1962 midterm elections: First hints of an anti-Dem trend in the south?

[freepcrusher]

In the 11 confederate states:

Alabama - dems win top eight seats at large with no sign of gop trend (which would occur in 1964)
Arkansas - no evidence of a gop trend yet
Florida - republicans win new seat in Orlando area but all the dem incumbents do pretty well
Georgia - in open seat, republican gets to 44ish percent in a district that took in Atlanta and its suburbs
Louisiana - no sign of GOP trend
Mississippi - no sign of gop trend

North Carolina - with the exception of the 7th and districts 1-3 (where incumbents were unopposed) all democrats are held below 60%.

South Carolina - low country seat (which is actually dem leaning now) nearly goes republican. Albert Watson switches parties in the mid 60s and the republican he defeated (Spence) wins the seat when Watson runs for governor

Tennessee - the democrats get a surprisingly high 44% in TN 1 (albeit in open seat). The 3rd district incumbent loses renomination and goes republican for first time in 42 years. The longtime 9th district incumbent also narrowly wins reelection - a sign of ensuing racial polarization

Texas - unlike in the past. The republicans contest most of the races. Lindley Becker nearly loses reelection in a Tyler based district (which was gop leaning even then). The panhandle district incumbent is also held below 60 percent (in a district where Kennedy did a lot worse than Stevenson). Robert Casey in the 22nd district also has a close election battle since his district took in the memorial villages (which are put in the new 7th in 1966). The new at large seat goes dem by a 56-44 margin.

Virginia - the 3rd district nearly goes republican (against a long time incumbent as well). Richmond I think was also racially polarized just like Memphis was. When he retires in 1964, it goes dem even though Goldwater won the district, due to a third party candidate and the fact that Satterfield was to the right of 90-95% of republicans. The 7th district's (based in Shenandoah, Winchester area) incumbent retires and nearly goes republican. When Marsh retires eight years later, it is won by the man he defeated in 1962 and never flips back.