Final 2012 Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: Final 2012 Predictions  (Read 13105 times)
Liberalrocks
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Posts: 1,930
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« on: July 31, 2013, 02:50:24 PM »

I supported Obama but played my predictions on the conservative side because I think many polls/pundits didnt think he could get an enthusiastic turn out coordinated. With the exception of the brilliant Nate Silver.

Based on articles and what I perceived to be GOP voter supression tactics I thought Florida would go to Mitt Romney so I clearly had that state wrong and was suprised to see an Obama win there.

Virginia I expected to be decided by a few thousand votes much closer then the actual vote but in the end I did predict Obama would pull it out.

All other states I got right but was suprised a few were not closer Obama margins. I only got one state wrong. The national popular vote suprised me I thought Obama would only win by a 1pt or 2 and not over 50%. The icing on the cake was Mitt Romney ending up with "47%".
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