Four years from today, who will be.....?

[Lachi]

...president of the United States? Trump (It won't be election day 2020 at this point)

Huh?  Four years from today will be April 2021, three months after the inauguration of whoever won the 2020 election.

Why was I thinking it was 2016...

...president of the United States? depends on who actually runs in 2020

[Phony Moderate]

I don't think the Aussie Liberals are toast yet, btw. Their poll deficit isn't embarrassingly high and there's still over two years until an election is due. Remember that Beazley got a similar result in 1998 to Shorten in 2016.

[Kingpoleon]

...president of the United States? Cory Booker
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Emmanuel Macron
...prime minister of the UK? Theresa May
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten

I was very tempted to put Trump as President but ultimately decided not to.

[Former President tack50]

...president of the United States?
...chancellor of Germany?
...president of France?
...prime minister of the UK?
...prime minister of Canada?
...prime minister of Australia?

President of the US: Donald Trump
Chancellor of Germany: Whoever the SPD nominates in 2021
President of France: Emmanuel Macron
Prime Minister of the UK: Theresa May (also wins reelection in 2022)
Prime Minister of Canada: Justin Trudeau
Prime Minister of Australia: No idea

Also, Prime Minister of Spain: Mariano Rajoy, or whoever PP nominates if he retires (probably Soraya Saenz, but I can also see Cospedal or Feijoo instead)

[Tender Branson]

April 30, 2021:

POTUS: Bernie Sanders, or some other Democrat
Chancellor of Germany: Angela Merkel, or if she retires in her term, someone else from the CDU
PM of the UK: Theresa May (Tories)
President of France: Emmanuel Macron (EM)
Chancellor of Austria: Sebastian Kurz (ÖVP)

[Mike88]

President of the US: Any Democrat
Chancellor of Germany: Angela Merkel, probably
President of France: Emmanuel Macron
Prime Minister of the UK: Theresa May
Prime Minister of Canada: Justin Trudeau
Prime Minister of Australia: Bill Shorten, probably

Prime Minister of Portugal: António Costa (PS) or Rui Rio (PSD)

[OSR stands with Israel]

President of The United States: Sherrod Brown
Prime Minister of UK: Theresa May
Prime Minister of Canada:Andrew Scheer
President of France: Emmanuel Marcon

[Del Tachi]

President of the US:  Donald Trump
Prime Minister of UK:  Theresa May
President of France:  Emmanuel Marcon
Chancellor of Germany:  Angela Merkel
Prime Minister of Canada: Maxime Bernier

[mvd10]

President of the United States- Trump
Chancellor of Germany- Merkel
President of France- Fillon
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom- May
Prime Minister of Canada- Trudeau
Prime Minister of Australia- Shorten

I already got one wrong (Fillon). I'm fairly confident about the rest (I posted this in November 2016 and Trump still will be presidentin November 2020 even if he loses in 2020). By May 2021 Trump will be gone. So:

President of the United States- Warren (ew)
Chancellor of Germany- Merkel (on her way out, presumably replaced by someone from the SPD)
President of France- Macron
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom- May
Prime Minister of Canada- Trudeau
Prime Minister of Australia- Shorten

I'll add some bonus guesses:

Prime Minister of the Netherlands: Mark Rutte
Prime Minister of Belgium: Charles Michel
Prime Minister of Denmark: Mette Frederiksen
Prime Minister of Italy: Matteo Renzi
Prime Minister of Spain: Mariano Rajoy
Prime Minister of Poland: Please let it be Grzegorz Schetyna. Please
Prime Minister of Portugal: Antonio Costa
President of the European Commission: Jyrki Katainen

[thumb21]

PM of the UK: Corbyn (Labour)
President of the US: Warren (Democratic)
Chancellor of Germany: Merkel or maybe someone else in the CDU
President of France: Macron (REM)
PM of Canada: Scheer (Conservative)
PM of Greece: Mitsotakis (ND)
President of Cyprus: Papadopoulos (DIKO)
PM of Spain: Rajoy (PP)

[Mr. Morden]

The last post in this thread from 2013:

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Francois Hollande
...prime minister of the UK? Ed Miliband
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Malcolm Turnball

He managed to get three out of six right.

[Lechasseur]

US: a Democrat (if I had to guess, maybe Gillibrand)
PM of the UK: Jeremy Corbyn
President of France: Emmanuel Macron
Chancellor of Germany: Jens Spahn
Chancellor of Austria: Sebastian Kurz
Prime Minister of Belgium: Charles Michel
Prime Minister of Canada: Justin Trudeau
Prime Minister of Australia: Bill Shorten, or some other ALP member
Prime Minister of New Zealand: Bill English
Prime Minister of Israel: Binyamin Netanyahu
Prime Minister of Italy: Antonio Tajani

[Lachi]

...president of the United States? This far out, and with no knowledge of the final candidates, no clue.
...chancellor of Germany? No clue
...president of France? Macron
...prime minister of the UK? Corbyn
...prime minister of Canada? Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Shorten

[Phony Moderate]

The last post in this thread from 2013:

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Francois Hollande
...prime minister of the UK? Ed Miliband
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Malcolm Turnball

He managed to get three out of six right.

And would have been five out of six if not for two electoral upsets.

