Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2019, 09:01:00 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  ME-Pan Atlantic: Lepage leads all 3 way scenarios
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: ME-Pan Atlantic: Lepage leads all 3 way scenarios  (Read 1927 times)
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,390


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 03, 2013, 02:02:56 pm »

http://bangordailynews.com/2013/04/03/politics/poll-cutler-would-lead-lepage-in-2014-governors-race-if-he-ran-as-a-democrat/

Lepage 36.5
Cutler 27
Baldacci 21


Lepage 33.5
Cutler 25.6
Michaud 22.8



Maine Democrats poll

Lepage 36
Michaud 33
Cutler 20





Not too bad for Mr. Lepage.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,534
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2013, 02:09:10 pm »

Cool and thanks to Eliot Cutler!
Logged
Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,184
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 0.35


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2013, 02:17:26 pm »

LePage holding on would be a highlight of 2014.
Logged
Mayor Steve Pearce
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,982
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2013, 02:45:41 pm »

And this is why I hate Eliot Cutler.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 48,489
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 06, 2013, 10:55:38 am »

The same findings like those from PPP.

LePage would get killed though in 2-ways.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,712
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 06, 2013, 12:20:05 pm »

And this is why I hate Eliot Cutler.

Cutler was beating Michaud and Baldacci though Huh

Why don't the Dems just nominate Eliot Cutler?
Logged
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,016
Latvia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 10, 2013, 04:24:18 pm »

LePage holding on would be a highlight of 2014.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 10, 2013, 04:26:00 pm »


Why don't the Dems just nominate Eliot Cutler?

Because he refuses to run in the Democratic primary.

I'm quite pleasantly surprised that, as of this early stage, Maine seems to be shaping up as roughly a Lean R race.
Logged
Hugo Award nominee
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 10, 2013, 05:49:51 pm »

I'm quite pleasantly surprised that, as of this early stage, Maine seems to be shaping up as roughly a Lean R race.

I understand why that surprise would be pleasant in a vacuum, but it isn't just Lean R, it's Lean Paul LePage. Paul LePage is one of those people whose fitness for office really should not be a partisan issue.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,949
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 10, 2013, 05:57:25 pm »

Will the Dems not withdraw?
Logged
20PETE20
20RP12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,100
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2013, 05:35:49 pm »

LePage holding on would be a highlight of 2014.

Albeit not a good one.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,735
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 07, 2013, 07:52:13 am »

Cool and thanks to Eliot Cutler!
Here's to Cutler running again!
Logged
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,810
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2013, 12:12:49 pm »

What with this and Angus King, does Maine have a thing for independents that I just haven't heard of?
Logged
ag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,872


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2013, 12:38:03 pm »

3-way races in FPTP elections are iherently unstable. As soon as one of the candidates gets behind, he tends to hemorrage votes. Early polls wouldn't catch it: nobody is - yet - convinced their prefered candidate has no chance. Sometimes, this uncertainty leads to a three-way all through the election day. But this is very hard to sustain for 2 elections in a row - especially in the face of the incumbent that would lose in a 2-way race to any opponent. Let the campaign dynamics play out. LePage would have to be VERY lucky, for something like this to be the next election result.
Logged
Benj
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 983


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 16, 2013, 03:59:14 pm »
« Edited: May 16, 2013, 04:07:33 pm by Benj »

What with this and Angus King, does Maine have a thing for independents that I just haven't heard of?

Yes. Eliot Cutler got over one-third of the vote and came in second in 2010. There was also an independent, Barbara Merrill, who got over 20% in the 2006 governor's race. Maine is the only state to have had more than one independent governor (King, and Jim Longley in the 1970s). Maine was also Ross Perot's best state in 1992. The Maine Green Party has consistently been the best-performing state Green Party in the country as well, having elected a State Representative in Portland for a while in the early 2000s and routinely getting close to 10% of the vote in gubernatorial races (though they didn't run a candidate in 2010 and endorsed Cutler instead).

It is safe to say that Maine is the most favorable state in the Union for non-aligned candidates.
Logged
Beat-‘Em-All Beto
Clinton1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,411
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 16, 2013, 05:47:23 pm »

Will the Dems not withdraw?
Really, just do what we did with King in 2012. Don't fund our candidate.
Logged
AUDIT THE AUSTRALIAN PARLIAMENT!
Anton Kreitzer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,173
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 20, 2013, 06:59:12 am »

LePage holding on would be a highlight of 2014.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC