State Tendencies (1916 to present)

[DistingFlyer]

These maps indicate how far the vote in each state deviated from the national average - for example, Ohio is classified as 4% Republican in 2000 (3.5% for Bush vs 0.5% nationally for Gore) and 0.3% Democratic in 2004 (2.1% for Bush vs 2.4% nationally for Bush).

Another way of looking at these maps is to answer the question of "Who would win if the national vote was a tie?" It assumes a uniform swing of course, but it may interest the obsessed.

For the sake of simplicity, third-party wins (1924, 1948, 1960, 1968) are not shown on these maps - just Republican vs Democratic.


1916 - Hughes wins, 277-254


1920 - Harding wins, 283-248


1924 - Coolidge wins, 283-235-13


1928 - Smith wins, 304-227


1932 - Hoover wins, 272-259


1936 - Landon wins, 305-226


1940 - Willkie wins, 318-213


1944 - Dewey wins, 320-211


1948 - Dewey wins, 299-194-38


1952 - Eisenhower wins, 285-246


1956 - Stevenson wins, 272-259


1960 - Kennedy wins, 300-223-14


1964 - Johnson wins, 298-240


1968 - Nixon wins, 302-191-45 (no change at all from the real result)


1972 - Nixon wins, 273-265


1976 - Ford wins, 284-254


1980 - Carter wins, 297-241


1984 - Reagan wins, 306-232


1988 - Bush wins, 286-252


1992 - Bush wins, 275-263


1996 - Clinton wins, 279-259


2000 - Bush wins, 301-237


2004 - Kerry wins, 284-254


2008 - Obama wins, 278-260


2012 - Obama wins, 285-253

[Miles]

Good job!