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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  2016 Primary Map Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 148291 times)
IceSpear
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Posts: 30,737
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Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« on: January 30, 2015, 10:55:07 pm »

So I guess now the Romney states have to be colored with the second place finisher?
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2015, 01:21:17 am »

That's probably what I'd expect in a Biden vs. Warren matchup...Warren winning IA and NH, but with Biden carrying SC due to loyalty among AAs for being Obama's VP. It would've been interesting to see how that would turn out (though Warren may not have run regardless of what Hillary did).

The one downside of Hillary already being the nominee is we get nothing to entertain us on the Dem side...luckily it's looking like the GOP primary will be entertaining enough to carry the extra weight.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2015, 03:50:53 pm »

Pink should be the Graham color. Tongue

I second this. And if Santorum ever leads in a state, he should be brown.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2015, 04:00:50 am »



NC: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_30415.pdf
GA: http://votergravity.com/georgia-presidential-flash-poll-results

Red: Jeb Bush
Green: Scott Walker
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Purple: John Kasich
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson

Voter Gravity isn't scientific, it shouldn't be included.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2015, 03:09:24 pm »

Shouldn't Iowa be Walker now?
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #5 on: February 26, 2016, 02:47:29 am »

I guess I'll post this here too.

This is a map of all polls conducted in February. If there was more than one, I averaged them. Utah was ambiguous but I gave it to Sanders. 30% shade = 1-10 point lead. 50% shade = 11-20 point lead. 90% shade = 20+ point lead.


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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #6 on: February 26, 2016, 03:12:01 pm »

I guess I'll post this here too.

This is a map of all polls conducted in February. If there was more than one, I averaged them. Utah was ambiguous but I gave it to Sanders. 30% shade = 1-10 point lead. 50% shade = 11-20 point lead. 90% shade = 20+ point lead.



I'm having a really hard time reconciling WV and TN/AR... is anyone else on that boat?

AR is obvious. As for TN, in 2008 the electorate was around 30% black. WV bodes well for Bernie in KY, not so much for TN.
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2016, 10:31:43 pm »

Are you literally using a poll that started in January over ones that were conducted in the last 3 days? ayy lmao
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2016, 11:07:31 pm »

Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2016, 12:03:24 pm »

Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. Wink
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2016, 12:48:38 pm »

Yeah, it's a junk, but so what? You included a literal fake pollster (Overtime) and a poll that started in January that interviewed like 8 people per day. Clearly that's much worse.

I think we need to transfer control of the map over to a non hack. Any takers?
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IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

« Reply #11 on: May 04, 2016, 12:22:59 am »

Ben Carson can still win Nebraska!
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