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Author Topic: Swiss Elections & Politics (18 October 2015)  (Read 66965 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #25 on: September 22, 2013, 12:24:01 pm »

I thought Switzerland would back the draft by a similar margin like Vorarlberg did.

But they back it even more ... Wink
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #26 on: September 23, 2013, 06:03:13 am »

Maps of the referendum yesterday:

Do you want to abolish the military draft ?

73.2% No
26.8% Yes

Clickable maps:

http://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/portal/de/index/themen/17/03/blank/key/2013/031.html

Yes-vote by Canton:



Yes-vote by District:



Alternative graphic by Canton (Yes-vote):

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #27 on: September 23, 2013, 06:10:32 am »

Les Franches-Montagnes was the only district in Switzerland that voted to abolish the draft.

Obersimmental-Saanen was the district that voted most strongly to keep the draft with 88.5%
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minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
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« Reply #28 on: September 23, 2013, 07:19:10 am »

And do these referenda also have a Stńndemehr?

Only the conscription initiative. But since every canton has voted against it that isn't an issue.
Wait - are you saying one wasn't required for the other referenda? Is that required only for constitutional issues? I had been laboring under the assumption it was always required (and thus asking whether they were actually passing, referenda having failed despite getting over 50% confederationwide before).
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If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
ZuWo
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« Reply #29 on: September 29, 2013, 04:36:12 am »

And do these referenda also have a Stńndemehr?

Only the conscription initiative. But since every canton has voted against it that isn't an issue.
Wait - are you saying one wasn't required for the other referenda? Is that required only for constitutional issues? I had been laboring under the assumption it was always required (and thus asking whether they were actually passing, referenda having failed despite getting over 50% confederationwide before).


Sorry, haven't checked the thread in a while. Wink

The Stńndemehr (= double majority, majority of the cantons) is required in the following three scenarios:

- Annahme einer ─nderung der Bundesverfassung (Řber Volksinitiative oder obligatorisches Referendum) = amendment to the constitution
- Beitritt zu Organisationen kollektiver Sicherheit oder zu supranationalen Gemeinschaften = when Switzerland votes on joining certain international organisations (e.g. UN, EU, NATO)
- Dringlich erklńrte Bundesgesetze ohne Verfassungsgrundlage mit Geltungsdauer Řber einem Jahr = urgent federal laws without a constitutional base that are valid for more than a year

Since the referendum on conscription was the only vote which falls into one of these three categories (amendment to the constitution), a Stńndemehr wasn't required for the other two referenda.
« Last Edit: September 29, 2013, 04:48:54 am by ZuWo »Logged
ZuWo
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« Reply #30 on: September 29, 2013, 04:41:06 am »

A new federal poll by gfs.bern:



Changes compared to the last federal election (2011):

SVP: -0.8%
SP: no change
FDP: -0.4%
CVP: -0.6%
GP: -0.1%
BDP: +2.1%
GLP: +0.4

The BDP voter share is remarkable. An increase of 2.1% in Switzerland is huge. Wink
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ZuWo
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« Reply #31 on: October 06, 2013, 06:02:47 am »

Today is election day in Geneva. Seven seats in the "Conseil d'Etat" (executive election) and 100 seats in the "Grand Conseil" (legislative election) have to be filled.

First results are expected to be released in about an hour. This is the official results page (in French):

http://www.ge.ch/elections/20131006/
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ZuWo
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« Reply #32 on: October 06, 2013, 06:17:04 am »

The party system in Geneva is highly fragmented. On the one hand, there are the major and medium-sized parties (SVP, SP, FDP, CVP, Greens, GLP, BDP). On the other hand, influential regional movements such as the "Ensemble Ó Gauche" (far-left) or the "Mouvement Citoyens Genevois" (regional SVP spin-off) compete for seats both in the executive and legislative elections as well.  

For reference this is the current Distribution of seats in the "Grand Conseil" of Geneva:



Note: FDP and LPS (Liberal Party Switzerland) have merged since the last election.
« Last Edit: October 06, 2013, 06:24:14 am by ZuWo »Logged
Leftbehind
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« Reply #33 on: October 06, 2013, 12:10:13 pm »

On the other hand, influential regional movements such as the "Ensemble Ó Gauche" (far-left)

I note they have no f**king seats though. 7% threshold ffs.
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Hash
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« Reply #34 on: October 06, 2013, 12:14:39 pm »

The far-right/xenophobic MCG and the SVP are the main winners, winning a combined total of 32 seats (21 MCG, 11 SVP). The far-left also gained 9 seats. The main losers are the PLR (FDP-Liberals) with 24 seats (-7) and the Greenies with 9 seats (-8). Other parties (PS, PDC) are stable.

