Which country will legalize gay marriage next?

[Famous Mortimer]

That's the question.

[Famous Mortimer]

The Nepali supreme court ordered gay marriage to be included in the new constitution but the new constitution is nowhere near even being written.

[Famous Mortimer]

Is it actually going to come up for a vote anytime soon in Finland?

I only included them as an option because of they're the last Scandinavian country that doesn't have it and a gay man came in second in the last presidential election.

I hadn't heard any concrete legislative news though.

[Famous Mortimer]

Colombia - Isn't the current government pretty right-wing? But a lot of people are citing it, so...
Albania - Haha, no. Eastern Europe has never been gay-friendly.
Luxembourg - Good shot of it, IIRC. All three gay couples will be able to marry soon.
Vietnam - From what I've heard, East Asia has never cared much either way about homosexuality. Possibly.
Cuba - Not impossible, but the PCC has been pretty homophobic in the past.
Taiwan - See Vietnam, but more democratic.
Finland - Yeah, this is probably coming soon.

So in order from most to least likely:

Finland
Luxembourg
Colombia
Taiwan
Vietnam
Cuba
Albania

Colombia: A gay marriage will take place in Colombia on July 24th, in conjunction with a court order. It remains unclear though if gay marriage will become available on demand at this point or if every gay marriage will require an individual court order.

Albania: Both major parties are for gay marriage. They would have legalized it before but the opposition (now the government) was boycotting because of claimed election fraud, thus denying a quorum for amending existing laws.

Luxembourg: The leadership of all main parties is for it but the issue lost on a free vote. A new parliament might be different though.

Vietnam: There's been talk coming out of the judicial branch.

Cuba: USED to be very homophobic. Not any more. Raul's daughter is head of a gay rights organization. The government pays for transsexuals to get realignment surgery. I'm actually surprised they did that before they did gay marriage.

Taiwan: Again, rumblings from the judicial branch.

Finland: What everyone else said.

[Famous Mortimer]

The Inspector General of Colombia petitioned the Supreme Court to clarify their ruling from a few years ago, specifically to clarify by agreeing with him that gay marriage shouldn't be legal.

The Supreme Court refused to do so and also warned the Inspector General that he should "maintain decorum" in court.

At the same time though, they did not come out in support of gay marriage either.

Huge cluster-f***

[Famous Mortimer]

So the ceremony took place on the 24th. The participants called it a marriage but lots of people insisting it wasn't, only an "equivalent union."

Oddly, one of the people insisting that was Carlos Gaviria, former presidential candidate of the leftist Alternative Democratic Pole as well as a former Constitutional Court official. Don't know if that's just his legal opinion or his legal and personal opinion.

This isn't won't be cleared up until it goes to the Supreme Court again.

[Famous Mortimer]

Again, local officials are saying they already complied with the order. It's going to take another order to see if that's true or not.

It will be awhile.

I'm changing my vote to Finland.

[Famous Mortimer]

I think we can pretty safely say this will be Luxembourg now.

(they have a gay PM)

[Famous Mortimer]

Weird that none of these countries has pulled the trigger yet

and it's possible Austria may beat them all.

[Famous Mortimer]

Luxembourg is pretty weird. They have coalition between a social democratic party and a liberal party who have nothing ideologically in common except gay marriage (and the fact that they both have gay leaders). What else have they got to do?

[Famous Mortimer]

Luxembourg is pretty weird. They have coalition between a social democratic party and a liberal party who have nothing ideologically in common except gay marriage (and the fact that they both have gay leaders). What else have they got to do?

I don't see why same-sex marriage should be on the agenda for Luxembourg's government. They have more important things to worry about.

Not really.

[Famous Mortimer]

ADR is/was a pensioners party.

[Famous Mortimer]

So I guess Ireland won.

Up next, I'll predict Germany.

[Famous Mortimer]

So I guess Ireland won.

Up next, I'll predict Germany.

It was Greenland.

If it doesn't have UN membership, it don't count as far as I'm concerned.