Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

[Miles]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

Bolling is the most moderate of those.

[Miles]

DKE says that E.W Jackson's campaign is turning away help from the state Republican organization:

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[illegaloperation]

The problem for Republicans is that if the Democrats keep sweeping state races, Republicans won't have a very good bench to compete.

Who else does the Republicans have beside Bill Bolling?

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

Why do you say that?  McDonnell won by 17 points just 4 years ago.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

Why do you say that?  McDonnell won by 17 points just 4 years ago.

Four years is a long time in politics.

[Beet]

The problem for Republicans is that if the Democrats keep sweeping state races, Republicans won't have a very good bench to compete.

Who else does the Republicans have beside Bill Bolling?

What are you talking about? The Republicans are the ones who have been sweeping state races. If Jackson loses, we'll have the first Democratic Lt. Governor since 2006. The AG has been Republican since 1994.

[Miles]

Roll Call is also moving this from Tossup to Lean D.

[ElectionsGuy]

Yes, Larry Sabato has also moved this from Toss-Up to Lean D.

Looks like Virginia politics will break history's record and a elect a governor from the same party as the president. This is important as the new face of Virginia could potentially represent a state that now has a decent democratic advantage in modern election politics. This is a shift that must be watched in the next few years.

[PolitiJunkie]

Yes, Larry Sabato has also moved this from Toss-Up to Lean D.

Looks like Virginia politics will break history's record and a elect a governor from the same party as the president. This is important as the new face of Virginia could potentially represent a state that now has a decent democratic advantage in modern election politics. This is a shift that must be watched in the next few years.

Yeah it's pretty crazy, Virginia has not elected a Governor from the same party as the President since 1974 when Republican Miles Goodwin was elected Governor despite Gerald Ford being a Republican President. Just goes to show that political trends are broken so easily and are silly to rely on.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Beet, I think it's possible we could see a Democratic sweep of Governor, LG and State AG in November.

[PolitiJunkie]

Beet, I think it's possible we could see a Democratic sweep of Governor, LG and State AG in November.

Possible? That's looking like it's almost a guarantee.

[Gass3268]

Virginia Beach Mayor Sessoms, a Republican, to endorse Democrat McAuliffe in Va. governor race.

This is the first time he's ever cross-party endorsed.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/gop-virginia-beach-mayor-will-sessoms-to-endorse-democrat-mcauliffe-in-va-governor-race/2013/09/16/60abd3fe-1efa-11e3-9ad0-96244100e647_story.html

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

I don't live in Virginia either but I was under the impression that Bolling, while conservative, wasn't really a McDonnell/Cuccinelli-type GOPer.

[smoltchanov]

It seems McAuliffe will be less unpopular of two and win, albeit - by uninspiring margin..

[PolitiJunkie]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

I don't live in Virginia either but I was under the impression that Bolling, while conservative, wasn't really a McDonnell/Cuccinelli-type GOPer.

Definitely. I bet Bolling will be elected Governor in 2017.

[RogueBeaver]

McAuliffe bombed with the NVTC, complete self-parody. Now his camp's going ballistic.

[Miles]

Virginia Beach mayor Will Sessoms (R) is endorsing McAuliffe.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

If the Democrats are able to power a candidate as weak as McAuliffe to victory and sweep other statewide offices in an off-year, the Republicans are probably done in Virginia.

Maybe Virginia Democrats can give much needed help to their counterparts in North Carolina.

Not really.  If Democrats win this year it'll be because the GOP opponent was out of touch with Virginia; if Bolling had been the nominee, he'd be up 10 points at the moment.

Ten points?  I don't live in Virginia, but isn't your state slowly becoming out of reach for McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli-type GOPers?

I don't live in Virginia either but I was under the impression that Bolling, while conservative, wasn't really a McDonnell/Cuccinelli-type GOPer.

McDonnell and Bolling were both the more moderate candidate when they won their primaries in 2005, and are more alike to each other in their philosophy/approach to governing than either is to Cuccinelli.    A Republican doesn't need to be a John Warner-type to win Virginia, and win decisively against a flawed opponent like McAuliffe. 

[Gass3268]

Virginia Beach mayor Will Sessoms (R) is endorsing McAuliffe.

Five posts up...

[Miles]

Virginia Beach mayor Will Sessoms (R) is endorsing McAuliffe.

Five posts up...

Ah, there it is!

[Keystone Phil]

McAuliffe now only leads Cuccinelli 44% to 41%. That's down from 48% to 42% last month. The Libertarian is at 7%.

Cuccinelli still has horrible favor ability ratings (34% to 51%) while voters are split 38% to 38% on McAuliffe. I think this says way more about Terry's unpopularity since he can only muster a three point lead against an even more personally unpopular candidate.

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/09/ken-cuccinelli-terry-mcauliffe-virginia-governor-2013-poll-96976.html

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is gonna be close.

[Keystone Phil]

Yeah, I think people are starting to realize that the alternative is, you know, Terry McAuliffe.