Switzerland continues to be horrible.
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #35 on: October 06, 2013, 12:32:12 pm »

http://www.ge.ch/elections/20131006/GC/canton/

Why does the site list the Left Assembly(?) losing 3.7% when they didn't even reach the 7% threshold and were seatless at the last election?
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #36 on: October 06, 2013, 01:44:20 pm »

http://www.ge.ch/elections/20131006/GC/canton/

Why does the site list the Left Assembly(?) losing 3.7% when they didn't even reach the 7% threshold and were seatless at the last election?

7% Threshold...ugh
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ZuWo
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« Reply #37 on: October 06, 2013, 02:26:15 pm »

http://www.ge.ch/elections/20131006/GC/canton/

Why does the site list the Left Assembly(?) losing 3.7% when they didn't even reach the 7% threshold and were seatless at the last election?

The minor left-wing parties ran on separate lists last time and even though they won a combined 12.5% of the vote none of the single parties managed to overcome the 7% threshold. This time the far-left apparently settled on a smarter electoral strategy.
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ZuWo
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« Reply #38 on: October 06, 2013, 02:46:05 pm »

A runoff election will be held in November since no candidate for the "Conseil d'Etat" has reached the absolute majority of votes. This is the result with 96% of the vote in:

Absolute majority: 46'249 votes

1. MAUDET Pierre - FDP (incumbent) 44'158  
2. LONGCHAMP Franšois - FDP (incumbent)  39'712  
3. DAL BUSCO Serge - CVP 33'402  
4. BARTHASSAT Luc - CVP 32'038  
5. ROCHAT Isabel - FDP (incumbent) 26'181
6. POGGIA Mauro - MCG 24'693  
7. STAUFFER Eric - MCG 19'467  
8. EMERY-TORRACINTA Anne SP 19'296
9. APOTHELOZ Thierry SP 17'968  
10. PERRELLA-GABUS Delphine MCG 17'291
... (there were 29 candidates in total)

The most remarkable result is the landslide loss of the Green Party. It is likely that they are going to lose both of their seats in the Conseil d'Etat, and they have lost half of their representation in the Grand Conseil, which can partly be explained by the far left's success. Additionally, many voters strongly disapprove of Michele Kuenzler, Green member of the Conseil d'Etat and minister of transport and the environment, which has hurt the party as well. Kuenzler is well behind most other candidates and has already announced that she is not running in the runoff election.
« Last Edit: October 06, 2013, 02:52:12 pm by ZuWo »Logged
Leftbehind
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« Reply #39 on: October 06, 2013, 03:12:04 pm »

Well the representation losses can be explained by the entry of EÓG, but given their vote fell it was an all-round disaster for the left - upwards of -10% between the two parties (and made all the more frustrating by the emergence - but just enough to take votes - of sh**t like Pirates and Green f**king Liberals).
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ZuWo
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« Reply #40 on: October 07, 2013, 05:22:31 am »

The new Grand Conseil looks as follows:



In comparison to the early projections the Greens have gained a seat at the expense of the MCG. While many journalists claim the new parliament consists of three more or less equally strong political groups (the left with 34, the center with 35 and the right with 31 seats) the truth is probably more complex. While both the MCG and the SVP are skeptical of mass immigration, the former is considerably more left-wing on economic issues and will vote with the left on more than one occasion. Additionally, the left is fairly heterogeneous as well since there are now self-described communists in parliament who don't see eye to eye with the mainstream social democrats on every issue. If anything, the balance of power will become even more unpredictable in the next five years.
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« Reply #41 on: October 07, 2013, 07:47:53 am »

I assume than French is the local language given the names EÓG and the MCG.

We can also note than the parties nams aren't really logical from one language to another (the SVP-UDC being the more obvious case - Swiss People's Party/Democratic Union of the Center, which aren't seeming related in any way through their aren't the only case, the Socialists (in French and Italian) being Socialdemocrats in German is quite wierd too).

For the Conseil d'╔tat runoff, does there was an elimination threshold or any candidate which ran can run again if they want?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #42 on: October 07, 2013, 07:51:55 am »

I assume than French is the local language given the names EÓG and the MCG.

Quote
"Most of the population (as of 2000) speak French (128,622 or 72.3%), with English being second most common (7,853 or 4.4%) and Spanish third (7,462 or 4.2%). There are 7,320 people who speak Italian (4.1%), 7,050 people who speak German (4.0%) and 113 people who speak Romansh."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geneva
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ZuWo
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« Reply #43 on: October 08, 2013, 05:55:28 am »

For the Conseil d'╔tat runoff, does there was an elimination threshold or any candidate which ran can run again if they want?

