PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls (user search)
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  PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls  (Read 16458 times)
Bacon King
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« on: September 20, 2013, 02:20:03 PM »

Nate Cohn offers more criticism of PPP here:

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/114769/ppp-methodology-results-arent-defense

essentially arguing that it looks like PPP uses ad hoc weighting to get their results closer to the polling average, in cases where other pollsters have already polled the race.


What I gather from this is that the only difference between PPP's methodology and the hocus-pocus of traditional poll weighting practices is that PPP has the opportunity to correct their numbers into something somewhat sensible whenever they realize they have an outlier. Every pollster has an assumption about how they expect things will/should look, and that certainly comes into play when adjusting demographic ratios, or establishing likely voter screens, or merging their cellphone sample or internet panel with the rest of the poll.

It's not scientifically rigorous, no, but claiming to be so is a sham in the first place when you're dealing with response rates in the single digits.
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