Kent by-election

[the506]

The Liberals will probably win this thing, but it's not like the Tories and NDP aren't trying. The NDP candidate is the former Elsipogtog chief and the PCs are desperately trying to pin Graham's failures to Gallant.

And Gallant's personality seems exactly like Graham. Slick, slimy, sleazy. He may win Kent, but there's no way he'll win the province. As if Alward was any less incompetent, but that's a story for another thread.

[the506]

There's someone on twitter (a Liberal insider?) who's been posting poll-by-poll results from the scrutineers. Most of them have so far come from Graham's strongest areas in 2010.

Gallant's probably going to win, but expect the margin to go down.

[the506]

He's got one of the Mikmaq Reserves going Liberal. Not believing him...

Think he had the wrong poll number.

The NB Liberal Party is also tweeting pxp results.

EDIT: interesting to note that in a couple polls near Bouctouche, the Liberal vote has gone *up*. Still nothing from the actual town which went PC.

[the506]

I love how small these ridings are.

Look at PEI.

[the506]

Maybe not, but the NDP still has no seats.

And that's the problem. The NDP surge won't mean a thing if all it means is they finish a stronger 3rd in every riding instead of a weak 3rd. Gotta love FPTP.