Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
January 24, 2020, 04:29:12 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virgini)
  Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 [17] 18 19 Print
Poll
Question: Who do you think is most likely to win this November?
#1
Terry McAuliffe (D)
 
#2
Ken Cuccinelli (R)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 168

Author Topic: Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?  (Read 55322 times)
2,868,691
Harry
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,113
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #400 on: November 05, 2013, 09:47:11 pm »

Add this one to the list of winnable races the Tea Party has screwed up.  Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart

Hope they never quit!
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #401 on: November 05, 2013, 09:47:32 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 09:50:59 pm by Flo »

McAuliffe up by 1.07

47.02% McAuliffe
46.09% Cucinelli

Northam up by 9.24

54.52% Northam
45.28% Jackson

Obenshain up by 1.58

50.98% Obenshain
48.90% Herring

93.31% of the vote is in.
Logged
LeBron FitzGerald
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,830
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #402 on: November 05, 2013, 09:49:19 pm »

MSNBC can now project that Democratic candidate, Terry McAuliffe, is now going to be the Governor of the Commonwealth! 91% of the precincts are reporting and McAuliffe leads 47% (912,667) to Cuccinelli's 46% (907,582). As a result of this, Democrats going into the 2014 midterms will hold 21 Governor's seats while Republicans only 29 now.

Also, the newest Lieutenant Governor, no surprise will be Democrat, Ralph Northam which means not only is the Governorship going blue, but so is the Virginia State Senate! No word yet on the balance of power in the Virginia House of Delegates.

However, Obenshain/Herring is still too close to call with Obenshain having a very small lead. It's just questionable whether or not Obenshain can hold that lead and can hold onto the Attorney General's seat for the Republicans, or if that will also fall to the Democrats tonight.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #403 on: November 05, 2013, 09:59:25 pm »

McAuliffe up by 1.21

47.18% McAuliffe
45.97% Cucinelli

Northam up by 9.64

54.67% Northam
45.13% Jackson

Obenshain up by 1.30

50.59% Obenshain
49.29% Herring

95.24% of the vote is in.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #404 on: November 05, 2013, 10:03:20 pm »

In order for Herring to win, he needs to win 63% of the outstanding vote.
Logged
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,743
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #405 on: November 05, 2013, 10:05:07 pm »


Yes it seems that all the networks and websites (including CNN and The New York Times) are calling the race and have McAuliffe as the projected winner.

With Cuccinelli attached to and supported by the "Tea Party," the end result (a loss) should not come as a big surprise to anyone with half-a-brain.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #406 on: November 05, 2013, 10:08:13 pm »

McAuliffe up by 1.44

47.32% McAuliffe
45.88% Cucinelli

Northam up by 9.79

54.80% Northam
45.01% Jackson

Obenshain up by 1.04

50.46% Obenshain
49.42% Herring

96.93% of the vote is in.
Logged
Beet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 25,011


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #407 on: November 05, 2013, 10:18:16 pm »

Anyone got county maps?
Logged
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,743
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #408 on: November 05, 2013, 10:23:24 pm »


Beet,
Go over to The New York Times website for "county maps."
If you place your pointer on each county, it gives you the numbers for each major candidate and the percentage reporting for that county.
Logged
illegaloperation
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 783


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #409 on: November 05, 2013, 10:23:48 pm »

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/elections/guide/2013/VA/general/?hpid=z3
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #410 on: November 05, 2013, 10:25:59 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 10:35:35 pm by Flo »

McAuliffe up by 1.62

47.43% McAuliffe [Projected Winner]
45.81% Cucinelli

Northam up by 9.95

54.88% Northam [Projected Winner]
44.93% Jackson

Obenshain up by 0.78

50.38% Obenshain
49.50% Herring

98.11% of the vote is in.
Logged
illegaloperation
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 783


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #411 on: November 05, 2013, 10:39:45 pm »

Unfortunately, I don't think that Herring will be able to jump that gap.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #412 on: November 05, 2013, 10:41:31 pm »

McAuliffe up by 1.55

47.20% McAuliffe [Projected Winner]
45.75% Cucinelli

Northam up by 9.78

54.74% Northam [Projected Winner]
44.96% Jackson

Obenshain up by 1.05

50.42% Obenshain
49.37% Herring

98.50% of the vote is in.

Unfortunately, I don't think that Herring will be able to jump that gap.

No, the Republican precincts are trickling in and it looks like these are going to be the results.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #413 on: November 05, 2013, 10:46:04 pm »

McAuliffe up by 1.75

47.35% McAuliffe [Projected Winner]
45.60% Cuccinelli

Northam up by 10.07

54.88% Northam [Projected Winner]
44.81% Jackson

Obenshain up by 0.65

50.27% Obenshain
49.52% Herring

98.98% of the vote is in.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #414 on: November 05, 2013, 11:00:39 pm »

McAuliffe up by 2.11

47.54% McAuliffe [Projected Winner]
45.43% Cucinelli
6.60% Sarvis

Northam up by 10.07

54.88% Northam [Projected Winner]
44.81% Jackson

Obenshain up by 0.59

50.19% Obenshain
49.60% Herring

99.21% of the vote is in.
Logged
illegaloperation
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 783


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #415 on: November 05, 2013, 11:14:09 pm »

Herring is now trailing by ~1400 votes.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #416 on: November 05, 2013, 11:22:20 pm »
« Edited: November 06, 2013, 12:22:46 am by Flo »

McAuliffe up by 2.15

47.57% McAuliffe [Projected Winner]
45.42% Cucinelli
6.58% Sarvis
0.43% Write-in

Northam up by 10.48

55.05% Northam [Projected Winner]
44.65% Jackson
0.31% Write-in

Obenshain up by 0.29

50.07% Obenshain
49.72% Herring
0.21% Write-in

99.72% of the vote is in.

Obenshain leads by 7,459 votes with 7 precincts, in Democratic territory, remaining.

We may not know winner for a month or more due to absentee ballots being counted.
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,466
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #417 on: November 06, 2013, 01:30:14 am »

You know, it's funny, Cuccinelli was the only candidate who could have lost to McAuliffe, yet McAuliffe was one of the few candidates who could've lost to Cuccinelli.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #418 on: November 06, 2013, 02:07:25 am »

Attorney General Vote:

Mark Herring: 1,098,388           50.014%
Mark Obenshain: 1,097,772     49.986%

Total vote: 2,196,160
Logged
Indy Texas
independentTX
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,396


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: -3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #419 on: November 06, 2013, 02:15:42 am »

Attorney General Vote:

Mark Herring: 1,098,388           50.014%
Mark Obenshain: 1,097,772     49.986%

Total vote: 2,196,160

There are also 4,404 write-in votes, according to the VA SBOE. I'd be very interested in knowing who those people voted.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #420 on: November 06, 2013, 02:34:15 am »

Attorney General Vote:

Mark Herring: 1,098,388           50.014%
Mark Obenshain: 1,097,772     49.986%

Total vote: 2,196,160

There are also 4,404 write-in votes, according to the VA SBOE. I'd be very interested in knowing who those people voted.

Santa Claus is a very common choice
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,627
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #421 on: November 06, 2013, 03:24:36 am »

McAuliffe likely wins by a couple of points

Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,810
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #422 on: November 06, 2013, 03:33:13 am »


Logged
Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,996
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #423 on: November 06, 2013, 04:46:15 am »

So why did McAuliffe underperform?
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46,799


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #424 on: November 06, 2013, 04:49:13 am »

There goes that 9 election streak of the President's party losing.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 [17] 18 19 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC