PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls (user search)
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  PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls  (Read 16464 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: October 06, 2013, 06:28:44 AM »

Nate Cohn offers more criticism of PPP here:

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/114769/ppp-methodology-results-arent-defense

essentially arguing that it looks like PPP uses ad hoc weighting to get their results closer to the polling average, in cases where other pollsters have already polled the race.


I've had this thought before.

1. Start a fake polling company.
2. Release bogus polls that simply report results close to averages of previously published polls.
3. Be right most of the time (and when you're wrong, everyone else is too).
4. Establish a great reputation as the most accurate pollster.

(Leap of faith)

5. Make money.

Tongue
If you think there's anybody active in the polling field who's doing anything fundamentally different (though they also call real people), I have some prime Mongolian oceanfront properties to sell to you.
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