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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  2016 Primary Map Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 155129 times)
JonathanSwift
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« on: June 02, 2015, 12:40:55 pm »



Jeb Bush: 10 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2015, 10:25:16 am »



Jeb Bush: 11 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2015, 12:35:11 pm »
« Edited: June 14, 2015, 01:28:24 pm by Sannikov »



Jeb Bush: 12 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Rand Paul: 5 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Chris Christie: 3 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
George Pataki: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2015, 08:20:28 pm »

Not bothering with shading, but I did a map of who is leading on the GOP side in the most recent poll in each state. No polling yet from D.C. or Hawaii. The Kentucky poll is fairly old.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2015, 11:18:33 pm »

Not bothering with shading, but I did a map of who is leading on the GOP side in the most recent poll in each state. No polling yet from D.C. or Hawaii. The Kentucky poll is fairly old.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

When did we get GOP primary polls in states like Indiana and Vermont?


Indiana was polled by Ipsos in September. Vermont was polled by Castleton Polling Institute, also in September. 
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2015, 01:00:19 pm »

New University of Texas poll shows Cruz and Trump tied in the Senator's home state.


Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 37-17 Trump
GA 35-28 Trump
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 18-16 Trump
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2015, 06:02:33 pm »

New poll from Opinion Savvy shows Carson leading in Georgia, and close in Florida.


Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson

ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 18-16 Trump
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2015, 11:13:19 pm »

Carson's numbers have fallen off a cliff in New Hampshire, if Gravis is to be believed.


Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 29-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #8 on: November 16, 2015, 08:52:32 pm »

Carson takes the lead in Virginia, as per the latest UMW poll.


Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 29-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2015, 11:26:20 am »
« Edited: November 18, 2015, 12:38:15 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

New NH numbers from WBUR; Carson and Rubio top two in CO, as per Quinnipiac; FDU shows sizable Trump lead in NJ; Trump leading Rubio two-to-one in the Senator's home state, as per FAU; Emerson College shows Trump leading in CT, Rubio in second.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 23-13-13 Trump-Carson-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #10 on: November 18, 2015, 06:29:02 pm »

New Morning Consult numbers for all four early states.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2015, 05:19:22 pm »

New Wisconsin numbers, courtesy of Marquette.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #12 on: November 22, 2015, 09:55:21 am »
« Edited: November 22, 2015, 11:25:50 am by عبدالله الحظرد »

New Dan Jones poll out of Utah.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #13 on: November 22, 2015, 11:24:23 am »

Trump way ahead in Iowa/New Hampshire/South Carolina, as per YouGov.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 30-21 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #14 on: November 24, 2015, 02:36:49 pm »

New numbers in Iowa (Quinnipiac), Massachusetts (Suffolk).


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #15 on: November 25, 2015, 10:50:33 am »

Trump gaining on Carson in Maryland, as per The Baltimore Sun.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #16 on: December 03, 2015, 11:41:09 am »

PPP polls New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #17 on: December 05, 2015, 10:26:28 pm »

Narrow Trump lead in Tennessee, as per Vanderbilt University.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
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United States



« Reply #18 on: December 07, 2015, 02:57:39 pm »

Cruz takes the lead in Iowa, per Monmouth.


Donald Trump: 31 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
Logged
JonathanSwift
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United States



« Reply #19 on: December 07, 2015, 04:42:43 pm »

Well, scratch that; CNN shows The Donald ahead by double digits in the Hawkeye State.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 33-20 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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« Reply #20 on: December 07, 2015, 06:23:13 pm »
« Edited: December 07, 2015, 06:24:49 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

Well, scratch that; CNN shows The Donald ahead by double digits in the Hawkeye State.

So even though the Monmouth poll was in the field slightly later, you count the CNN poll instead?


I overlooked that detail; if you would prefer that I count the Monmouth poll, I will do so. In any case, more Iowa polls will surely be out presently, and we will be able to see which of today's two polls is the outlier.
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« Reply #21 on: December 08, 2015, 02:37:13 pm »
« Edited: December 08, 2015, 02:43:09 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

New PPP poll shows Trump open up two-to-one lead in NC; Carson plummets to a third place tie with Rubio. In the interest of having my map display the most up-to-date information available, I use this opportunity to replace the CNN Iowa poll with the Monmouth poll, in light of Mr. Morden's observation regarding the timeframe during which the two polls were conducted.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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« Reply #22 on: December 08, 2015, 07:00:40 pm »

New CNN/WMUR poll out of New Hampshire.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #23 on: December 08, 2015, 09:33:02 pm »


Well, as I previously noted, Iowa polls aren't scarce, so we'll find out soon which of CNN and Monmouth more accurately reflects the current situation.
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« Reply #24 on: December 09, 2015, 05:25:00 pm »
« Edited: December 09, 2015, 06:28:03 pm by عبدالله الحظرد »

New Florida numbers, courtesy of Saint Leo University; Fox News polls South Carolina.


Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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