Anyhow:

...president of the United States? Idk, could well be Trump, if not him then someone like Gillibrand
...chancellor of Germany? Merkel'll still be there, despite her current issues
...president of France? Macron, with low approval ratings
...prime minister of the UK? May, with low approval ratings
...prime minister of Canada? Trudeau, with somewhat better approval ratings than the above
...prime minister of Australia? Whoever in the ALP caucus managed to successfully overthrow Bill Shorten

[mileslunn]

United States: whomever the Democrats nominate.
Germany: whomever the CDU/CSU choose.
France: Macron (REM) doesn't face election until 2022
UK: whomever the Tories have replace May, Rudd, Johnson and Davis being top contenders. Don't think the government will fall so election in May 2022
Italy: whomever leads centre-right coalition
Canada: Justin Trudeau
Australia: Bill Shorten

So partywise my predictions which I think have a better chance at being right, but expect a few surprises

US: Democrats
Germany: CDU/CSU
France: En Marche
UK: Tories
Italy: Forza Italia (Democratic Party wins popular vote but centre-right union parties back Forza Italia)
Canada: Liberals
Australia: Labor

[Mr. Morden]

*bump*

No, Angela Merkel won't be Chancellor four years from now. It's an open secret that she intends to retire by 2017 at the latest and is already setting up Urusla von der Leyen as her hand-picked successor.

She's already working on an exit.

Well, it's four years later, and looks like this was wrong.  Merkel's still in.

Four years ago, some folks in this thread were correctly predicting Merkel and Trudeau.  Only one poster was predicting Turnbull in Australia.  Unsurprisingly, no one guessed Trump, May, or Macron.

[mvd10]

May wouldn't have been that unreasonable in 2014, I believe the consensus then was that Osborne, Johnson and May were the 3 frontrunners with everyone else being extremely far behind. Macron in March 2014 would have been extremely weird, in March 2015 it would have been unlikely but possible. Predicting Trump would have been batsh**t insane in March 2014.

[Middle-aged Europe]

*bump*

No, Angela Merkel won't be Chancellor four years from now. It's an open secret that she intends to retire by 2017 at the latest and is already setting up Urusla von der Leyen as her hand-picked successor.

She's already working on an exit.

Well, it's four years later, and looks like this was wrong.  Merkel's still in.

Four years ago, some folks in this thread were correctly predicting Merkel and Trudeau.  Only one poster was predicting Turnbull in Australia.  Unsurprisingly, no one guessed Trump, May, or Macron.

Yeah, Merkel's intention to resign by 2017 probably had been true at one point. What basically happened was that Ursula von der Leyen - who was originally given the Defense ministry in an effort to groom her as Merkel's successor - ended up being a less-than-stellar defense minister in practice. And when you're as long in office as Merkel you're starting to get convinced that only you (and maybe someone who's handpicked by you) is capable of running the country in any competent fashion.

Von der Leyen turned out to be dud, so that meant that Merkel either had to run for another term or risk turning the party and the country over to someone who's not loyal to her, like Jens Spahn. She decided to do the former and eventually appointed Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer as her new heir-apparent after the 2017 election. In picking Kramp-Karrenbauer she even followed the same pattern she had used when appointing Von der Leyen four years prior... choosing a pragmatic, moderate-to-liberal, female CDU politician who's practically a younger clone of yourself.

[Mr. Morden]

Prime Minister of the United Kingdom: Boris Johnson

Close.  You were off by a few months.

Also, no one was predicting Scott Morrison for Australia back in 2014/2015.

[Middle-aged Europe]

I really haven't a clue who's gonna be German Chancellor four years from now. It surely won't be Angela Merkel, since the discussion about her future usually circles around the question "will she retire sometime prior to the 2021 election or will she complete her current term in office after all"? However, her anointed successor AKK - suffering from a severe form of foot-in-the-mouth disease ever since she took over the CDU - is kind of fizzling out at the moment. So.. Armin Laschet maybe? 

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Prime Minister of the United Kingdom of England and Wales: Jacon Rees-Mogg

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

At this point I think in four years the PM of the UK will probably be Swinson. Corbyn has Labour in a death grip and won't leave until he's carried out, turning them into a fringe nuisance party. The Tories are unlikely to hold total power until then, so the LDs are likely to continue to rise until they become the opposition and eventual coalition leaders.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

At this point I think in four years the PM of the UK will probably be Swinson. Corbyn has Labour in a death grip and won't leave until he's carried out, turning them into a fringe nuisance party. The Tories are unlikely to hold total power until then, so the LDs are likely to continue to rise until they become the opposition and eventual coalition leaders.

Oh yes, the same thing we've heard in the 1980s: Labour is done and the SDP-Liberal alliance will inevitably get to power.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

At this point I think in four years the PM of the UK will probably be Swinson. Corbyn has Labour in a death grip and won't leave until he's carried out, turning them into a fringe nuisance party. The Tories are unlikely to hold total power until then, so the LDs are likely to continue to rise until they become the opposition and eventual coalition leaders.

Oh yes, the same thing we've heard in the 1980s: Labour is done and the SDP-Liberal alliance will inevitably get to power.

Labour's never been in the vise grip of an unelectable cult leader who would rather see the party and country flounder than give up his little slice of power.

The LDs have rarely had a natural political talent as good as Swinson, either.

[CumbrianLefty]

These comments just show that you are a moronic cultist yourself - merely a different kind.

Of course, your utterly risible username confirms that too