Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 17, 2019, 12:17:27 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  2016 Primary Map Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 148321 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« on: June 17, 2015, 01:04:55 pm »

Solarstorm, where did you find numbers for Idaho?
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2015, 01:04:45 pm »



Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

OR is already a statistical tie.
Does anybody have the numbers for South Dakota? I see it says Hillary ahead 30-49% on Wikipedia, but they don't have the poll anywhere in their list.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2015, 01:15:58 pm »

Here's the last month's worth of "polling" done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:


That's a pretty cool tool, although their Democratic primary results are... suspicious to say the least.



Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton

Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #3 on: August 19, 2015, 05:43:20 pm »

Here's ISideWith's Democratic primary map by congressional district. Pretty unquestionably slanted in favor of Sanders, I think, but still pretty accurate as a PVI-style map. Instead of using all results from the past month, I chose the option for the most 1,000 recent votes from each district solely because it shows more contrast.

Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2015, 10:32:45 am »

Your comments to polls are very objective, not partisan. Tongue

pbrower should take note: include every poll, just make it's significance conform to your narrative.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2015, 05:57:04 pm »
« Edited: October 12, 2015, 05:59:01 pm by Thinking Crumpets Crumpet »

By the way, here's a preview of what that map will look like if/when Biden declares he's not running. A couple of states don't have Biden-less data, so I either didn't include those states if he had large numbers, or simply kept the same colors if it didn't look like it made much of a difference.

Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #6 on: December 08, 2015, 08:57:24 pm »

Here's the above map with Atlas shading:



I couldn't figure out how to give Vermont 10% shading without it just looking like a tie, so I gave Trump the 20% shading.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #7 on: December 08, 2015, 09:13:38 pm »

And here's the map for the Democrats:



Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.

That's why you should use an average, not just the latest poll.

I'm just using the numbers on this page.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #8 on: April 10, 2016, 12:33:47 am »

There is now an unbroken chain of anti-Trump states from Mexico to Canada. Just something to keep in mind when the inevitable civil war breaks out after this election and we're trying to anaconda the pro-Trump forces.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #9 on: April 27, 2016, 11:28:55 am »

Wulfric, don't forget to include the CBS and Fox polls of Indiana.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.16, S: -6.52

« Reply #10 on: May 11, 2016, 11:25:53 am »

I say fraud! Ben Carson was leading in Nebraska for months!
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC