Kent by-election (user search)
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Author Topic: Kent by-election  (Read 4077 times)
MaxQue
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« on: April 15, 2013, 06:52:38 PM »
In %:
Lib: 39.2%
PC: 21.7%
NDP: 19.0%
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2013, 07:05:37 PM »

Indeed, that should read as 59.2%

10/43

Brian Gallant (Liberal) 771 votes (63,1%)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP) 227 votes (18,6%)
Jimmy Bourque (PC) 223 votes (18,3%)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2013, 07:12:04 PM »
15/43

Brian Gallant (Liberal) 1223 votes (64,7%)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP) 356 votes (18,8%)
Jimmy Bourque (PC) 311 votes (16,5%)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #3 on: April 15, 2013, 07:35:42 PM »
24/43

Brian Gallant (Liberal) 1836 votes (63,3%)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP) 594 votes (20,5%)
Jimmy Bourque (PC) 469 votes (16,2%)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #4 on: April 15, 2013, 07:36:23 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on April 15, 2013, 07:34:28 PM
He's got one of the Mikmaq Reserves going Liberal. Not believing him...

Well, one heavily NDP poll just passed, NDP jumped by 2%.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #5 on: April 15, 2013, 07:53:10 PM »
31/43

Brian Gallant (Liberal) 2727 votes (61,5%)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP) 1023 votes (23,1%)
Jimmy Bourque (PC) 682 votes (15,4%)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #6 on: April 15, 2013, 07:59:24 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on April 15, 2013, 07:54:54 PM
Wow. Not bad. NDP did really well in one of the advance polls. Still no wins yet.

I know counting isn't finished, but that's a terrible result for the PC.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #7 on: April 15, 2013, 08:21:05 PM »
41/43

Brian Gallant (Liberal) 3317 votes (58,3%)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP) 1570 votes (27,6%)
Jimmy Bourque (PC) 799 votes (14,1%)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #8 on: April 15, 2013, 08:46:46 PM »
FINAL
Brian Gallant (Liberal) 3543 votes (59,1%) (+3.4)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP) 1615 votes (26,9%) (+11.6)
Jimmy Bourque (PC) 837 votes (14,0%) (-11.7)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #9 on: April 15, 2013, 08:50:34 PM »
Those swings would give Liberal 38, PC 37, NDP 22 at provincial level. 
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MaxQue
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« Reply #10 on: April 15, 2013, 08:56:04 PM »

It was 77.5% in 2010.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #11 on: April 16, 2013, 07:40:59 PM »

The NDP doesn't have really strenght there, it polled wellbecause the leader last time was Acadian. NDP federal numbers in that area didn't translate into results provincially (because that's a personal vote for Yvon Godin, through I suppose NDP got some roots, with the time).

Anyways, with ridings that small, swinging votes with a good candidate is easier and at 20+%, NDP is poised to win seats somewhere (I would guess in Saint John Harbour, first).

Anyways, they should win a seat as soon there is a by-election in a NDP-friendly seat, which Rothesay (suburbs of Saint John) and Kent (ruralish area) weren't.

Don't forget than there is redistricting, too, so seats won't be the same next time.
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