All candidates can run again, there's no elimination threshold. In theory, the parties can also field new candidates for the second round of voting. I expect the field of candidates to be considerably smaller, though. So far, MCG and SVP have announced they will run a common campaign with the two MCG candidates Mauro Poggia and Eric Stauffer and the SVP candidate CÚline Amaudruz. CVP and FDP will run their five top candidates from the first round (Pierre Maudet, Franšois Longchamp, Isabelle Rochat (FDP), Serge Dal Busco and Luc Barthassat (CVP)). Meanwhile, the Greens are expected to run Antonio Hodgers again, while the SP will probably field Anne Emery-Torracinta and Thierry Apotheloz again. The far left has not yet decided what they will do.

http://www.tdg.ch/geneve/actu-genevoise/conseil-etat-trois-blocs-partent-conquete-gouvernement/story/19219214
« Last Edit: October 08, 2013, 06:02:45 am by ZuWo »Logged
ZuWo
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« Reply #44 on: November 04, 2013, 06:19:33 am »

Three proposals will be on the ballot on November 24, all of which have attracted a lot of national - and in case of the 1:12 initiative even international - attention:

- A referendum against an increase in the price of the Swiss motorway tax sticker from 40 to 100 Swiss Francs a year. While the FDP, CVP and BDP support the increase, the SVP and Greens oppose it. The SP is conflicted on the issue. Whereas the SVP opposes new tax hikes in principle, the Greens do not want the state to spend more money on the construction of new roads. Recent polling suggests that the proponents of the tax hike have a slight advantage.

- The 1:12 initiative is simple and radical at the same time. Launched by left-wing groups under the leadership of the Young Socialists, the initiative seeks to limit top executive salaries at a one to 12 ratio against low-paid wages. The SP and Greens officially support the plan, while all other major parties vehemently oppose it. Prominent SP and Green Party officeholders have expressed their opposition to the initiative as well. The initiative is likely to be rejected.

- The SVP "family initiative" seeks to grant tax breaks for families that do not use daycare facilities. According to the proponents of the proposal it is not fair that families which use daycare facilities receive tax breaks while "traditional families" have to bear all costs on their own. The SVP is supported by minor conservative parties as well as a sizable faction of the CVP. The other major parties are against the initiative. The initiative has a real chance of being passed but it will be close; a clear rural/urban divide can be expected.

http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss_news/Salary_disparities_top_ballot_sheet.html?cid=37109036
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ZuWo
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« Reply #45 on: November 17, 2013, 05:21:47 am »

A new poll on the November 24 referenda has been published:



http://www.swissinfo.ch/ger/politik_schweiz/Zweite_Umfrage_der_SRG_SSR.html?cid=37323270

First of all, it seems that support for the 1:12 initiative is going down, which isn't very surprising because it's one thing to be in favor of a populist proposal which aims at the "rich" when you hear about it for the first time but an entirely different thing when you start realizing how far-reaching and destructive that would be in practice.

Secondly, the opponents of the increase in the price of the Swiss motorway tax sticker appear to have gained ground. In part that's because the most vocal representative of the pro-campaign, Doris Leuthard (CVP), Minister of Transport, has made a couple of mistakes during the last weeks.

Finally, the honeymoon of the SVP "familiy initiative" is over, and we are likely to see a very close outcome. The campaign has revealed an internal fight within the CVP; while the official CVP convention voted against the initiative, party chairman Christophe Darbellay (CVP) has continued to campaign for it in public. Darbellay is from Valais, a conservative canton, and it is an open secret that he wants to get elected to the cantonal government in 2017, which means he can't alienate his future voter base.
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ZuWo
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« Reply #46 on: November 17, 2013, 05:41:08 am »

Some campaign posters:

1:12 initiative

"Yes"-campaign:



"No"-campaign:

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ZuWo
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« Reply #47 on: November 17, 2013, 05:45:45 am »

Price increase of the motorway tax sticker

"Yes"-campaign on the left, "No"-campaign on the right:

« Last Edit: November 17, 2013, 05:53:01 am by ZuWo »Logged
ZuWo
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« Reply #48 on: November 17, 2013, 05:52:30 am »

Familiy initiative

"Yes"-campaign:



"No"-campaign:

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #49 on: November 24, 2013, 06:19:27 am »

When will we get the "exit polls" ?
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