Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 13, 2019, 07:29:03 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Process
  Polling (Moderator: muon2)
  PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls  (Read 12951 times)
Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: July 17, 2015, 03:58:29 pm »

Nate Silver getting 50/50 states right isn't that impressive at all. You would have gotten exactly the same result - with Florida as the only possible exception - by doing a simple average of all poll, something not exactly requiring great mathematical skill.

I got 49/50 right by doing that-I had Florida in Romney's column. The whole "unskewed polls" thing was done by adding at least 5 points to Romney's side in every state.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: July 19, 2015, 04:31:28 am »

FL still remains understated. But the Puerto Rican and Blk vote always remain key

 FL will be retained by Dems due to Murphy winning senate seat.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC