VA-PPP: Hillary+1 against Christie, up 5 against Bush

[Mr. Morden]

I think this poll has just about the largest gender gap of any poll I've ever seen:

Clinton/Christie: 29 point gender gap
Clinton/Paul: 34 point gender gap
Clinton/Rubio: 34 point gender gap
Clinton/McDonnell: 36 point gender gap
Clinton/Bush: 37 point gender gap

Also, other polls have shown Clinton being weaker among the youth vote than Obama was, while doing better among olds.....but this is ridiculous:

Christie vs. Clinton:
18-29: Christie +32
30-45: Christie +11
46-65: Clinton +16
65+: Christie +1

[Mr. Morden]

In terms of the age breakdown, and what other polls are saying….

Quinnipiac's recent poll of Virginia, Christie vs. Clinton:
18-29: Clinton +13
30-44: Clinton +9
45-64: Clinton +3
65+: Christie/Clinton tie

Quinnipiac's last national poll:
18-29: Clinton +33
30-44: Christie/Clinton tie
45-64: Clinton +4
65+: Christie/Clinton tie

Comparing to 2012….

2012 results--Virginia exit poll:
18-29: Obama +25
30-44: Obama +9
45-64: Romney +7
65+: Romney +8

2012 results--national exit poll:
18-29: Obama +23
30-44: Obama +7
45-64: Romney +4
65+: Romney +12

In the 2016 polling so far, some of the polls show Clinton doing just as well with youngs as Obama did, but others don't.  However, one clear trend is that for the other age brackets, we're not seeing that sharp gradient towards the GOP as you move from 30-44 year towards the older age brackets, as you saw with Obama.  In fact, some of the 2016 polling has shown 30-44 year olds as the GOP's strongest group.  (Though that's been less true lately.)

[Mr. Morden]

Should also note that a diminishing of the age gap would represent something of a reversion to what things were like pre-Obama: