Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?

[TX Conservative Dem]

My bet on how Virginia will look like in November:

Governor-McAuliffe (D) by 8 points (53-45) or maybe smaller 51-45
Lieutenant Governor-Northam (D) by 17 points (57-40) or 19 (58-39) since Jackson is a HORRIBLE candidate
State Attorney General-Obenshain (R) by a narrow margin, 50-49

The last time the VA Dems swept all statewide offices was in 1989.

[seanNJ9]

@ThePlumLineGS: New WaPo poll: McAuliffe now leads 51-39; Cuccinelli losing among women by 24: http://t.co/moIXe0oX9G

@daveweigel: WaPo poll also has Herring jumping to 3-point lead over Obenshain in AG race.

[Keystone Phil]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

[Gass3268]

I can't wait to see a county map

[Hifly]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

[Hifly]

If Herring wins however, Republicans can be theoretically considered strong favourites to pick up his senate seat; the Democratic elected base here is virtually non-existant and the GOP has some top-class candidates like Tom Rust who could run (especially if Rust loses his district, which is incidentally the bluest district within Herring's seat at around 60% Obama).

[windjammer]

If Herring wins however, Republicans can be theoretically considered strong favourites to pick up his senate seat; the Democratic elected base here is virtually non-existant and the GOP has some top-class candidates like Tom Rust who could run (especially if Rust loses his district, which is incidentally the bluest district within Herring's seat at around 60% Obama).

Herring's district is  D+6.

[Hifly]

If Herring wins however, Republicans can be theoretically considered strong favourites to pick up his senate seat; the Democratic elected base here is virtually non-existant and the GOP has some top-class candidates like Tom Rust who could run (especially if Rust loses his district, which is incidentally the bluest district within Herring's seat at around 60% Obama).

Herring's district is  D+6.

Yes and that's a very over simplistic line to follow. Have you basically ignored what I just said?

[Keystone Phil]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

lolwut

[Brittain33]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

Tell us more.

[TX Conservative Dem]

McAuliffe leading by 12 points ? WOW, I'll believe it until I see the official returns on Nov. 5th.

The State AG's race is going to the one for everyone to watch.

[Indy Texas]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

Ah yes, because Cuccinelli's swarthy complexion is what's really the issue.

[Keystone Phil]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

Ah yes, because Cuccinelli's swarthy complexion is what's really the issue.

I'm glad someone understands.

[windjammer]

If Herring wins however, Republicans can be theoretically considered strong favourites to pick up his senate seat; the Democratic elected base here is virtually non-existant and the GOP has some top-class candidates like Tom Rust who could run (especially if Rust loses his district, which is incidentally the bluest district within Herring's seat at around 60% Obama).

Herring's district is  D+6.

Yes and that's a very over simplistic line to follow. Have you basically ignored what I just said?

Oooops sorry!

[Mr.Phips]

If Herring wins however, Republicans can be theoretically considered strong favourites to pick up his senate seat; the Democratic elected base here is virtually non-existant and the GOP has some top-class candidates like Tom Rust who could run (especially if Rust loses his district, which is incidentally the bluest district within Herring's seat at around 60% Obama).

Herring's seat is 60% Obama and the district excludes the parts of Loudoun county that are toxic to Dems.  Think of this seat as one that cobbles together the most Dem parts of Loudoun and also parts of Fairfax(where Dems are much stronger).

[Lief 🗽]

T-Mac's spending advantage and the sad end of Kook's campaign, in one graph.

[TX Conservative Dem]

McDonnell's unpopularity is NOT helping Cuccinelli any matters.

[seanNJ9]

Since this race is all but over any guesess on the 2017 nominees?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Since this race is all but over any guesess on the 2017 nominees?

Tom Perriello or Chap Petersen for the Democrats.

[Maxwell]

Since this race is all but over any guesess on the 2017 nominees?

Chopra upsets Northam for the Dem Nom, and if Obenshain wins the ATtorney General job, he will most certainly be the nominee. If not, Republicans are kind of deep sh**t in Virginia, but maybe a congressman like Robert Hurt or Scott Riggell, or, hell, even Bob McDonnell again.

[IceSpear]

What's really impressive is that McAuliffe has a positive favorability rating. How is that even possible when it seems like most Democrats don't even like him?

[Maxwell]

What's really impressive is that McAuliffe has a positive favorability rating. How is that even possible when it seems like most Democrats don't even like him?

Ken Cuccinelli MADE it possible.

[Landslide Lyndon]

What's really impressive is that McAuliffe has a positive favorability rating. How is that even possible when it seems like most Democrats don't even like him?

As Kos mentions repeatedly, he ran an unapologetically liberal  campaign, going as far as championing an assault weapons ban.
Thus he surprised pleasantly all liberals who saw him until a few months ago as the living embodiment of Third Way/DLC politics.

[Nichlemn]

Why is Terry McAuilffe considered to be so mediocre?