NC: Public Policy Polling: Hagan leads GOP by 12-17 points, no clear leader in GOP primary with Foxx out

[Maxwell]

This is kind of a D-Friendly poll, though I don't doubt Hagan is ahead of a dreadful field. STOP TILLIS!

[Maxwell]

Just throwing this out there, but polling (including PPP) fairly consistently showed Dole ahead of her rivals until about four months before the election.

That's true, and North Carolina has had a lot of One Term Senators (John Edwards, Lauch Faircloth, Liz Dole, Terry Sanford) as of recent.

[Maxwell]

Just throwing this out there, but polling (including PPP) fairly consistently showed Dole ahead of her rivals until about four months before the election.

That's true, and North Carolina has had a lot of One Term Senators (John Edwards, Lauch Faircloth, Liz Dole, Terry Sanford) as of recent.

John Edwards ran for VP the same year he would've run for re-election. He probably would've won again had he run for senate in 2004.
Liddy Dole made a huge gaffe late in the campaign and suffered from Barack Obama's reverse coatails in 2008.
Terry Sanford ran for re-election at the age of 75 and stopped campaigning for all of October because of a
heart surgery.
Launch Faircloth lost because I don't know. His defeat actually helps your point.

Ah yes, you are correct. It is all dependent what happens with the GOP field. Hagan's numbers will probably drop when people are paying attention, the only question is whether she can slip by like her fellow North Carolina Senator Dick Burr.

[Maxwell]

Just throwing this out there, but polling (including PPP) fairly consistently showed Dole ahead of her rivals until about four months before the election.

That's true, and North Carolina has had a lot of One Term Senators (John Edwards, Lauch Faircloth, Liz Dole, Terry Sanford) as of recent.

John Edwards ran for VP the same year he would've run for re-election. He probably would've won again had he run for senate in 2004.
Liddy Dole made a huge gaffe late in the campaign and suffered from Barack Obama's reverse coatails in 2008.
Terry Sanford ran for re-election at the age of 75 and stopped campaigning for all of October because of a
heart surgery.
Launch Faircloth lost because I don't know. His defeat actually helps your point.

Ah yes, you are correct. It is all dependent what happens with the GOP field. Hagan's numbers will probably drop when people are paying attention, the only question is whether she can slip by like her fellow North Carolina Senator Dick Burr.

Problem about people paying attention, is that they'll pay attention to Tillis/Berger/some guy as well. And most won't like what they see.

That's already the case. Tillis' numbers are already garbage. The North Carolina bench, as it is now, is a disaster. They blew their best guy on a race where he's now kind of in a lose lose scenario with no way out.