Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 06, 2019, 01:04:32 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  USA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all by big margins
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: USA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all by big margins  (Read 2138 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,948
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 02, 2013, 05:12:42 am »

49-36 Clinton/Christie
53-36 Clinton/Paul
54-31 Clinton/Cruz

Favorable Ratings:

56-36 Clinton (+20)
40-22 Christie (+18]
48-49 Obama (-1)
30-33 Paul (-3)
16-25 Cruz (-9)

From September 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,497 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1959
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,313
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2013, 09:21:31 am »

Christie vs. Clinton by age:
18-29: Clinton +16
30-49: Clinton +16
50-64: Clinton +16
65+: Clinton +5

Paul vs. Clinton by age:
18-29: Clinton +27
30-49: Clinton +13
50-64: Clinton +20
65+: Clinton +9

And again, Clinton's strong favorables are because of her amazing numbers among Democrats, whereas Christie's are from his strong crossover support:

Christie favorability by party ID:
Dems: +19
GOP: +22
Indies: +22

Clinton favorability by party ID:
Dems: +86
GOP: -57
Indies: +13
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,692
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2013, 03:47:02 pm »

WTF. Are we looking at a Ronald Reagan landslide here?

And again, Clinton's strong favorables are because of her amazing numbers among Democrats, whereas Christie's are from his strong crossover support:

Christie favorability by party ID:
Dems: +19
GOP: +22
Indies: +22

Clinton favorability by party ID:
Dems: +86
GOP: -57
Indies: +13


Amazing, Christie has awful approval rating among GOP, but an outstanding approval rating among democrats and independents, hell he gets bipartisan support from everyone, and Clinton gets bipartisan support from republicans because Cristie's "too liberal". In the end though, all these independents and democrats who have a positive opinion of Christie would still vote Clinton.

The GOP needs to expose Hillary for who she is, but obviously they can't do that right now and its irrelevant to be talking about it right now until any kind of movement happens. Until then this is happy time for liberals.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2013, 03:53:55 pm »

Big names like Christie and Jeb Bush might not even run if it's clear Clinton is getting into the race. Better to roll the dice and hope against hope that somehow she's unpopular in 2020 than have your political career ended in a landslide in 2016.
Logged
Anonymous
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,489
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2013, 04:05:09 pm »

Big names like Christie and Jeb Bush might not even run if it's clear Clinton is getting into the race. Better to roll the dice and hope against hope that somehow she's unpopular in 2020 than have your political career ended in a landslide in 2016.

^ ^ This. The deck is already stacked against them in 2016 if she runs. 
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2013, 04:24:29 pm »

Just as the Hillary Landslide talk was beginning to wane, it is now revitalized! Thanks Speaker Cruz!

If she wins by 23 points, she will win every state besides Wyoming, Idaho, Utah, Oklahoma, and maybe Alabama.
Logged
PolitiJunkie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2013, 05:01:25 pm »

But...wait...freedom! Also...incumbent party fatigue! Third term curse!
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2013, 05:38:07 pm »
« Edited: October 02, 2013, 05:44:00 pm by IceSpear »

Among whites:

47 Clinton, 37 Cruz

Obama lost whites 60-39.

So much for the strategy of going far right to get all those "missing whites" LOL.

This is why the parts of the GOP that actually know how to do math are scared to death. They know they maximized their white vote against a black guy with a funny name running for re-election with a stagnant economy and an unpopular healthcare plan. And yet the black guy still won by a comfortable margin (though not a landslide). The GOP's options are basically to change or die at this point. Judging from Speaker Cruz and the government shutdown fiasco, it seems they're choosing the latter.
Logged
President Griffin
Adam Griffin
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,625
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2013, 05:59:30 pm »

Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,692
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2013, 07:37:13 pm »

Christie:



Clinton: 375
Christie: 163

56.5% Clinton
43.5% Christie

Paul:



Clinton: 411
Paul: 127

58.5% Clinton
41.5% Paul

Cruz:



Clinton: 467
Cruz: 71

61.5% Clinton

38.5% Cruz


These are by no means realistic, I just thought I would put maps together to picture the result.
Logged
Buh her emails!
diskymike44
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,377


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2013, 07:47:29 pm »

Cruz 2016! (;
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,520
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2013, 07:57:20 pm »

Christie:



Clinton: 375
Christie: 163

56.5% Clinton
43.5% Christie

Paul:



Clinton: 411
Paul: 127

58.5% Clinton
41.5% Paul

Cruz:



Clinton: 467
Cruz: 71

61.5% Clinton

38.5% Cruz


These are by no means realistic, I just thought I would put maps together to picture the result.


Why would Rand lose Mississippi but win Montana? Makes no sense.
Logged
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,862
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2013, 08:07:55 pm »

No way she wins in a landslide without Arkansas.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,692
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2013, 08:49:56 pm »

Why would Rand lose Mississippi but win Montana? Makes no sense.

They are close together PVI wise. I didn't account for elasticity so Rand probably wouldn't lose Mississippi, Montana would be a pure toss-up still though.
Logged
PolitiJunkie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 02, 2013, 10:28:03 pm »

Christie:



Clinton: 375
Christie: 163

56.5% Clinton
43.5% Christie

Paul:



Clinton: 411
Paul: 127

58.5% Clinton
41.5% Paul

Cruz:



Clinton: 467
Cruz: 71

61.5% Clinton

38.5% Cruz


These are by no means realistic, I just thought I would put maps together to picture the result.


Cruz won't lose Texas to Hillary.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,899
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 02, 2013, 10:56:33 pm »

Clinton won't win in a landslide unless Republicans are actually stupid enough to nominate this Cruz joker.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,692
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 02, 2013, 11:07:43 pm »


If you say so. In here it would be about Hillary 51%, Cruz 48%. No doubt he could have a home state advantage (which I'm not factoring in), but given that Hillary wins against him by 23 points in the poll, I Texas would narrowly go Hillary.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,668
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 03, 2013, 11:36:04 pm »

Clinton won't win in a landslide unless Republicans are actually stupid enough to nominate this Cruz joker.
Yeah. Under Cruz and possibly Paul she probably wins big, but it should be closeish under a mainstream Republican.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC