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  TX-PPP: Hillary leads Perry, trails all others
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Author Topic: TX-PPP: Hillary leads Perry, trails all others  (Read 1029 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: July 03, 2013, 12:07:47 pm »

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 41%
Disapprove...................................................... 55%

...

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 38%
Chris Christie .................................................. 47%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 44%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 43%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 46%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 44%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 49%

...

Do you think Rick Perry should run for President in 2016, or not?

He should........................................................ 18%
He should not.................................................. 74%

Do you think Ted Cruz should run for President in 2016, or not?

He should........................................................ 26%
He should not.................................................. 59%

Q20 In 2005, the U.S. Census Bureau reported that Texas became the third majority-minority state. In other words, there are now more minority than white residents. Do you approve or disapprove of this being the case?

Approve ................. .35%
Disapprove............. .21%
Not sure ................. .44%

PPP surveyed 500 registered voters between June 28-July 1, 2013, including 318 Republican
primary voters. The margin of error was +/- 4.4% statewide and +/- 5.5% for the Republican
primary. This poll was not authorized or paid for by any campaign or political organization.
PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_703.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2013, 12:31:38 pm »

Not bad for Hillary, considering the people in the poll voted for Romney by 12 points.

But of course, polls early on in TX always show a close race and then it ends up between 15 and 20 points for the Republican.
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politicus
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« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2013, 12:35:15 pm »

At least she beats Perry... Wink
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2013, 11:36:25 pm »

Hate to say this but in November 2016 in a Perry Clinton matchup, Perry probably would win by about 3-6 points... Texas is still that red.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: July 04, 2013, 02:21:25 am »

Cruz actually beats Clinton among Hispanics in this poll:

Clinton vs. Cruz:
blacks: Clinton +71%
hispanics: Cruz +2%
whites: Cruz +14%

None of the other three Republicans tested against Clinton wins among Hispanics.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: July 04, 2013, 02:43:50 am »

Cruz actually beats Clinton among Hispanics in this poll:

Clinton vs. Cruz:
blacks: Clinton +71%
hispanics: Cruz +2%
whites: Cruz +14%

None of the other three Republicans tested against Clinton wins among Hispanics.

This is very strange.

Exit polls from Texas in 2000, 2004 and 2008 have shown that Whites support the Republicans by a 50-point margin.

But Hillary is only down by 14.

Hispanics are backing Cruz by 2 when they usually favor Democrats in TX by 20+
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: July 04, 2013, 03:03:08 am »

With Christie vs. Clinton, the breakdown is:
blacks: Clinton +72%
hispanics: Clinton +9%
whites: Christie +20%

So more racially polarized than with Cruz, though still not as polarized as past exit polls have shown.  I guess Cruz is getting some boost among Hispanics for his last name.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #7 on: July 04, 2013, 11:40:43 pm »

There's some anecdotal evidence that Texas Hispanics are not nearly as in favor or even opposed to amnesty, as opposed to their counterparts in other states.

Also, this seems to have poor racial weighting, significantly oversampling liberal whites and conservative Hispanics it looks like.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2013, 10:46:38 pm »

Cruz actually beats Clinton among Hispanics in this poll:

Clinton vs. Cruz:
blacks: Clinton +71%
hispanics: Cruz +2%
whites: Cruz +14%

None of the other three Republicans tested against Clinton wins among Hispanics.


Only 14% for Whites?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2013, 10:54:46 pm »

Cruz actually beats Clinton among Hispanics in this poll:

Clinton vs. Cruz:
blacks: Clinton +71%
hispanics: Cruz +2%
whites: Cruz +14%

None of the other three Republicans tested against Clinton wins among Hispanics.


Only 14% for Whites?

That's what I said.  Cruz beats Clinton by a 14 point margin among whites.
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