: March 08, 2016, 10:29:39 am »

SUSA polls Florida; Chicago Tribune polls Illinois; Mitchell polls Michigan.


Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 42-22 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 32-22 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 41-23 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 38-35 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #512 on: March 08, 2016, 12:03:24 pm »

Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #513 on: March 08, 2016, 12:09:31 pm »

Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #514 on: March 08, 2016, 12:48:38 pm »

Yeah, it's a junk, but so what? You included a literal fake pollster (Overtime) and a poll that started in January that interviewed like 8 people per day. Clearly that's much worse.

I think we need to transfer control of the map over to a non hack. Any takers?
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,521


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #515 on: March 08, 2016, 12:58:09 pm »

Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #516 on: March 08, 2016, 01:03:53 pm »

Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?

I added Monmouth originally, and would still be including it if it wasn't for the MSU Poll.

In any case, it's the day of the primary. It's probably getting colored blue soon enough. Icespear, enjoy.



Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,521


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #517 on: March 08, 2016, 01:08:36 pm »

Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?

I added Monmouth originally, and would still be including it if it wasn't for the MSU Poll.

In any case, it's the day of the primary. It's probably getting colored blue soon enough. Icespear, enjoy.





The system works.
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #518 on: March 09, 2016, 04:15:41 am »

At this time, per the New York Times, we have 100% of precincts reporting in Hawaii, 99% in Michigan and Mississippi, and 98% in Idaho. The last named state has gone to Ted Cruz by a wide margin, while the other three have all been won by Donald TRUMP, also by large margins. Should the margins change slightly when the last few precincts come in, I will of course edit this post.


Donald Trump: 37 (15) States
Ted Cruz: 9 (7) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 42-22 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 32-22 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 38-35 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump
Logged
JonathanSwift
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,122
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #519 on: March 09, 2016, 06:24:42 am »

Due to a busy schedule, I will be unable to continue contributing to this thread on a regular basis, at least for the next few weeks. If someone else would take over, your assistance would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.
Logged
Sorenroy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,365
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #520 on: March 09, 2016, 07:43:00 am »

Due to a busy schedule, I will be unable to continue contributing to this thread on a regular basis, at least for the next few weeks. If someone else would take over, your assistance would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.

I think, rather than just one person taking over, it would be better if whomever saw the most recent poll went on here and made the edits. Otherwise, I can take over when I remember.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #521 on: March 09, 2016, 12:10:05 pm »

MI/MS split!
Clinton +23 in NC, 30 in FL, 9 in OH


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  62-32 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 57-34 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,301
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #522 on: March 09, 2016, 05:20:48 pm »

Wulfric: Do you know when that Clinton +5 poll was taken in Missouri? I really feel like that's a state that should be polled here soonish.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #523 on: March 09, 2016, 05:26:00 pm »

Wulfric: Do you know when that Clinton +5 poll was taken in Missouri? I really feel like that's a state that should be polled here soonish.

January
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #524 on: March 10, 2016, 12:06:44 pm »

Clinton with large leads in PA and NC


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  62-32 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 57-28 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC